[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at May 20, 5:57z for portions of IWX

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at May 20, 5:57z for portions of IWX

028 
WUUS01 KWNS 200558
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1257 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2024

VALID TIME 201200Z - 211200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   43018183 42188286 41748466 38678913 38179029 37419305
       37409785 37589893 38000061 37950131 37810224 37760303
       37980348 38470399 39310443 39790459 40180475 40730529
       40890612 40820649 40850774 41020782 41250768 41760700
       42010622 42080573 42040346 41910113 42079938 42829839
       43959745 44659671 45379492 45579244 45178982 45198794
       45708567 46398255
0.05   41310345 41190285 40990209 40880084 40670001 40269977
       40080001 39870035 39620080 39350141 39030210 38920278
       39240348 39830383 40400408 41180417 41290381 41310345
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   25447960 25678082 26168109 26918112 27408083 27398038
       27407964
0.05   42998187 42198288 41758464 39988735 38648916 38169029
       37409302 37459577 37409788 37609903 37819982 38000063
       37940148 37800222 37750300 37930342 38470402 39260439
       40210476 40710528 40900613 40830646 40860777 41040781
       41320760 41910679 42180620 42480449 42910175 43130101
       43629930 44279786 44879638 45379480 45579228 45188985
       45208795 45528640 45638595 45968457 46368270
0.15   42430113 42689860 43009724 44389444 44689308 44339204
       43489185 42779183 41349288 41089324 40139447 39569759
       39649998 38850134 38200225 38160303 38730361 39380388
       41260501 41710505 42100393 42240287 42430113
0.30   40740362 41360320 41570215 41680143 41640086 41420052
       40970011 40430024 40040043 39900079 39750205 40150319
       40740362
SIGN   42450114 42460080 42190010 41279950 40699950 40269960
       39629998 38880133 38560172 38210223 38170306 38750361
       39380388 40010425 41260502 41710504 42100393 42450114
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   25437958 25688081 26188110 26908112 27408084 27407962
0.05   43488161 43028186 42168290 41768467 38668914 38169032
       37409304 37439682 37409784 37529869 37579889 38010063
       37930157 37800227 37750300 37970347 38430395 39250439
       40240479 40780442 41420358 42370080 43609726 44189618
       45379481 45569230 45178989 45218800 45548641 45658584
       46078410 46288306 46338253
0.15   42669860 43019721 43319659 44379446 44689309 44339206
       43519186 42789181 41359289 40869353 40139448 39569758
       39629936 39639998 39420037 38870131 38430187 38200223
       38170302 38750361 39390392 40630361 41590220 42169984
       42669860
0.15   42938911 43248798 42958748 41558692 40718728 40568875
       40998960 41388971 42228959 42938911
0.30   39890078 39810166 39930202 40410211 41020197 41650147
       41680111 41589966 41219899 40839894 40319955 39890078
SIGN   39680157 39740207 40270254 41170195 41800142 42179977
       42059895 41609829 40699810 40029868 39699928 39649940
       39649999 39550062 39680157
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    39740208 40150318 40740365 41390321 41690142 41569967
       41219899 40819894 40309959 39910080 39740208
SLGT   42228959 42938911 43248798 42958748 41558692 40718728
       40568875 40998960 41388971 42228959
SLGT   38820140 38420190 38190227 38160302 38740361 39400389
       40070430 41280501 41710505 42120391 42430110 42679859
       43019724 43629598 44389443 44689308 44329204 43469186
       42789182 41369288 40139446 39579759 39639999 38820140
MRGL   25437958 25678082 26188110 26908112 27408084 27407962
MRGL   42998186 42168290 41758464 38648916 38169029 37409302
       37409784 37579891 38000063 37920150 37790237 37750302
       37990349 38470401 39270441 40220476 40720529 40890613
       40820646 40850774 41010782 41310762 41920679 42170621
       42410479 42650348 42920171 43629927 44869641 45379484
       45569231 45178986 45198798 45658584 46298303
TSTM   44207874 43137758 42447667 41477748 41317887 41168157
       40718350 38988595 38158771 36868931 35329356 35289532
       35529666 36039709 36249831 36869903 37729996 37800114
       37720212 37590302 37750360 38720461 39000585 38690722
       37730916 37151076 35581401 35741511 36771573 39081580
       41701649 43921741 45011772 46551748 48101779 49731779
       99999999 49450104 48550251 48080400 47140663 46100765
       44010823 43050735 44010414 44130177 45209904 46039614
       46339388 46479131 46588777 46768328 99999999 25838297
       26358209 27608191 28248103 28307963

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW
GLD AKO 45 SW SNY 25 NNW SNY 30 SW MHN 10 NNW BBW 35 N EAR EAR 40 SW
EAR 25 SSW MCK 35 NW GLD.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W
RFD 20 SE MSN 20 NNW MKE 20 E MKE 10 NNE VPZ 25 NW LAF 10 NE BMI 20
N PIA 40 E MLI 25 W RFD.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE
GLD 50 ENE LAA 25 ENE LAA 20 WNW LAA 35 S LIC 15 NW LIC 35 NE DEN 15
NW CYS 40 NNW CYS 15 ENE TOR 25 N MHN 15 NNE ONL 10 NE YKN 20 W OTG
30 WNW MKT 15 SSE MSP 35 NE RST 40 SW LSE 35 ENE ALO 15 ENE OXV 35
NE STJ CNK 20 NNW HLC 40 SSE GLD.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE
MIA 35 WSW MIA 40 E APF 50 ENE FMY 30 SW VRB 50 ESE VRB.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE
MTC 25 E DTW 35 SSW JXN 10 W SLO 30 NNE FAM 25 ENE SGF 30 SW ICT 25
NW P28 GCK 45 W GCK 25 SE LAA 30 SW LAA LHX 30 ENE PUB 35 NNE COS 20
SE FCL 25 NW FCL 40 SW LAR 55 SW LAR 25 NNW CAG 40 NNW CAG 40 SSW
RWL 25 ENE RWL 50 SSE CPR 40 SE DGW 25 WSW CDR 60 W VTN 10 SSE 9V9
30 S VVV 40 WSW STC 65 NW EAU 20 NNW AUW 45 S IMT 50 W PLN 65 E ANJ.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 N BUF ROC 10 WSW
ITH 35 WNW IPT 10 N DUJ 20 NNW CAK 25 SSE FDY 40 ESE BMG 15 NW EVV
30 SSE CGI 25 W RUE 25 S MKO 15 SSE CQB 25 NW CQB 25 WSW END 20 WNW
AVK DDC 25 WSW GCK 40 SE LAA 30 NW SPD 20 SSW LHX 10 SE COS 55 ESE
ASE 20 NW GUC 20 ENE 4BL 25 S U17 25 N IGM 25 S LAS 15 ENE DRA 30
SSE P68 25 SW OWY 65 WNW BOI 15 NNE BKE 20 SW PUW 35 NNW GEG 115 NE
OMK ...CONT... 80 N MOT 55 ENE ISN 20 WSW ISN 60 NW MLS 45 ENE BIL
15 WNW WRL 45 WNW CPR 55 W RAP 10 WNW PHP 35 WSW ABR 35 WNW AXN 15
ESE BRD 20 WSW ASX 10 WNW MQT 55 ENE ANJ ...CONT... 75 WSW APF 20 SW
FMY 35 W AGR 25 WNW MLB 60 ENE MLB.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at May 20, 5:57z for portions of IWX

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