Please read the newsposts on the homepage! Some are rules some are archives from past events.
579 FXUS64 KMOB 221019AFDMOBArea Forecast DiscussionNational Weather Service Mobile AL419 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2025...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE....NEAR TERM...(Now through Sunday)Issued at 419 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2025Latest mid level water vapor imagery indicates a weak mid levelshortwave moving east along the north central Gulf coast embeddedwithin zonal flow aloft will continue to move eastward today.Limited low level moisture and along with surface high pressure inplace will support dry weather conditions today and tonight. Midand high level moisture in the flow aloft will keep skies mostlycloudy through early afternoon with some breaks likely developinglater this afternoon from north to south. This brief clearing willbe temporary with clouds building back over the entire regionlater this evening ahead of the next approaching system. Hightemperatures should be a few degrees warmer today in response toweak warm air advection. Highs will reach the middle 50s overinterior sections to near 60 degrees along the coast. Lows tonightwill also be a few degrees warmer with lower 30s expected over the interior to near 40 degrees along the coast. An upper level low pressure system positioned over Arizona thismorning will move quickly east tonight and phase with a northernstream shortwave now dropping southeast out of the northernPlains. This will help to induce surface low pressure latertonight along the upper Texas coast which will move east acrossthe northern Gulf Sunday. Deep moisture will advect northeastwardacross the forecast area Sunday to the north of the low pressureand associated frontal zone which should remain well offshore.This will support the development of overrunning rainfall laterSunday morning across areas west of I-65 which will spread eastthrough the afternoon. Limited instability should keep thepotential for any thunder low and mainly well offshore.Temperatures will be held down by the cloud cover and rainfallwith most locations remaining in the lower to middle 50 west ofI-65, with a few more hours of heating east resulting in upper 50sto lower 60s prior to rain moving in. /JLH &&.SHORT TERM...(Sunday night through Monday night)Issued at 419 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2025The low pressure should continue to move east offshore Sundaynight with a continuation of mainly light rain through much of thenight. The rain should end from west to east early Monday morningwith a return to dry weather conditions and skies clearing fromwest to east by Monday afternoon as surface high pressure rebuildsover the region. Highs will rebound into the middle to upper 60swith lows Monday night in the 40s. /JLH&&.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Friday)Issued at 419 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2025High pressure will remain centered over the northern Gulf Coastthrough mid week with a warming trend continuing. This willsupport dry weather conditions with highs mainly in the lower tomiddle 70s and lows in the 40s to lower 50s. Another upper level trough will dive southeast across the CentralPlains and become increasingly amplified as it moves into theSoutheastern U.S. by Thursday. Latest ensemble guidance suggestsmid level heights lowering from 1 to 2 standard deviations belowthe mean. This deepening upper trough should allow a cold front toadvance across the forecast area next Thursday. Limited returnflow should keep precipitation chances rather low and have onlyincluded a slight chance for showers in association with thefront. This feature should be quick moving with only a brief cooldown behind the front back to near normal temperatures for thistime of year to finish out the end of next week. /JLH &&.MARINE...Issued at 419 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2025Light offshore flow will persist across the marine areas today andtonight as surface high pressure remains the dominant weatherfeature. A low pressure system forming off the Upper Texas coastby Sunday morning will move eastward across the northern Gulfcoast with increasing east to northeast winds and building seas.The low pressure system will move east by Monday with highpressure building back over the region with a return lightoffshore flow for the first part of next week. /JLH&&.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...Mobile 59 39 55 41 67 45 73 47 / 0 10 70 60 10 0 0 0 Pensacola 60 43 58 46 66 48 71 51 / 0 0 60 70 10 0 0 0 Destin 60 46 60 48 67 49 71 53 / 0 0 50 70 10 0 0 0 Evergreen 58 35 58 38 68 40 75 43 / 0 0 40 40 10 0 0 0 Waynesboro 54 36 51 35 65 41 72 43 / 0 0 60 50 0 0 0 0 Camden 55 32 54 35 65 39 72 42 / 0 0 30 30 10 0 0 0 Crestview 61 38 61 40 68 41 75 45 / 0 0 40 60 10 0 0 0 &&.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...AL...None.FL...None.MS...None.GM...None.&&$$This product is also available on the web at:www.weather.gov/mob
