The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 6, 19:55z for portions of IND093
WUUS01 KWNS 061957
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0255 PM CDT TUE AUG 06 2024
VALID TIME 062000Z - 071200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 42118540 42268227 42017972 41407659 41127615 40147596
40057748 40568323 40898525 41698605 42118540
0.02 32457943 33058063 33468041 34267970 34737904 35117804
35487671 35127395
0.05 41647881 41257719 40987696 40327759 40548015 40798262
41018369 41218424 41558414 41698358 41938026 41647881
0.05 32547942 33088029 34057955 34627866 34857764 34817688
34517546
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 39717834 39948178 40558490 41158551 41518479 41958051
41437471 40987419 40167426 39847468 39727655 39717834
0.05 49250247 47400228 46670207 42860269 40260288 38270412
37880480 38180539 40890561 42990571 44350774 45321159
46171357 47511438 49271446
0.15 49230677 47830552 47250588 46260723 45540874 45731002
46321189 47121330 49281352
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 42078551 42378461 42247978 41917686 41806988 41246987
40377316 39707366 39157590 38997757 39497878 39548112
39708620 40318723 41298713 42078551
0.05 49540257 47130223 45540170 42740185 39460286 38130396
37810458 37830531 38170546 42970572 44340776 45321160
46201357 47551440 49591451
0.05 32211463 33241516 34411474 35401357 35601315 35521243
35301192 35091160 33811027 33100988 30970924
0.15 47541225 48021208 48401081 48590620 47460516 46990483
45660367 45280337 44200272 43560280 43390353 43560481
44240646 45400923 45801036 46301182 46591224 47031238
47541225
0.15 32051425 33891421 34241324 34201197 33751102 32951067
31081046
0.15 39958197 40518480 41178543 41478476 41888021 41537631
41207388 40817335 39867397 39817454 39717625 39707814
39958197
0.30 41668006 40997528 40617515 40017542 40147704 40628036
41078117 41518084 41668006
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
ENH 41678008 41237662 41027531 40647517 40067537 40137696
40618032 41068121 41518078 41678008
SLGT 49230677 47770549 45270335 44180272 43550279 43380347
43560484 45000823 46291178 47141329 49301351
SLGT 32061422 33901422 34241323 34201199 33751104 32951068
31091049
SLGT 32567945 33078029 34067952 34637861 34857766 34817693
34587582
SLGT 41958020 41497580 41227394 40827345 39857396 39737601
39697803 39958197 40558485 41158549 41488470 41958020
MRGL 49250246 47390226 45540170 42710186 39490284 38110393
37800464 37820530 38130546 42990571 44360777 45311159
46191359 47531437 49291447
MRGL 32457944 33058061 33468040 33738017 34257973 34727905
35107803 35477667 35157415
MRGL 32171461 33231516 34421475 35381358 35581314 35531250
35321194 35071158 33811025 33090986 30880923
MRGL 38917762 39467890 39518104 39718631 40298722 41288714
42088552 42378462 42247981 41927693 41796989 41236986
40337309 39687372 39087602 38917762
TSTM 50079532 48839635 47989677 46659669 45319674 43599716
39039784 38529812 38369901 38210073 38270116 38120172
37320298 36740350 35820412 35440508 35000575 34940662
34650797 34250821 33580861 31350673 99999999 32351678
33491669 35811486 38531289 39991200 40751192 41101193
41481237 41701312 41731365 41831427 42261483 44141590
45881623 46301645 46621698 46761722 46751779 46721841
46771873 46901885 47851860 49671929 99999999 43447998
42717584 42697205 42706938 99999999 27728328 28318249
29198220 30088208 30828223 31528272 32528288 33788239
35448151 35688093 36128013 36327977 36927924 37297943
37798041 38398179 38548237 38508432 38268614 38228728
39258798 40168806 40648800 41598737 42518530 42748430
43008268 43218136
&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW
FKL 15 E IPT 25 NNE ABE 15 E ABE 15 NNW PHL 10 SW CXY 10 NNW PIT 15
NE CAK 20 NNW YNG 25 NNW FKL.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 N
GGW 25 S OLF 20 SSE 2WX 20 ENE RAP 35 SSE RAP 40 NNW CDR 60 NNE DGW
50 NE COD 25 SSE HLN 35 NNW 3DU 70 NW CTB.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE
YUM 35 NE BLH 55 WSW PRC 40 SE PRC 60 ENE PHX 60 NNE TUS 35 SSW FHU.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE
CHS 20 NW CHS 15 SE FLO 30 SSE FAY OAJ 20 SSE EWN 45 SSW HSE.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S
ERI 10 NNW AVP 30 S POU 20 W ISP 25 SE NEL 20 W ILG 15 W HGR ZZV 35
SSE FWA 20 NW FWA 45 NE FWA 10 S ERI.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 NW
MOT 45 WSW N60 35 SE Y22 60 NW MHN 35 WNW ITR 25 WNW LHX 35 SSW PUB
40 NE ALS 55 W PUB 25 NW DGW 30 NNE WRL 40 SSW BZN 40 SSW 3DU 45 NNW
MSO 70 N GPI.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE
CHS 30 SSE OGB 25 E OGB 40 SW FLO FLO 20 SSW FAY 25 S GSB 35 NE EWN
85 E HSE.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S
YUM 35 SW BLH 25 SSW EED 20 ENE IGM 50 ENE IGM 35 SW GCN 20 NW FLG
FLG 35 SSW SOW 20 NW SAD 45 SSE DUG.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W
DCA 50 W MRB 25 ENE PKB IND 20 WSW LAF 15 SSW VPZ 10 S AZO 10 NW JXN
20 ENE ERI 15 S ELM 20 ENE HYA 10 E ACK 30 S ISP 40 SE NEL 30 W DOV
30 W DCA.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 N RRT 25 ENE HCO
20 E GFK 20 SSE FAR 15 W VVV 20 W FSD 20 NNW SLN 30 SW SLN 35 SSW
RSL 20 N GCK 35 NW GCK 50 E LAA 20 W SPD 30 NW CAO 55 NNW TCC 15 SSE
LVS 45 SSE SAF ABQ 35 S GNT 65 SSW GNT 70 NNW SVC 35 SSW ELP
...CONT... 25 SW CZZ 30 WSW TRM 25 SE LAS 10 NE MLF 50 NNE U24 SLC
10 SE OGD 25 NW OGD 55 SW MLD 55 S BYI 45 SSE TWF 25 SW TWF 40 NNE
BOI 35 WSW P69 30 E LWS 10 SE PUW PUW 30 W PUW 45 N ALW 50 NNW ALW
40 SE EPH 50 WNW GEG 85 N OMK ...CONT... 70 WNW BUF 30 SSE SYR 20 SE
EEN 75 ESE PSM ...CONT... 40 WSW PIE 30 NNE PIE OCF 30 NNE GNV 30
SSE AYS 25 NW AYS 35 NW VDI 40 NW AGS 20 SSW HKY 25 E HKY 10 W GSO
20 NNE GSO 25 N DAN 15 WSW LYH SSU 10 W CRW 15 NE HTS 35 NNE LEX 25
WNW SDF 20 NE EVV 20 SE MTO 15 NE CMI 35 NW DNV 20 WNW VPZ 25 NNE
AZO 15 ESE LAN 30 NNE MTC 85 ENE MTC.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 6, 19:55z for portions of IND---------------
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