[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 18, 19:56z for portions of PBZ

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 18, 19:56z for portions of PBZ

113 
WUUS01 KWNS 181957
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0256 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2024

VALID TIME 182000Z - 191200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   25719769 26669788 27429792 28189744 28839671 28909596
       28579506
0.02   48648757 45188990 43059235 39129696 36640015 36030165
       35920270 36360341 37010332 38990035 43019639 45889589
       48889272
0.05   44169281 43599374 43629454 43999507 45059517 46889456
       47999295 48129233 48029160 47439132 46399157 45279196
       44169281
0.05   37190026 36730102 36690164 37090193 37370181 37860111
       38699997 38939950 39019895 38809883 38519878 38119916
       37709957 37190026
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   48848745 44739012 41329331 38959660 36959937 35940021
       35000058 33650143 33220198 33090292 33320353 33740378
       34360381 35540352 37040338 39330219 40440008 42299743
       44669697 46599609 49049350
0.15   48838929 45479113 41849479 40069659 36760050 36020160
       36020207 36150239 36490252 36870239 38420149 39639996
       43009642 45719620 48879271
SIGN   39509900 39429874 39229860 38839885 38279940 37230059
       36820128 36770178 36950205 37250188 37980128 39199985
       39509900
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   46176725 43967185 42057382 41087673 39647939 37818175
       37118253 36968317 37098387 37798452 39858469 41588458
       43418506 44108475 44998381 45618228
0.05   47988618 44458998 39609473 38089652 35979957 33820074
       33330111 33010185 32930277 33330353 33740378 34360381
       35510353 37020339 39310221 40420011 42319744 44599695
       46579614 49039353
0.15   48588893 46948958 45469054 40549510 39049686 37559877
       36060065 34580127 34240149 34130177 34150226 34300267
       34690278 35620283 36870239 38420146 39639996 42969645
       45739622 48899270
SIGN   36820086 37100148 37630139 38120083 38879973 39269909
       39339850 38949838 38169882 37419964 36990030 36820086
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   48618892 46968957 45479057 40589507 39039685 37559876
       36060066 34570128 34240149 34130177 34150225 34290267
       34680278 35630283 36860240 38410150 39639996 42979643
       45719622 48899270
MRGL   25719769 26669787 27429791 28199743 28839670 28909597
       28579506
MRGL   47988618 44448999 39609474 38109650 35979958 33820074
       33330112 33010187 32940276 33330352 33740378 34360381
       35540352 37040338 39310221 40440008 42299744 44609698
       46589613 49059348
MRGL   46176725 43967185 42057382 41087673 39627942 37828173
       37128253 36968318 37098387 37798452 39858469 41588458
       43418506 44108475 44998381 45618228
TSTM   49970572 46660694 44170654 43320823 43231184 43231536
       44291765 45501904 46982055 48302197 48992226 49802301
       50452378 99999999 29940536 33110430 34750406 35690427
       38620556 39610594 40390515 42530064 43499912 45979736
       49609419 99999999 46446601 44176960 43057048 42337119
       41837207 41597323 41277488 40167699 38027875 37258010
       36088246 35598594 34459085 32839131 31098981 30218826
       29308721 99999999 25678287 26418118 28128204 29058172
       30178014 99999999 27590034 29709982 30929896 31579809
       33379687 35909502 38089303 39279131 39809194 39689278
       38379441 36629679 35299777 34309861 33649927 32740015
       31600168 31320264 30860277 29010230

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 NE
GNA 40 NE IWD 55 W RHI 20 ESE SDA 10 SW MHK 20 NNW P28 50 ENE BGD 35
NE PVW 15 ENE PVW PVW 30 W PVW 40 E CVS 35 NE CVS 30 SSW DHT 30 WSW
EHA 55 NW GCK 20 NNW HLC 40 N SUX 30 NNE VVV 40 NE INL.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW
BRO 40 NNE MFE 20 SSE ALI 20 SE NIR 15 E VCT 20 NE PSX 45 SSE LBX.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 120
NNE MQT 30 SSW CWA 15 SE STJ 25 SW EMP 50 NNW CSM 50 SSW CDS 45 ESE
LBB 45 S LBB 30 NE HOB 50 NNW HOB 50 SSW CVS 30 W CVS 25 N TCC 45
NNW CAO ITR 30 ENE MCK 20 N OFK 20 NNW BKX 20 SW DTL 35 N INL.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E
HUL 30 NE LEB 30 N POU 15 SE IPT 25 E MGW 35 W BKW 45 N TRI 40 SSE
JKL 10 E LOZ 15 SSE LEX 25 W DAY 40 W TOL 45 NNE GRR 20 SSW HTL 15
WSW APN 75 ENE APN.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 125 NNE GGW 55 WNW
MLS 45 SSE SHR 20 NNE RIW 25 SSE IDA 50 ESE BOI 40 SSE BKE 15 SW PDT
30 N YKM 45 SE BLI 20 NE BLI 75 NNW BLI 125 NNW BLI ...CONT... 85
WSW MRF 20 SE ROW 40 SW TCC 50 E LVS 45 WSW COS 50 E EGE 10 WSW FCL
25 SSW VTN 20 SSE 9V9 60 NE ABR 70 NE RRT ...CONT... 90 ENE HUL 15
SE AUG 15 E PSM 10 WSW BOS 30 ESE BDL 30 N BDR 30 S MSV 10 WSW CXY
20 WSW CHO 10 SW ROA 25 ENE HSS 55 WSW CSV 65 SW MEM 45 ENE MLU 40
SW PIB 35 S MOB 80 S PNS ...CONT... 75 WSW APF 40 ENE APF 40 ENE PIE
30 ESE OCF 75 ENE SGJ ...CONT... 55 W LRD 45 WNW HDO 55 ENE JCT 45 S
SEP 25 SSW GYI 25 NE MKO 50 SSE SZL 45 S UIN 40 ESE IRK 30 SSW IRK
40 SSE OJC 20 ESE PNC 10 SW OKC 25 NNW SPS 50 WSW SPS 35 NW ABI 40
SE MAF 30 NNE FST 10 ESE FST 70 S 6R6.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 18, 19:56z for portions of PBZ

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