[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 31, 12:48z for portions of MOB

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 31, 12:48z for portions of MOB

582 
WUUS01 KWNS 311250
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0748 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2024

VALID TIME 311300Z - 011200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   37020322 37180398 37590431 38250440 39560415 40160358
       40280291 40090252 39700213 39130197 38180201 37710214
       37270238 37020322
0.02   31549277 32209327 32959339 34069342 34719282 34989212
       34879092 34679033 34218993 33538994 32819023 31549119
       31549277
0.02   27869617 27969694 28309738 28799742 29209679 29219548
       28849446
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   31539281 32279326 32949339 34069342 34709280 34979210
       34869092 34699033 34198992 33548993 32809023 31569115
       31539281
0.05   28910220 30590285 31290332 31960408 32710458 34540531
       36550543 38820515 40870458 41810428 42310356 42420319
       42220247 41270165 39520101 37490081 35580081 33420057
       32209920 31489819 30699720 29759621 29499569 29839461
       29859396 29439362 28899321 99999999 27639623 27739847
       28080070
0.15   34240378 34530437 36240464 38160469 39730444 40590393
       41050330 41040235 40680205 39540205 37090193 35550215
       34330320 34240378
0.15   29340175 30680241 31800297 32080263 32180156 31810009
       30889864 29259681 29229552 28809543 28009700 28039837
       28360081
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   29140227 30660289 31300335 31960409 32650456 34460526
       36210548 38340522 40580467 41760434 42310354 42490274
       42310174 41210078 39340024 36460004 35749993 33309999
       32149912 30849742 29969637 29949533 30739451 33399511
       34289530 35169524 35659479 36369150 35988985 34688884
       32058846 30818855 28578868 99999999 27639621 27749849
       28070072
0.15   34220373 34500433 35110446 36730386 38520376 40140339
       41040277 41040231 40500169 39290138 37490137 36420164
       35590208 34320319 34220373
0.15   32279325 32999342 34049343 34689278 34939209 34879103
       34669033 34208992 33498993 32699030 31569113 31529276
       32279325
0.15   27879616 27979739 28449824 29389828 29679782 29729736
       29229679 29229554 29739461 29869400 29119335
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   34220371 34520432 35110445 36290467 38280467 39740441
       40620390 41030324 41040236 40490171 39220134 37590135
       36300168 35630208 34330321 34220371
SLGT   33009338 34039341 34709277 34939212 34869094 34609025
       34168995 33478994 32769023 31569113 31529280 32269326
       33009338
SLGT   29410182 30590237 31780300 32080263 32170154 31810009
       31069891 29219679 29239549 29739463 29859405 29119331
       99999999 27889615 28029844 28330070
MRGL   29020223 30590287 31340337 31950407 32650456 34470529
       36160548 38200527 40650468 41780428 42320350 42510278
       42290177 41200080 40330052 39410027 38660022 36650004
       35759996 33280001 32169912 30789733 29979638 29919533
       30769451 33409512 34259531 35149524 35639478 35769415
       36339153 36018985 34658882 32248846 31128856 28548872
       99999999 27659621 27739852 28070078
TSTM   27389648 27529775 26819855 25739871 99999999 28680308
       30190362 31350462 31920551 33290652 35040743 37240733
       37660788 38000861 37901117 37981210 38441237 38841229
       39441166 40921025 41050873 40680776 40450657 41150546
       42450478 43420462 43940409 44030261 43670160 43060019
       43129889 44839655 46659388 47749307 48259536 47499939
       45940165 45390275 45570399 46210465 47690551 49850900
       99999999 47548446 45288817 43768998 42469064 41719020
       41018901 38628737 36288651 34468646 32828663 30788586
       29048467 99999999 28538333 27948181 26858110 26108033
       25697947

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW
CVS 60 W CVS 50 W TCC 30 SSW RTN 10 W PUB 25 E DEN 45 NW AKO 15 WSW
SNY 30 E SNY IML 20 ESE GLD 40 SW GCK 30 SSW GUY 35 NW AMA CVS 25
WSW CVS.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW
ELD 35 SSW HOT 25 NE HOT 15 NNE LIT 55 WSW MEM 35 SSW MEM 30 WSW UOX
10 ESE GWO 50 S GWO 10 ESE HEZ 25 SE IER 35 ESE SHV 35 WSW ELD.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE
6R6 40 NNW 6R6 10 E INK 25 WNW MAF BGS 40 NE SJT 50 S BWD 25 NNE VCT
10 N LBX 30 NNE GLS BPT 70 S LCH ...CONT... 60 S PSX 30 NW ALI 75 S
DRT.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 S
6R6 25 S FST 30 SSW INK 30 SSE CNM 30 NW CNM 35 NE 4CR 40 NNW LVS 40
W PUB 25 NE FCL 20 SSW TOR 30 N BFF 25 SE CDR 40 WNW MHN 10 NW LBF
10 NNE MCK 25 W HLC 55 SSW HLC 60 ESE LBL 50 NW CSM 65 NNW ABI 25
NNW BWD 25 SSE TPL 40 S CLL 20 N HOU 35 SSE LFK 25 SE PRX 45 N PRX
35 ENE MLC 30 NW FSM 15 S FYV 35 SSE UNO 25 W DYR 25 N TUP 20 ESE
MEI 35 NNW MOB 70 SE BVE ...CONT... 75 S PSX 30 W ALI 90 WNW LRD.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 ESE CRP 25 SE ALI
50 NNW MFE 45 SW MFE ...CONT... 110 SSW 6R6 25 ESE MRF 35 SSE GDP 40
W GDP 40 NW ALM 30 ESE GNT 25 ENE DRO 35 NNW DRO 50 N CEZ 35 NW U17
20 NNE BCE 35 E MLF 40 SSE U24 45 E U24 50 ESE EVW 40 SSE RKS 20 NW
CAG 50 E CAG 15 SE LAR 35 SE DGW 60 NE DGW 50 W RAP 20 E RAP 25 S
PHP 25 NE VTN 45 NNW ONL 30 ESE ATY 20 NE BRD 25 NNW HIB 40 ENE TVF
50 SSW DVL 25 E Y22 40 ESE 2WX 25 W 2WX 20 WSW BHK 30 S OLF 95 NNE
HVR ...CONT... 75 N ANJ 40 S IMT 20 SE VOK DBQ 25 NE MLI 30 SW MMO
40 NNE EVV 15 NE BNA 20 SE HSV 40 NNE SEM 40 E CEW 50 SSE AAF
...CONT... 60 NW PIE 35 NW AGR 50 ENE FMY 20 N MIA 50 E MIA.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 31, 12:48z for portions of MOB

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