The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 30, 12:32z for portions of ILN878
WUUS01 KWNS 301234
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0732 AM CDT FRI AUG 30 2024
VALID TIME 301300Z - 311200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 44208340 44208303 44028262 43378241 42808235 42238285
42088323 42168388 42598404 43178422 43558426 44018412
44208340
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 42907963 41357981 40338191 39018718 37909091 38329186
39179187 39749113 40309023 41718741 43308561 44628456
45168188
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 37128150 38067991 37977910 37107850 36727799 36477660
36157579 35107575 34617673 34957800 34658077 33828248
33698319 34118388 34728418 37128150
0.05 42907963 41347980 40198191 38748672 37709058 37329209
37259320 37429375 37819378 38149352 39339222 41328868
43368565 44628455 45178186
0.15 42608200 42088325 42158390 42618407 43258418 43518421
43748414 44018344 44228190
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 42608200 42088325 42158390 42618407 43268419 43518421
43748415 44018343 44228190
MRGL 42907963 41347980 40198191 38748672 37719056 37329208
37259319 37429375 37819377 38149353 39339222 41338867
43368565 44628455 45178186
MRGL 37138149 38067990 37987910 37107851 36727799 36477660
36157579 35117575 34617673 34957800 34658077 33828248
33698319 34118388 34728418 37138149
TSTM 30598243 30618135 30978059 32527908 32997884 33307925
33267988 32358103 31958178 31898290 31708357 31288375
30918353 30728302 30598243 99999999 29049718 29879670
31679575 32109612 32249675 31979741 31129780 30229821
29529846 28979859 28799850 28729829 28689776 29049718
99999999 31331318 31791301 32321250 32751231 33171255
33321347 33751475 35551575 36901482 37311363 37471244
37021167 36941110 37341040 38320856 38560811 39240698
39820632 40070569 40010470 39720435 39240398 37980385
37260364 36790298 36890163 37239991 37869863 38819707
39889493 42439030 44238774 46748669 48238587 99999999
45517292 45207298 44017331 43167384 41477709 40267822
39697866 39167796 39437725 40377558 40987375 40977268
40777150 40637121 40487105
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E
MTC 10 SSE DTW 10 WSW ARB 30 ESE LAN 20 SSW MBS MBS 15 NNW MBS 25 NW
BAX 60 ENE BAX.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W
BUF FKL 15 N ZZV 30 S BMG 10 WSW FAM 30 S TBN 10 ENE SGF 25 WNW SGF
45 NNW SGF 40 S SZL 35 N COU MMO 30 ENE MKG 20 NNE HTL 85 E APN.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW
BLF 30 NE SSU 25 SSW SHD 40 NW AVC AVC 25 WNW ECG 25 ESE ECG 10 SW
HSE 35 SSE EWN 25 WNW OAJ 40 SSE CLT 45 NW AGS 20 SSE AHN 35 WNW AHN
60 ESE CHA 20 SW BLF.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W JAX 20 ENE JAX
50 ESE SSI 60 ESE CHS 50 S CRE 30 SW CRE 25 NNE CHS 20 NNE SAV 35
WSW SAV 35 WSW VDI 40 ENE ABY 15 NNE MGR 15 WNW VLD 15 ESE VLD 45 W
JAX ...CONT... 20 NW VCT 55 SSW CLL 45 ESE CRS 15 ENE CRS 25 NW CRS
25 NNW ACT 25 W TPL 30 W AUS SAT 40 S SAT 50 ENE COT 45 WNW NIR 20
NNW NIR 20 NW VCT ...CONT... 115 SSW GBN 80 SSW GBN 45 SSE GBN 25
ESE GBN 20 NNE GBN 50 WNW GBN 10 N BLH 50 SW LAS 50 SSW P38 15 N SGU
20 SW BCE 15 WNW PGA 20 E PGA 20 SE U17 40 WSW MTJ 10 WNW MTJ ASE 35
ENE EGE 45 SW FCL 20 NNE DEN 30 E DEN 15 W LIC 20 WSW LHX 40 E TAD
25 NNE CAO 15 NNW GUY 35 S DDC 40 N P28 30 SW MHK 10 N STJ 20 E DBQ
MTW 45 ENE MQT 140 NNW ANJ ...CONT... 55 NW EFK 40 WNW EFK 35 SSW
BTV 15 SW GFL 15 NNW IPT AOO 40 WNW MRB 15 S MRB 30 SE HGR 20 SSW
ABE 25 N JFK 25 ENE ISP 30 S BID 40 SSE BID 55 SSE BID.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 30, 12:32z for portions of ILN---------------
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