[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 13, 12:15z for portions of CLE

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 13, 12:15z for portions of CLE

377 
WUUS01 KWNS 131217
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0715 AM CDT THU JUN 13 2024

VALID TIME 131300Z - 141200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   41939228 42338962 42488744 42618640 43198629 43958622
       44828594 45388565 45698461 45048247 42628228 41868390
       41268517 40628655 39618858 38739257 38499683 38639752
       38969782 39579747 40459620 41189456 41519350 41939228
0.02   24738023 25368068 26518068 27177946
0.05   39659225 39459338 39419396 39709439 40049447 40519438
       41109244 41449113 41389002 40858932 40368942 39659225
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   43278036 41838271 41008385 39868693 38608983 37959276
       37469633 36619883 35830001 35390118 35770166 36740128
       37720169 38100197 38800256 39230357 39670507 40270527
       41220531 41470516 41430469 41050347 40050133 39899984
       40319763 41079674 42389488 42679393 43019264 43099137
       43378821 43958663 45118655 46208893 47078915 47608868
       47138441
0.15   42498709 42538553 42238496 41938482 41508504 41048572
       40248758 39958881 39069287 38549555 37639786 37309953
       37739991 38979844 39669739 40199640 41119489 41699327
       42079204 42249101 42518868 42498709
0.30   39519526 40099500 41129332 41469219 41859070 41938961
       41858916 41568868 41298841 40868861 40179153 39699349
       39229497 39519526
SIGN   40168942 39529223 38899492 38789660 39119680 39609695
       40689547 41359399 42029185 42338924 42208752 41908692
       41628673 41078710 40828799 40168942
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   42408134 41658250 41158334 40828395 39578635 38758786
       38108994 37709275 36909689 36119820 35439946 34480111
       34360185 34400241 34630261 35660283 37000276 38060326
       39320440 39740503 40220516 41130533 41360510 41300447
       40990346 40490251 39490032 40319751 41319588 42069434
       42509257 42699094 43258844 43968647 45178632 46258879
       46908892 47458871 47028427 46798362
0.05   24718025 25368067 26528066 27247933
0.15   38689218 38469329 38079597 37459784 35830004 35390118
       35760166 36740127 37560018 39059831 39669733 40329617
       40929488 41669289 42099151 42329012 42698775 43258591
       43588433 44468232 43618215 42558251 41638403 40928567
       39848799 39518897 39109033 38689218
0.30   40289467 40719324 41119194 41439046 41588954 41548869
       41288841 40928848 40398881 40178919 39609156 39179337
       38899474 39149511 39489523 39929522 40289467
SIGN   40568793 39998885 39389125 38839398 38389642 38029732
       37709810 37299907 37639972 38489866 40169588 41089382
       41719190 42069010 41998772 41878711 41388712 40838754
       40568793
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    38919471 39179513 39509524 40099501 41159328 41869067
       41938961 41858916 41568868 41298841 40928848 40398881
       40178919 38919471
SLGT   39059831 39679722 41139489 42089208 42518893 42698775
       43238589 43578433 44458235 43608214 42538256 41698395
       39848799 39109033 38689218 38109584 37429787 35830006
       35420121 35750168 36730127 37560018 39059831
MRGL   42408134 41158334 38758786 38108994 37709275 36909689
       34480111 34360185 34400241 34630261 35660283 37000276
       38060326 39320440 39590481 39670507 40270527 41130533
       41470516 41430469 41050347 40050133 39899984 40319763
       41079674 42389488 43019264 43378821 43958663 45118655
       46208893 47078915 47608868 47138441
MRGL   24758028 25378069 26548067 27147950
TSTM   25689810 27599823 28739756 29809562 29829448 29099372
       99999999 29788714 30628775 32178674 32938621 32848533
       31858500 30698397 31078276 32488194 32918104 33297966
       34307723 35387491 99999999 46596683 45457035 43337262
       42137567 41257961 40588270 39328453 38588562 37768706
       36759127 36339446 36029684 35289965 34500100 33110248
       31630363 29680360 29030418 99999999 31000631 33330617
       35350428 36810396 38030422 38860546 41000673 41100968
       41921111 41711337 39911610 39101692 36581773 36261857
       36861940 38382033 39332012 40211918 41221768 42521625
       44251402 45281074 45280964 44500595 44190351 43930139
       44120061 45020005 45499975 45829831 45139281 45139159
       45739079 46109095 46499421 47449718 48579856 49609912
       99999999 34381371 37031294 38031215 38861060 39040976
       38600906 37660908 36420978 34011149 33601300 34381371

