The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at May 16, 5:59z for portions of PAH267
WUUS02 KWNS 160600
PTSDY2
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1259 AM CDT THU MAY 16 2024
VALID TIME 171200Z - 181200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2
... TORNADO ...
0.02 28269493 28379496 29379498 30429439 31939283 33329067
34178890 34798751 35058641 34908549 33978435 33488408
32668382 31638362 29218442
0.05 29339340 30429332 31509274 32169189 32559086 32588974
32478880 32028802 31718770 31018733 29568774
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 26849646 27249783 27799844 28319834 29019768 29959673
30739602 31569541 32569506 33709560 33939602 34489654
34979666 35359653 35739629 36129481 36079173 35808913
35208706 34508562 33768471 32638438 31008483 29298558
0.15 29259341 30379339 31409288 32619124 32959039 33598835
33818761 33898715 33768673 33268640 32748654 31008738
30508750 29588773
SIGN 30639321 31439290 32459030 32428903 32078861 31528871
30988908 30318998 30039114 30089250 30639321
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 49309400 47799578 45599845 44440027 43960253 43950315
44210455 44820560 45560545 46260473 47330279 48410149
49709979
0.05 26929657 27279788 27829844 28319837 28809788 29749697
30709595 31349555 32529511 33599562 34349657 35139663
35629636 35929577 36109519 36799140 37438824 37408671
37068493 36738403 36288349 35528308 34938292 33978277
32128270 30638349 29288434
0.15 29319346 30429335 31409288 32459148 33099002 33608829
33908726 33738674 33368639 32688609 32078600 31448599
30288594 29468609
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 29319346 30379339 31409288 32169189 32619124 33099002
33908726 33768673 33368639 32688609 32078600 30288594
29568607
MRGL 49219410 45599845 44440027 43960253 43950315 44210455
44820560 45560545 46260473 47330279 49490007
MRGL 26909665 27279788 27799844 28319837 30069663 31409553
32529511 33599562 34349657 34979666 35739629 36109519
37438824 37408671 37068493 36738403 36288349 35528308
33978277 32128270 30638349 29288434
TSTM 30118064 29988187 29488286 28928363 28878367 99999999
44797630 42237671 39597769 37617834 36507801 35147762
33847636 99999999 47568482 45198905 44549172 44069782
43470145 43330350 43310626 43980779 44350860 44820929
45700948 46370890 46960773 47330670 47800518 48690416
50100343 99999999 30650622 31540573 31920416 32010288
32300164 32780079 33530034 34130028 34920027 35659995
36449941 37769771 38969540 39809332 40899078 42118831
43418558 44348455 45988337 46438312
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SE
BPT 20 NNW LCH 25 SSE IER 25 SSE MLU 45 E MLU 30 S GWO 35 NW BHM 15
N BHM 25 SE BHM 30 NE MGM 15 N TOI 15 WNW PFN 50 SSW PFN.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NW
INL 10 N ABR PIR 25 ESE RAP 10 SW RAP 50 E GCC 35 N GCC 10 NNW 4BQ
25 WSW BHK 35 N DIK 100 NNE MOT.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SE
CRP 35 SSE ALI 25 W ALI 45 W NIR 40 SSW CLL 45 N UTS 20 NE TYR 10
WSW PRX 25 E ADM 50 W MLC 30 E CQB 30 NNE MKO 40 NE PAH 35 SE OWB 45
W LOZ 25 S LOZ 45 NE TYS 30 SSW HSS 30 E AHN 20 WSW VDI 15 SW VLD 50
SE AAF.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ENE SGJ 30 NE GNV
20 SE CTY 60 SSW CTY 65 SSW CTY ...CONT... 55 NNW ART 10 ENE ELM 10
SSE HGR 35 S CHO 15 S AVC 20 N OAJ 95 ESE ILM ...CONT... 80 NNW ANJ
35 ENE AUW 25 SSW EAU 25 NNE MHE 40 S PHP 40 NNW CDR 30 NNE CPR 10 E
WRL 25 ESE COD 25 NNW COD 45 W BIL 45 NNW BIL 80 E LWT 60 S GGW 30
SE OLF 45 NW ISN 135 N ISN ...CONT... 80 S ELP 40 ESE ELP 30 SSE CNM
25 NE INK 10 WNW BGS 55 NE BGS 60 S CDS 20 S CDS 35 N CDS 45 WNW CSM
45 WSW AVK 15 WNW ICT 15 ESE TOP 15 E CDJ 20 ENE BRL 40 E RFD 35 ENE
MKG HTL 60 SE ANJ 60 E ANJ.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at May 16, 5:59z for portions of PAH---------------
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