MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Apr 26, 6:19 PM CDT ...New Aviation...183
FXUS64 KMOB 262319
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
619 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 314 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025
Tonight through Sunday Night...
Upper level heights will gradually increase slightly over our
area through Sunday night as an upper ridge becomes more defined
over the southern plains states and builds eastward across the
central Gulf coast. This will maintain mostly dry conditions as
increasing subsidence prevents more than just isolated showers and
perhaps a stray thunderstorm or two across the area. Any isolated
convection that develops will be during the afternoon hours on
Sunday in association with peak heating inland and weak sea breeze
interactions closer to the coast. Basically a summer-type pattern
will be in place across the region. Patchy to areas of fog will
likely develop across the area tonight (and probably Sunday night
as well). The fog could potentially be dense in some locations.
Will likely need another Dense Fog Advisory across portions of the
forecast area again tonight, but it is difficult to pinpoint
exactly what locations this will occur, so will let the evening
and midnight shift monitor trends and make final call on where the
Advisory may be necessary. The fog will dissipate by around 9am
Sunday morning. Temperatures will continue to run above normal
with overnight lows ranging from the low 60s inland to mid/upper
60s near the coast (and a few lower 70s possible for the barrier
islands) both tonight and Sunday night. Highs on Sunday mainly in
the upper 80s to near 90 for all inland locations, but mid 80s
closer to the coast and even lower 80s along the immediate
beaches. A moderate risk of rip currents tonight becomes low on
Sunday. DS/12
Monday through Saturday...
An upper ridge pivots eastward over the southeast states through
Wednesday, leading to dry and continued well above normal
temperatures. The influence of the ridge lessens its grip the
second half of the work week as it shifts east off the southeast
US coast. Meanwhile, an upper level storm system approaches the
lower MS River Valley Thursday. With this feature's eastward
advance, an attendant cold front settles to the coast by later in
the day Friday. An increase in cloud cover and rain chances expected
Thursday and Friday. The front pushes south Saturday and brings a
return to drier weather. /10
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 613 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025
General VFR conditions with local drops to low end MVFR/IFR in
scattered thunderstorms are expected through the evening as a sea
breeze moves inland. Am expecting this activity to be gone by 04z.
Fog is expected to develop after 06z tonight, with the best
chance of IFR or lower VISBYs being over the Florida Panhandle
and north. Am expecting the fog to quickly mix out by 15z. There
is a slight chance of showers and thunderstorm Sunday afternoon,
with localized low end MVFR conditions possible.
/16
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 314 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025
A generally light and somewhat diurnal flow will persist
through Monday with a light offshore flow developing at night and a
light onshore flow developing during the day. A more consistent
light to occasionally moderate primarily onshore flow will develop
Tuesday and continue into mid to late week. DS/12
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
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Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Apr 26, 6:19 PM CDT ...New Aviation...---------------
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