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729 FXUS64 KLIX 230904AFDLIXArea Forecast DiscussionNational Weather Service New Orleans LA404 AM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE....SHORT TERM...(Today through Thursday)Issued at 303 AM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024Dry conditions at least through the short term. Temps will be a bit warmer today in the upper 80s with a few 90s thrown in for good measure. This is where these temps will stagnate. Basically, the lows each night and the highs each day will be relatively similar.&&.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Tuesday)Issued at 303 AM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024Still expected to be dry the entire time of this fcast. This may hold through the end of the month but that's still after this fcast time domain. A front is expected to move toward the area by the weekend but stall before reaching our area. This keeps our area in the dry but mild conditions for the weekend into next week. There are some ensemble members that would like to bring some higher probabilities of rain by mid to late next week but we will need to see if this actually develops. Shallow radiation fog has been present for a few nights so far. Although soundings show strong support for radiation fog, the thing that is lacking is deep moisture. So, when fog forms around daylight each morning it is layered mainly in ditches, over forested areas and marshes/swamps that are shallow. This fog does not form over marine areas because the water there is too warm. But if this front stalls close enough to our area, this could be enough to bring deep enough moisture that could develop deeper, more dense fog. This could be by the end of the weekend and/or into early next week. Observation sites will commonly read 1/2 or even 1/4 mile vis with this layered fog since it forms where these obs are located, but will rarely be found over roadways or other heat island areas until the moisture is more widespread and deep.&&.AVIATION...(12Z TAFS) Issued at 303 AM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024VFR through this cycle. Some MIFG is possible at a few sites but this should not impact runways.&&.MARINE...Issued at 303 AM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024Easterly winds will remain over the next few days and should be around 10kt for most of this fcast for the outer waters. Wind direction looks to remain constant with some light and variable conditions over the protected waters from time to time. No real rain chances to speak of with the exception of a passing shower well offshore.&&.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...MCB 86 55 87 56 / 0 0 0 0 BTR 88 58 90 60 / 0 0 0 0 ASD 86 57 87 58 / 0 0 0 0 MSY 83 63 85 63 / 0 0 0 0 GPT 84 58 85 60 / 0 0 0 0 PQL 88 56 90 57 / 0 0 0 0 &&.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...LA...None.GM...None.MS...None.GM...None.&&$$SHORT TERM...TELONG TERM....TEAVIATION...TEMARINE...TE
