The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 17, 5:42z for portions of PAH841
WUUS01 KWNS 170543
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1242 AM CDT SAT AUG 17 2024
VALID TIME 171200Z - 181200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 38778222 36728413 36638544 37488634 38978486 39938330
39718237 38778222
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 40448386 40768191 39478088 37328242 34448555 33458923
33839289 35039442 36079467 36599413 36409321 35789237
35858996 36538886 38658702 40448386
0.05 49340367 47390311 46320313 46240358 46600434 49340646
0.05 38650311 41940239 42620155 42250040 41150000 38870076
38110185 38650311
0.05 43442139 41732236 41292304 41432344 41872354 43172334
44802308 45672297 46522294 47772180 48072089 48101976
47671938 46851889 46271914 44742065 43442139
0.15 36688403 36178577 36788674 37918611 39788330 39608195
38158218 36688403
0.15 42832286 44682248 45892217 46432209 46782161 46752070
44952106 44052175 43442209 42902245 42832286
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 44337679 42037671 39927640 38817651 37407709 36667814
36537885 36128026 35298219 33988358 32098523 31798669
31798808 32519004 33019111 33899300 35029442 36089466
36589412 36419319 35789234 35868989 36518891 38678699
39708506 40578377 41618297 42268263 42878188
0.05 38690307 41900236 42650146 42160038 41209992 38920069
38100192 38690307
0.05 49330366 47410311 46300316 46240355 46610436 49360645
0.05 41601275 41641141 41521000 40910854 40160833 39250849
37531014 35431107 34991258 35971416 37041465 38641473
39791461 40761442 41601275
0.05 41312304 41432344 41972355 43132336 45662296 46512296
47202240 47782183 48062085 48081981 47601934 46841890
46301913 45801964 44692067 43412144 41732235 41312304
0.15 36798682 37938608 39888322 39598192 38168215 36688399
36178577 36798682
0.15 46742070 45992081 45582088 44942107 42922246 42802285
45622220 46412213 46772161 46742070
0.15 37821345 40161286 41081202 40921034 39491028 37131148
36751288 37821345
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 37948609 39798335 39598193 38138215 36678401 36168577
36778677 37948609
SLGT 45852218 46412213 46772161 46742070 45582088 44942107
44052175 42902245 42832286 45852218
SLGT 37991347 40181291 41081202 40901024 39341033 37121152
36751288 37991347
MRGL 45692296 46512296 47782183 48062085 48081981 47601934
46841890 46301913 44692067 41732236 41292304 41432344
41872354 45692296
MRGL 49340367 47390311 46370313 46300316 46240355 46600434
49340646
MRGL 40761442 41601275 41641141 41521000 40910854 40160833
39250849 37531014 35411116 34981266 35971416 37041465
38641473 40761442
MRGL 41130002 38880073 38110187 38650311 41940242 42610156
42230039 41130002
MRGL 44337679 42037671 39927640 38817651 37407709 36667814
36128026 35298219 33238416 32028524 31728667 31818803
32519004 33899300 35029442 36079467 36599413 36409321
35789237 35858996 36518891 38678699 39708506 40578377
41398299 42348244 43118158
TSTM 45637445 44647455 43607479 42637442 40817315 39247296
37877345 36667471 35867729 33588047 31228256 29778440
29128565 99999999 26248258 27218163 27118049 26157938
99999999 27939593 29369566 29479590 29899595 30239582
