The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 3, 12:56z for portions of IWX683
WUUS01 KWNS 031257
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0756 AM CDT MON JUN 03 2024
VALID TIME 031300Z - 041200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 41928929 41598994 41629044 42069081 43419044 44218986
44408909 44258830 43998801 43748788 43478790 42968801
42518848 42198889 41928929
0.02 32249383 32139550 32339776 32979876 33279929 33759980
34460044 35100084 35700118 35980107 36230097 36260062
36199995 35819861 35639700 35369595 34909484 34159384
33639303 32939299 32249383
0.05 33799806 33549837 33569888 33769949 34220002 34440024
34860058 35390075 35570048 35469977 35029881 34749818
34229795 33799806
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 29200145 31159974 32169959 33780068 34730092 35750159
36230183 36470180 36840170 37090128 37319918 37769832
37899611 37819404 36779277 35569253 34599248 33469236
31789231 30919299 30949369 30939530 30799743 29539869
27520024
0.05 38348977 38209086 38919208 40049310 41789132 42649089
43859066 44928993 45278898 45248779 44998733 44368703
42558686 41408733 40128822 39348894 38348977
0.15 34440045 35730120 36260103 36350034 36279961 36059874
35709761 34869678 34189641 33189629 32499674 32079755
32339840 32769931 33580019 34440045
0.15 42079077 42919052 43569034 44148938 44128845 43768809
43288795 42788823 42058906 41638988 41719059 42079077
SIGN 33789973 34890061 35600093 35990083 36090034 35809933
35049790 34519767 33969766 33599784 33439814 33349883
33789973
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 29150152 31139974 32199958 33810071 34680092 35770160
36270186 36770172 37320093 37929976 38659889 39039805
39299661 39309495 39969323 41859125 42719088 43849066
44948993 45288896 45278783 44868725 44458707 42568647
41468659 41188694 40138774 39368816 36708892 35798901
35448895 34438853 33758838 32388848 30938967 30698998
30319261 30279371 30179567 30449645 30369730 29099841
27139979
0.15 30929526 32429862 32879943 33580021 34610054 35720117
36270103 36379999 36249792 36619683 37569515 37789453
37819387 37509234 36669075 35618994 34818970 32858968
31069049 30869234 30929526
0.15 42119078 43539034 44118938 44118849 43798809 43388800
42858813 42048904 41628988 41689054 42119078
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 32369848 32829939 33560021 33960033 34820066 35720120
36260102 36369993 36249792 36589691 37579511 37789448
37829398 37479231 36669074 35608991 34678968 32798968
31089049 30859252 30929531 32369848
SLGT 43738803 43238799 42758822 42578847 42058904 41628990
41669049 42039080 42379064 43589034 43838988 44138931
44128847 43738803
MRGL 29120150 31079974 32179955 33690067 34630089 35820163
36240184 36790170 37420077 37919977 38649888 39069802
39269667 39329494 39969320 41769131 42679087 43909061
44918995 45278899 45248788 45018738 44398704 42458645
41538652 40868720 39378813 37798863 35648902 34458852
33618837 32378847 31038957 30688999 30329251 30219443
30199568 30449650 30369730 29069842 28159906 27129980
TSTM 49809597 47789524 46129552 42979691 43629462 45099371
46189278 47449178 47909026 47578738 46538554 44058451
41528601 40408649 38938687 37948661 37038632 36228570
35868471 35848418 36298245 37348170 38508149 39747953
40617746 41567659 41677552 41077483 39137344 99999999
33027873 33017969 32268072 31048172 29608209 28128147
27198079 26457935 99999999 29068803 29338977 29139086
29409218 29019254 99999999 28269566 28089735 27479816
25969835 99999999 29390163 31210002 32219982 34240154
35420247 35890309 37030299 38040253 39070285 39890397
39970596 40450783 41010804 41740746 42070628 41990367
42300258 43440252 44720335 45430457 45420634 44740820
44051016 43131093 42351180 42381325 42791348 44171347
45201399 46291569 47251768 47841864 49891962
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW
SEP 30 NNE ABI 60 S CDS 30 S CDS 35 NW CDS 10 E BGD 40 SE GUY 75 SE
LBL END 15 SE PNC 20 ESE CNU 45 N JLN 55 NW SGF 20 SSW TBN 15 WSW
POF 40 N MEM 20 NNW UOX 55 SSE GWO MCB 40 SSW ESF 15 NE UTS 20 WNW
SEP.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE
OSH 20 NNW MKE 20 W RAC 30 E JVL 10 SSE RFD 35 ENE MLI 15 N MLI 25 S
DBQ DBQ 25 S VOK 20 ESE VOK 40 WNW OSH 10 NNE OSH 30 ESE OSH.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW
DRT 40 N JCT 20 SSE ABI 55 SSW CDS 35 WNW CDS 15 WNW BGD 35 SSW GUY
15 WNW GUY 30 NNE LBL 15 NE DDC 15 SSW RSL 25 NW SLN 10 N MHK FLV 25
ENE CDJ 25 ESE CID 20 NNW DBQ 15 W VOK 15 W AUW 35 SE RHI 40 SSE IMT
50 SSW ESC 35 ENE MTW 20 N BEH 15 SW SBN 35 NNW LAF 10 SE MTO 35 E
MDH MKL 20 NE TUP CBM 15 E MEI 35 SSW PIB 25 NNW ASD 35 WNW LFT 30
NW BPT 40 SSW UTS 15 SW CLL 25 E AUS 35 S SAT 25 SSE COT 35 SW LRD.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NNW RRT 25 NW BJI
20 NNW AXN 25 E YKN 10 W FRM 30 WNW MSP 55 SSW DLH 25 NW BFW 10 NNE
GNA 60 ENE CMX 55 W ANJ 20 SSE HTL 20 SE SBN 25 E LAF 20 SW BMG 35
ENE OWB BWG 40 WNW CSV 20 ESE CSV 10 W TYS 15 SSW TRI 30 W BLF 10
NNE CRW 20 ENE MGW 25 SE UNV 25 NE IPT 25 NNE AVP 45 NE ABE 65 ESE
ACY ...CONT... 45 SSE CRE 20 ENE CHS 30 ENE SAV 20 WSW SSI 10 ESE
GNV 30 SSW ORL 40 SW VRB 50 ESE PBI ...CONT... 85 ESE BVE 20 W BVE
30 SSW HUM 25 S 7R4 60 SSW 7R4 ...CONT... 50 SE PSX 25 NNE CRP 20
SSW ALI 15 SSW MFE ...CONT... 45 W DRT 30 ESE SJT 15 SSW ABI 10 ENE
PVW 40 S DHT 30 WSW DHT 25 SW SPD 10 ESE LAA 35 WSW ITR 45 WSW AKO
55 ENE EGE 15 WSW CAG 45 NW CAG 15 WSW RWL 50 ENE RWL 10 NNW BFF 20
NNE AIA 50 SSE RAP 50 NNW RAP 40 E 4BQ 45 W 4BQ 45 ENE COD 40 NE JAC
35 SSW JAC 30 ENE MLD 30 ESE BYI 20 NE BYI 60 NE SUN 10 NW SMN 10
NNW P69 25 SSW GEG 55 WNW GEG 100 N OMK.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 3, 12:56z for portions of IWX---------------
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