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM OJC 15
SW FLV 20 WNW FLV 25 NNW STJ 15 SW OXV 30 NNW MLI 30 SW RFD 25 S RFD
15 N MMO 15 ESE MMO 35 SSE MMO 10 SE BMI 25 SW BMI OJC.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE
RSL 25 ENE CNK 40 NE SDA 25 NW CID 10 SE JVL RAC 20 ENE MKG 15 WNW
MBS 50 E OSC 45 ESE BAX 15 ESE MTC 10 NW TOL 20 SE CMI 20 NW ALN JEF
25 SE EMP 30 WSW ICT 60 NW CSM 20 SSE BGD 15 WNW BGD 15 ENE GUY 20
SW DDC 30 ENE RSL.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 WNW
ERI 20 ENE FDY 55 NNW EVV 30 S BLV 35 W TBN 15 NE PNC 40 ENE PVW 15
NNW PVW 40 WNW PVW 45 ENE CVS 30 SSW DHT 20 SSW SPD 15 E LHX 40 NNE
COS 15 SSE DEN 10 SW DEN 20 SW FCL 20 SE LAR 30 NW CYS 20 NNE CYS 25
W SNY 35 SSE IML 35 N HLC 45 W BIE 15 N LNK 25 SE SLB 35 NNW ALO 35
NNW MKE 30 SW MBL 50 SSE ESC 45 NW IMT 30 WSW CMX 30 NNW CMX 45 N
ANJ.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E
MTH 40 SW MIA 35 WSW PBI 50 NE PBI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE MFE 15 SW ALI
25 NNE NIR 25 WNW HOU 30 WSW BPT 60 SSE BPT ...CONT... 50 S PNS 30 E
MOB 20 SE SEM 45 NNE MGM 15 NNE AUO 45 NE DHN 30 SSW MGR 25 WSW AYS
30 NE VDI 40 SSW OGB 35 NE CHS 40 E ILM 40 ENE HSE ...CONT... 55 NE
HUL 70 NE BML 20 SE RUT 15 ESE BGM 15 ESE FKL 20 SSW MFD 15 NNW LUK
30 NNE SDF OWB 35 E UNO 25 SE GMJ 20 N CQB 25 W CSM 40 W CDS 50 NE
HOB 25 WSW INK 55 SSE MRF 95 S MRF ...CONT... 55 S ELP 35 N ALM 40
WNW TCC 30 ENE RTN 25 SE PUB 40 W COS 55 NE CAG 45 SW RKS 45 N EVW
60 SSE BYI 30 NNW P68 30 SSE U31 65 N NID 65 NNE BFL 20 ENE FAT 40
SSW TVL 20 WSW RNO 35 WNW LOL 25 NNE WMC 40 N OWY 55 NNE SUN 30 SSW
LVM 50 SE LVM 25 WNW GCC 25 WNW RAP 15 SE PHP 25 SW PIR 40 SSE MBG
35 E MBG 25 NNE ABR 25 NE MSP 20 NNW EAU 55 S ASX 30 S ASX BRD 35 S
GFK 35 NNE DVL 105 N DVL ...CONT... 60 ESE EED 35 E SGU 25 N BCE 25
WSW U28 20 N CNY 40 ESE CNY 25 ENE 4BL 80 SSW 4BL 50 NE PHX 50 NNW
GBN 60 ESE EED.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 13, 12:15z for portions of CLE

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