31209422 31989394 32769607 32569773 33259999 33290253
33310365 32640517 32340658 31250750 99999999 31521326
33301296 33751355 36701631 37641654 40481628 42221545
42831484 42981362 42470966 42150708 41870575 41900521
41940486 42110454 42560446 44450569 50080989 99999999
49531730 47691723 42432092 40102163 39352284 39122352
39182442 99999999 49860223 47150174 43729871 41879684
40929639 40579666 39699759 39339858 38849983 37560209
36610285 36360244 36360078 36239899 36219738 36849665
37679562 37779434 37319285 36619156 36699026 37728954
38558882 39528904 42059183 43849435 44759408 45109317
45349162 46378819 46608620 47238377
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW
SDF 30 WSW CMH 25 S ZZV 25 SE HTS 30 S LOZ 40 WNW CSV 25 SW BWG 25
SW SDF.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE
PDX 55 SE OLM 50 WNW YKM 15 NNW YKM 15 E DLS 45 S DLS 35 WSW RDM 40
NNE MFR 30 N MFR 30 NE PDX.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW
CDC DPG 10 S OGD 50 ESE EVW 25 NNW U28 15 NNW PGA 45 ESE SGU 30 NW
CDC.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW
PDX 30 S OLM 30 NE SEA 55 NNW EAT 30 SSW OMK 20 NNE EPH 45 SE EPH 45
WNW ALW 40 NE RDM 30 N MHS 35 W MHS 45 NE ACV 35 E CEC 20 WNW PDX.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 N
ISN 45 NNW DIK 35 SSW DIK 40 SSW DIK 35 ESE BHK 15 NNW BHK 80 N GGW.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W
ENV 45 SSW MLD 30 NW EVW 50 W RKS 55 SSE RKS 50 WSW CAG 10 NNE GJT
30 E U17 35 NE FLG 25 NNW PRC 50 NNW IGM 40 S P38 45 S ELY 20 W ENV.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW
BBW 60 SW HLC 45 E LAA 45 NNW LAA 20 ESE AIA 45 NNW MHN 30 SW ANW 30
SW BBW.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WNW
ART 15 SE ELM 30 SE CXY 25 SSE BWI 15 ESE RIC AVC 20 W GSO 20 ESE
AVL 30 SSE ATL 40 SSW CSG 30 NE GZH 55 SE MEI 70 S GWO 40 S HOT 10 E
RKR 30 W FYV 25 SSW UMN 10 NNW HRO 30 S FLP 35 WSW DYR 40 SSW PAH 40
SSW BMG 40 SSE MIE 30 S FDY 45 NE FDY 25 SE MTC 70 ENE MTC.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE MSS 25 SE MSS
45 NE UCA 35 WSW ALB ISP 90 E ACY 110 E WAL 85 E ORF 35 E RWI 25 ENE
OGB 10 WSW AYS 40 E AAF 55 SW AAF ...CONT... 50 WSW FMY 35 SSW AGR
35 S VRB 55 SE PBI ...CONT... 60 SSE PSX 20 NW LBX 35 NW LBX 45 WNW
HOU 40 SSW UTS 30 E LFK 35 SSW SHV 45 E DAL 25 SE MWL 60 NNW ABI 50
WSW LBB 50 NNW HOB 55 ESE ALM 40 NNW ELP 70 S DMN ...CONT... 105 SSW
GBN 30 NNW GBN 70 E BLH 15 W DRA 40 SE TPH 30 ESE BAM 40 ENE OWY 30
NW TWF 30 NNE BYI 25 ESE BPI 25 NNE RWL 40 N LAR 45 NNE LAR 35 WSW
TOR 20 W TOR 40 NNW TOR 10 NW GCC 105 N HVR ...CONT... 125 NE OMK 15
ENE GEG 30 NW LKV 35 E RBL 25 NE UKI 15 W UKI 65 W UKI ...CONT...
120 NNW MOT 35 SSW N60 30 E 9V9 30 ESE OFK 20 ENE LNK 20 SSE LNK 10
NNE CNK 35 NNE RSL 35 S HLC 35 ENE SPD 20 ENE CAO 25 NNE DHT 45 ESE
GUY 40 SSW AVK 30 ESE END 25 ENE PNC 10 W CNU 45 NNE JLN 30 ENE SGF
20 ESE UNO 15 ESE POF 15 WSW MDH 10 SE SLO 25 SSW DEC 15 NNW CID 15
NNE FRM 35 NNW MKT 15 N MSP 35 NNW EAU 30 WSW MQT 65 E MQT 60 NNE
ANJ.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 17, 5:42z for portions of PAH---------------
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