The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 16, 19:33z for portions of IWX738
WUUS01 KWNS 161935
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0233 PM CDT FRI AUG 16 2024
VALID TIME 162000Z - 171200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 40538710 40718892 41838983 43088979 44898986 45298877
45258623 42828523 41188593 40538710
0.05 35210163 35690220 36680263 36840261 38210239 39530318
42930499 44820559 45460448 45010332 42290183 41380070
40239883 38989624 37679357 36479166 34899217 34539509
34679542 35319715 35409768 35179996 35180108 35210163
0.15 36229775 36959945 37179934 37609904 37859828 38209769
38369695 37689539 36439362 35709413 35769577 36229775
SIGN 36029630 36219763 36929939 37379872 37449793 38169771
38289723 38079670 37309539 36529550 36079617 36029630
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 43128165 41928032 40958025 38208131 35298348 33838452
32708620 32528873 33509278 34589522 35329715 35409769
35180000 35180094 35210162 35690222 36710263 37390255
38220239 39430311 42990502 44820559 45500451 44990331
42290181 41380069 40169873 39009634 37529322 36969105
37108945 37658806 38728701 39858719 40688889 41838985
43078978 44898986 45318880 45248624 43128165
0.15 36259788 36929947 37239934 37609906 37859828 38199768
38359695 37669535 36959348 36379189 35399239 34959326
35189456 35579576 36259788
SIGN 36299768 36799904 37039922 37449867 37529779 37689706
37059581 36469556 36059619 36299768
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 36959946 37199934 37609905 37859829 38189769 38359698
38329688 37659537 36389190 35399238 34959326 35179458
36239779 36959946
MRGL 43138167 41928031 40968024 38178133 35318347 33858450
32708618 32528872 33489275 34569516 35099656 35329716
35409769 35289904 35189996 35180108 35210163 35680221
36710263 37450254 38230239 39470313 42920500 44830559
45460450 45000331 42300182 41380071 40169873 39049641
37549326 36979107 37108948 37648805 38728700 39868721
40708891 41838982 43078979 44888986 45298880 45258623
43138167
TSTM 49640454 46740341 46200298 44660183 43610147 42920071
42209892 41679669 40269497 39839339 40199220 41649274
41909290 44339485 46249509 47329491 49509233 99999999
45407544 41787543 39987631 37357777 35777998 34158258
33368362 31908579 31168652 30748658 29768615 29398580
99999999 27658337 27458191 27768038 28107969 99999999
27739631 28639720 29209709 29869595 30249458 30719434
31419409 31959506 31509753 31429954 31880057 32670209
32070560 31410571 30800458 29830434 28990413 99999999
31401301 33501350 33791303 33761241 33391182 33501132
34021111 34461117 35231096 35441033 35330927 35600727
36120586 37170483 37930310 38280260 38620294 40570427
41000511 41520545 42750626 43981000 44441280 44171502
44031813 44221881 46821883 47421889 47581914 47552038
48042229 49442275 99999999 37791567 38211453 38031394
36561349 35821393 35551489 35881538 36561588 37201612
37791567 99999999 47526739 43887005 43357068 42877220
43367317 45437417
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WNW
AVK 40 W P28 35 NW P28 25 WSW HUT 10 NE HUT 45 W EMP 40 W EMP CNU 25
S UNO 40 ENE RUE 25 SSW RUE 10 N RKR 10 SE END 45 WNW AVK.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 ENE
MTC 15 SSW ERI 30 SE YNG 20 SE CRW 45 SE TYS 15 NNW ATL 30 NNE MGM
15 N MEI 20 NNE ELD 40 ESE MLC 45 SSE CQB 25 ESE OKC OKC 10 ESE CSM
45 WSW CSM 35 E AMA AMA 30 SE DHT 35 ENE CAO 15 NNE SPD 20 NE LAA 30
ENE LIC 20 ENE DGW 35 N GCC 45 E 4BQ 40 SSE 2WX 40 WNW MHN 20 N LBF
35 SSW HSI 15 ESE MHK 25 NNE SGF 35 WNW POF 10 SSE CGI 40 SW EVV 35
SW BMG 30 NNE HUF 15 N BMI 45 NE MLI 20 ESE LNR 10 NW CWA 40 SE RHI
50 NW TVC 70 ENE MTC.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110 NNW ISN 30 W DIK
40 SSW DIK 45 NNW PHP 30 SSE PHP 10 WNW VTN 25 SSW ONL 30 WSW TQE 35
N STJ 10 E CDJ 20 ENE IRK 30 NE OXV 45 NNE OXV 20 SE RWF 30 NNE AXN
15 S BJI 80 NE INL ...CONT... 45 NW MSS 35 W MSV 30 ESE CXY 25 WSW
RIC 25 S GSO 25 SSE AND 45 SSW AHN 15 E TOI 25 N CEW CEW 40 SW PFN
50 WSW AAF ...CONT... 45 WSW PIE 40 WSW AGR 10 NNE VRB 55 NE VRB
...CONT... 70 S PSX 25 SW VCT 25 NNW VCT 45 WNW HOU 40 WNW BPT 45 SE
LFK 40 ENE LFK 35 SE TYR 20 WSW ACT 45 SW BWD 35 N SJT 45 NW BGS 50
ENE ELP 50 SE ELP 45 NW MRF 40 SSW MRF 95 S MRF ...CONT... 105 S GBN
60 NW GBN 60 NNW GBN 30 NW PHX 10 ESE PHX 40 E PHX 65 WSW SOW 45 SSW
INW 20 NW INW 35 NE INW 30 WSW GUP 35 SSW 4SL 40 NNE SAF 30 WSW TAD
25 ESE LHX 15 NNE LAA 40 NNW LAA 40 ENE FCL 20 WSW CYS 20 NE LAR 15
SE CPR 45 NE JAC 25 WSW MQM 60 NW SUN 50 NE BNO 45 N BNO 45 SE EPH
30 ENE EPH 25 NE EPH 15 NW EAT 40 N SEA 45 NNW BLI ...CONT... 65 W
P38 40 N P38 45 NE P38 35 S SGU 40 N IGM 40 SSE LAS 20 SW LAS 10 SE
DRA 35 N DRA 65 W P38 ...CONT... 55 NNE CAR 20 NE PWM 20 NNE PSM EEN
15 SW RUT 50 NE MSS.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 16, 19:33z for portions of IWX---------------
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