[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 25, 5:56z for portions of PBZ

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 25, 5:56z for portions of PBZ

674 
WUUS01 KWNS 250558
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1256 AM CDT SUN AUG 25 2024

VALID TIME 251200Z - 261200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   48839185 48809191 47559308 45729473 44199656 42809852
       42809955 43459963 44499928 46169868 48069827 49569780
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   48618969 48059036 45729284 44039540 42429815 42400047
       43250110 43890232 44500281 45060251 45490180 46450009
       47999902 49509854
0.05   41130918 39410762 36200754 35040960 35401008 36931088
       40091076 40811049 41130918
0.05   42508440 42588351 42188227 41698106 41358069 41118060
       40378101 39958148 40988372 41358413 42218454 42508440
0.15   48659212 47389331 45639484 44099670 42839851 42739990
       43040043 43390059 43940042 46299911 49319819
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   48838895 47139068 45659251 44199494 42369767 42400047
       43180104 43290112 43920231 44530278 45060248 46440008
       47959896 49519854
0.05   44040828 44100620 43630471 42370423 40370310 38870153
       38409942 38379769 38069729 37639728 36569814 35710039
       34540501 33890775 34180904 35100988 35821049 37181108
       40581078 43010985 44040828
0.05   42578376 42608348 42188219 41708107 41358067 41128057
       40338103 39938146 40978375 41338416 42218458 42528441
       42578376
0.15   48659212 47479315 45619478 44099667 42829855 42739996
       43030043 43410060 43880043 46369909 49369816
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   48659212 45619478 44099667 42839851 42739996 43030043
       43410060 43940042 46369909 49319819
MRGL   42528441 42608348 42188219 41708107 41358067 41128057
       40338103 39938146 40978375 41338416 42218458 42528441
MRGL   40581078 43010985 44040828 44100620 43630471 42370423
       40370310 38870153 38409942 38379769 38069729 37639728
       36569814 35710039 33890775 34180904 35821049 37181108
       40581078
MRGL   49048876 47139065 46709121 45679248 44199494 42369767
       42400047 43170102 43280114 43880230 44530281 45060250
       46450007 48029904 48139898 49489855
TSTM   46066704 44376872 42437195 41617300 41107377 41567492
       42587453 43747431 44747489 45467503 99999999 43138060
       42968068 42408045 41657941 40597815 39857825 39117919
       39148061 39888260 40368407 40998544 41078698 40828884
       39809009 39059092 37829217 37519354 37609564 36949674
       35759804 34390041 33730168 33290333 32540522 31890674
       31230702 99999999 31441227 35261163 36361224 38551230
       39541273 39661377 39391525 39501611 40661641 42911603
       44581600 45701499 46701334 47401132 47840903 47870435
       48400400 49020472 49510479 99999999 44309397 43849491
       41339919 40119903 39359775 39179643 39179572 39349462
       39649338 41589202 43039129 43889141 44489185 44419318
       44339388 44309397 99999999 47908612 46378754 45128576
       43998431 43018295 42388233 42678207 99999999 34017715
       34847622 35567446 99999999 25799947 27629921 29159805
       30259615 31329368 31248972 30418671 30228512 30738416
       31528307 32518011 33427815

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNW
ELO 35 ESE AXN 15 SSE BKX 25 NNE ONL 10 N ANW 15 NNE VTN 40 N VTN 30
SSW PIR 45 SSW JMS 70 NW HCO.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N
JXN 25 NNW DTW 45 SE MTC 35 NNW YNG YNG 10 SSE YNG 25 WNW HLG 25 E
ZZV FDY 25 SW TOL JXN 20 N JXN.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE
EVW 35 NNE BPI 15 WNW WRL 35 WSW GCC 65 SE GCC 20 N TOR 15 NNE AKO
35 SSE GLD 45 SW RSL 25 NNE HUT 30 NNE ICT 10 E ICT 20 NW END 55 E
BGD 50 W ONM 55 E SOW 55 NNE INW 25 NE PGA 50 SSE EVW.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 NE
GNA 35 E BFW 20 NW ASX 65 NNE MSP 25 SSE RWF 30 NNW OFK 30 WSW ANW
35 NW VTN 40 NW VTN 35 WSW PHP 35 NNE RAP 60 SE 2WX 40 SE BIS 10 SW
DVL DVL 90 NW HCO.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E HUL 20 WSW BHB
10 NNW ORH 30 SW BDL 35 N JFK 10 SSW MSV 40 WSW ALB 45 S SLK 15 SSW
MSS 35 NNW MSS ...CONT... 75 NNW ERI 65 NNW ERI 25 NNW ERI 30 NE FKL
20 NNE AOO 30 WNW HGR 40 ENE EKN 45 WNW EKN 15 ESE CMH 30 NNE DAY 15
W FWA 25 S VPZ 25 N BMI 20 W SPI 35 NW STL TBN 20 NNW SGF 10 WSW CNU
25 NE PNC 35 NW OKC 10 WSW CDS 10 ENE LBB 45 N HOB 55 NNW GDP 20 WNW
ELP 55 SW ELP ...CONT... 90 WSW TUS 10 NNE FLG 30 N GCN 40 ENE MLF
15 NW U24 55 SW DPG 25 WNW ELY 10 WSW P68 25 E BAM 45 SSE BOI 20 SSE
MYL 45 SE P69 10 WNW 3DU GTF 60 NNE LWT 15 NNW SDY 25 NW ISN 75 NNE
OLF 105 NNE OLF ...CONT... MKT 30 WNW FRM 25 ESE BBW 40 S EAR 15 SSW
CNK 15 ENE MHK 10 NW TOP 15 N MKC 15 SE CDJ 25 SW CID 50 NNW DBQ 10
W LSE 30 SW EAU 30 S MSP 10 NNE MKT MKT ...CONT... 115 NE MQT 10 S
MQT 30 NNW TVC 30 SE HTL 30 NNW MTC 30 ESE MTC 40 E MTC ...CONT...
45 ESE ILM 45 SW HSE 70 ENE HSE ...CONT... 80 WSW MFE 15 ENE LRD 35
SE SAT 25 SSE CLL 35 WNW POE 30 SW PIB 30 SSW CEW 35 E PFN 25 NNE
TLH 45 WNW AYS 25 S CHS 50 ESE CRE.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 25, 5:56z for portions of PBZ

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