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229 FXUS64 KMOB 251025AFDMOBArea Forecast DiscussionNational Weather Service Mobile AL425 AM CST Mon Nov 25 2024...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE....NEAR TERM...(Now through Tuesday)Issued at 425 AM CST Mon Nov 25 2024A much warmer near term period lies ahead through tonight prior to a cold front moving across the area early Tuesday. Isolated to scattered showers will accompany the front, with best chances latetonight into the pre-dawn hours Tuesday morning west of the I-65 corridor. A couple warm advection showers are possible nearer the coast into portions of south-central Alabama this afternoon into early evening. A few patches of dense fog remain possible through daybreak this morning.Temperatures will be well above normal for this time of year with highs topping out in the upper 70's to near 80 today. Lows tonight will be warm ahead of the front, only falling into the upper 50's in the interior portions of southeastern Mississippi and southwestern Alabama, with lower to middle 60's elsewhere. Highs Tuesday are a little trickier depending on how much cloud cover hangs in across the area in the wake of the front. For now, have opted to take a middle ground with highs in the middle to upper 60's inland and lower to middle 70's nearer the coast. If clouds clear out quick enough highs would likely be several degrees warmer than currently forecast. Similarly, if overcast skies hang on across the area for a good portion of the day, highs would be several degrees cooler than currently forecast. Lows Tuesday night are equally tricky with a very large spread in guidance following similar caveats to the highs. More cloud cover through the night, the warmer the temperatures will be owing to limited radiational cooling. Currently expecting lows in the middle to upper 40's in the interior, with lower to middle 50's nearer the coast. A Low risk of rip currents continues through Tuesday night. MM/25&&.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 425 AM CST Mon Nov 25 2024Above normal temps continue on Wednesday ahead of a troughdeveloping across the northern plains. This trough will send astrong cold front through the area on Thanksgiving day. Ahead ofthe front scattered showers and possibly a few storms will bepossible. The big story will be the much colder airmass that willmove into the area behind the front for Friday into the weekend.Highs on Thursday reach the low 70s northwest of I-65 to mid andupper 70s southeast of I-65. Highs Friday through Sunday will onlyreach the low to mid 50s inland to upper 50s and low 60s near thecoast. Meanwhile lows will drop into the 20s and 30s across much of the area. /13&&.MARINE...Issued at 425 AM CST Mon Nov 25 2024No significant impacts are expected through Wednesday. Light onshore flow will persist today. A weak cold front moves through Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night, bringing a brief return to light offshore winds. A stronger cold front will approach on Thursday with onshore flow strengthening ahead of the front. Strong northerly winds will develop in the wake of the front Thursday night into Friday with seas building offshore. A Small Craft Advisory will likely be needed by the end of the week. MM/25&&.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...Mobile 80 63 71 53 75 65 76 43 / 10 30 10 0 0 10 30 20 Pensacola 77 67 75 59 75 68 77 47 / 20 20 20 0 0 10 30 30 Destin 75 69 76 62 77 69 78 49 / 20 20 20 0 0 10 30 30 Evergreen 78 59 70 49 75 61 73 39 / 20 30 20 0 0 10 40 30 Waynesboro 78 57 67 45 75 60 72 36 / 10 50 0 0 0 30 40 20 Camden 78 58 67 45 73 60 69 38 / 10 50 10 0 0 30 40 30 Crestview 79 61 76 52 78 62 78 43 / 20 20 20 0 10 10 40 30 &&.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...AL...None.FL...None.MS...None.GM...None.&&$$This product is also available on the web at:www.weather.gov/mob
