MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jan 10, 11:22 PM CST ...New AVIATION...297
FXUS64 KMOB 110522
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1122 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2025
...New AVIATION...
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1122 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2025
MVFR conditions are expected through the next 12 hours at the
terminals. Cigs will generally remain between 1000 ft and 2000
ft through the predawn hours, and then begin to lift through the
latter half of the morning. Cigs may drop below 1000 ft between
06Z and 09Z, but confidence is too low to include prevailing IFR
given current conditions. Winds will also remain elevated
overnight, gusting up to 20kts. These winds will diminish through
the morning hours, before becoming light and variable Saturday
afternoon. /73
&&
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 348 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2025/
.New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
NEAR TERM...
(Now through Saturday Night)
Issued at 348 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2025
A weak area of low pressure will continue to move east of the
area by this evening. This will take most of the precip with it.
A broad southwest upper flow will maintain some weak overrunning
low clouds and light rain through this evening before the upper
trough moves through Saturday morning. Skies will begin to clear
Saturday afternoon as a drier airmass moves into the area. Low
temps tonight will fall into the upper 20s and low 30s inland to
mid and upper 30s near the coast. High temps on Saturday remain
cold, in the low to mid 40s inland to upper 40s along the coast.
Lows Saturday night drop into the low to mid 20s inland to low/mid
30s along the coast. /13
LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 348 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2025
One more cold rainy day this weekend before cooler and
drier conditions return during the week. The only chance for rain
will come early in the period on Sunday night into Monday as a
subtle shortwave moves across the area. the surface cold front will
be stuck just offshore as a subtle surface low tracks northeast
along this boundary Sunday night. Subtle overrunning will all for
rain to move in late Sunday night mainly across the Gulf waters but
should extend inland some leading to a another cold rain event. By
Monday, the upper shortwave will push east driving the surface front
further into the Gulf and ushering in another round of cool and dry
air. High pressure will build over the central US in response to the
departing upper trough. Temperatures will be the big thing with the
extended forecast. Temperatures by the end of the week drop into
upper 20 to low 30s once again for lows and highs in the 50s. Some
cold weather products may be needed later in the week as wind chills
will likely drop into the 20s and teens once again. BB/03
MARINE...
Issued at 348 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2025
Moderate to strong southeast to westerly winds turn northwest
tonight as an area of low pressure passes east of the marine area.
Northwesterly flow will decrease on Saturday and become easterly
on Sunday. A moderate to strong north to northeast flow returns to
the area Monday through Wednesday. /13
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 34 48 30 57 43 56 31 53 / 30 0 0 10 70 40 0 0
Pensacola 37 46 34 56 45 55 34 53 / 50 0 0 10 70 50 0 0
Destin 39 49 36 55 46 55 37 55 / 80 0 0 10 60 60 0 0
Evergreen 31 45 24 56 36 53 27 51 / 60 0 0 0 50 30 0 0
Waynesboro 30 46 24 55 37 52 26 51 / 10 0 0 10 40 20 0 0
Camden 29 43 22 53 35 51 24 48 / 30 0 0 0 50 20 0 0
Crestview 35 46 25 55 40 54 31 53 / 70 0 0 0 50 50 0 0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday afternoon for ALZ265-266.
High Surf Warning until 6 AM CST Saturday for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
206.
High Surf Warning until 6 AM CST Saturday for FLZ202-204-206.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST Saturday for GMZ630>636-650-
655-670-675.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jan 10, 11:22 PM CST ...New AVIATION...---------------
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