The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 28, 12:52z for portions of PAH249
WUUS01 KWNS 281253
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0752 AM CDT WED AUG 28 2024
VALID TIME 281300Z - 291200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 47650142 48140020 47779880 45949729 43879794 43459874
43390058 43970125 45540182 47650142
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 37998586 37168930 36419141 36759253 37779220 41178801
41838561 41948127 41237688 40797505 40067377 38987472
38317616 38378197 37998586
0.05 49249742 46939680 44069762 43449872 42970015 43330160
44790231 46410254 49230234
0.15 44569829 43799957 43940125 45510181 47340184 48250090
48469970 48279871 47409806 46409777 44569829
SIGN 45599874 44119919 43809955 43950123 44780153 45500181
47140165 47630095 47660007 47439928 46969877 45599874
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 37947483 38307614 38417993 38398202 38018580 37168938
36409141 36739253 37789222 39199054 41188801 41868565
41968219 41557489 41447179 41157157 40387267
0.05 49219557 47449575 44059759 43439872 42980020 43340160
44810232 46430255 49220235
0.15 44579828 43819959 43960123 45490182 47340185 48240090
48479970 48299874 47409807 46409777 44579828
0.15 38327462 39077677 39468152 38798673 39818709 41008564
41518188 41387962 41027589 40227339
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 43809960 43950125 45510181 47330185 48260089 48459971
48299873 47379805 46389778 44569829 43809960
SLGT 38337466 39077675 39468151 38798674 39808709 41008566
41508191 41257776 41027589 40247341
MRGL 49199560 47469575 44069757 43439874 42970020 43340159
44790231 46400255 49250235
MRGL 37957483 38307613 38378200 38018580 37168935 36419141
36739254 37769222 39219052 41178799 41848564 41958235
41557489 41437181 41157157 40397267
TSTM 31491287 34711318 35201241 35471118 36401023 37720953
38690763 38750467 38170360 37210300 34490359 32170454
30640546 99999999 29200418 29800391 31550351 32270268
32840192 33099934 33349716 33639606 34749584 36379610
40459606 41489546 41899571 42379676 42599787 42419948
42080111 42230246 42740305 44840349 49240374 99999999
48789259 45689290 44159210 43019103 42638997 42918713
43488485 43568233 42747869 42067449 41767288 41577142
40836977 99999999 37567516 37487749 37287965 37638139
37648402 36648800 35209166 34659275 34059320 33579298
33439195 33889063 34148917 33978735 33278552 32358410
31918325 31658278 31508234 31418208 31488167 32158067
32547981 32747886
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W
9V9 20 ESE PHP 35 SSE Y22 30 SW N60 20 E MOT 45 WNW DVL 15 NE DVL 40
NE JMS 55 SE JMS 10 NNW HON 15 W 9V9.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E
SBY 10 SSW BWI 10 NNW PKB 25 SSW BMG 25 NNE HUF 25 W FWA CLE 30 N
UNV 25 SSW AVP 35 SE JFK.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW
RRT 40 W BJI 30 NE MHE 40 SE 9V9 20 ENE VTN 50 S PHP 60 NW PHP 30
SSE DIK 85 NW MOT.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E
WAL 15 E NHK 20 W CRW 15 SSW SDF 15 ESE CGI 35 NW ARG 35 N FLP TBN
35 NNW STL 40 ESE MMO 25 S AZO 45 NW CLE 10 SSW MSV 15 ENE GON BID
35 SE ISP.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 S GBN 45 W PRC 40
N PRC 35 NE FLG 75 ESE PGA 10 NNW 4BL 20 NE MTJ COS 10 NNW LHX 20
WSW SPD 15 WNW CVS 20 SW CNM 90 WNW MRF ...CONT... 80 S MRF 40 S MRF
25 SW INK 35 NW MAF 50 NNW BGS 50 NNE ABI 40 NNE FTW 30 SE DUA 10
SSW MLC 15 NW TUL 35 NW FNB 25 ENE OMA 20 WSW DNS 20 W SUX 35 SW YKN
30 ESE ANW MHN 20 NE AIA CDR 50 S 2WX 75 N ISN ...CONT... 40 ENE INL
55 E STC 25 NE RST 45 WSW LNR 40 ENE DBQ 35 ENE RAC 40 W MBS 35 ESE
BAX 15 S BUF 30 NNE MSV 15 SW BDL 10 S PVD 35 SSE ACK ...CONT... 30
SSE WAL 10 W RIC 20 E ROA 20 SW BKW 35 WNW JKL 30 W HOP 35 S BVX 25
ENE HOT 30 S HOT 25 NNW ELD 20 SW LLQ 35 NE GLH 25 WSW TUP 45 NW BHM
30 SE ANB 35 SW MCN 55 WSW VDI 35 NW AYS 15 N AYS 20 ENE AYS 25 NNW
SSI 30 E SAV 30 SSE CHS 65 S CRE.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 28, 12:52z for portions of PAH---------------
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