The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at Jul 29, 12:57z for portions of ILN218
WUUS01 KWNS 291259
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0757 AM CDT MON JUL 29 2024
VALID TIME 291300Z - 301200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 41690072 42410158 43540215 45080268 46500254 46950212
47189970 46799836 45729751 44129712 42929728 42309786
41739913 41690072
0.02 40329158 40619098 41328944 42528792 42638622 42438563
40638485 39508372 38328319 37368359 36248399 36198600
36998765 38128954 39799176 40329158
0.05 39798850 39968753 39908659 39538574 38938517 38338543
38088621 38328779 38638866 39088897 39798850
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 39437678 40527508 40597439 40397405 39877401 39327431
38757509 38627577 38777636 39047666 39437678
0.05 49889323 48439457 46599608 45759631 44279481 42559355
41729459 41999696 41379792 40529907 40410046 40670112
41030196 42580291 44890400 46180354 48740259 50210219
0.05 39639014 40448758 39798546 38428386 37518347 36568376
36378519 36608689 37138808 37818931 38479025 39639014
0.15 46180280 46640269 47600213 47189932 46259856 44659808
43129816 41799910 41570087 42370173 43620236 45090290
46180280
SIGN 47040027 46489904 45059883 43039936 41839957 41660076
42460162 43680229 45020272 46100266 46620260 46980212
47070094 47040027
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 49679326 47919447 46739546 45869541 45649499 45609444
45739272 46679090 47098839 46568700 45708687 44298901
43418890 42628563 40438471 38358199 36248026 34978013
33728082 32308314 32218462 33088554 34858622 36228755
37339013 39769214 40489330 41079536 41299719 40409912
40430049 41040193 42570288 44900399 46590334 49920220
0.05 39537690 40857502 40827417 40507399 39897403 39337430
38787508 38477563 38757637 38857679 39537690
0.15 47030218 47279975 46949850 45789747 45379729 43929657
43129656 42669685 42249798 41809909 41580083 42360169
43630236 45100288 46120278 46660269 47030218
0.15 39838654 39628593 37688375 36798418 36688526 36838649
37758862 38558926 39298879 39708808 39838654
SIGN 41720010 42840114 44320204 45440222 46890202 47050000
46909889 45939781 44339720 42779740 42279818 41969899
41720010
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 39798850 39968753 39908659 39538574 37688375 36798418
36688526 36838649 37758862 38558926 39798850
SLGT 46660269 47600213 47420043 47279975 46949850 45789747
43929657 43129656 42669685 41799910 41570087 42370173
43620236 45090290 46660269
MRGL 40857502 40827417 40507399 39877401 39337430 38757509
38477563 38857679 39537690 40857502
MRGL 49129364 47919447 46739546 45869541 45649499 45609444
45739272 46679090 47098839 46568700 45708687 44298901
43418890 42628563 40538475 38358199 36248026 34978013
33728082 32308314 32218462 33088554 34858622 36228755
37339013 39769214 40489330 41079536 41299719 40409912
40410046 41030196 42580291 44890400 49490239
TSTM 31581316 32801301 33741240 34321236 34751181 34791070
34910986 35110954 36010912 36880818 37580738 37770607
37690518 36880397 36610303 37410210 37940226 38500282
39570366 39950369 40650349 42190370 43410472 43790608
43370795 43360965 43521125 43961227 44801322 45271434
44641589 43771759 43451953 43522055 43912093 45002090
46612030 47771897 48491866 49341945 99999999 49531556
48561417 47571356 46521328 46141284 46121185 46261047
46050831 46370675 47570488 48400385 49920325 99999999
43877939 42407909 41637894 40917854 41027769 42037661
43157620 44367575 45467485 99999999 45707114 44397004
43366949 42256994 40087231 99999999 38517421 37557552
37047693 36077779 34647878 33477935 32597988 31388093
30518149 29598150 28978092 28707985 99999999 27979567
28759618 28909707 29359759 30189707 31289502 32249307
32809199 32879103 32709019 32828948 33438901 34638865
35668941 36549029 36969159 37499413 37129666 35929976
33280274 31580347 30220370 29010507
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E
DEC 15 SSE DNV 20 NW IND 30 ESE IND 20 WNW JKL 20 SSW LOZ 50 N CSV
10 SSW BWG 35 E MDH 15 WSW SLO 20 E DEC.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSE
DIK 35 W N60 45 NNE BIS 55 WNW JMS 10 E JMS 50 ENE ABR 25 NNE FSD 35
SSE FSD 30 NW SUX BUB 30 NNW LBF 40 WNW MHN 45 SE RAP 45 SE 2WX 10
SSE DIK.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE
ABE 10 N EWR 15 SW JFK 20 SE NEL 15 ESE ACY 35 SE DOV 10 NW SBY 15 E
DCA 25 NNW BWI 25 ENE ABE.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW
INL 35 NE BJI 20 ESE DTL AXN 25 SE AXN 20 W STC 65 NNE MSP 10 N ASX
CMX 25 E MQT 10 E ESC 30 NW OSH 30 NE MSN 20 SSW GRR 40 SE FWA 20 W
CRW 20 WNW GSO 45 WSW SOP 20 N OGB 40 SE MCN 30 SE CSG 30 WNW LGC 35
ENE HSV 30 SSW CKV 30 WNW CGI 30 SE IRK 35 ESE LWD 20 N SDA 15 SE
OLU 25 SSW EAR 15 NNE MCK 40 NNW IML 20 SSE CDR 50 SSW 2WX 100 NNW
MOT.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 SSW GBN 20 WSW GBN
30 NW PHX 25 S PRC 25 SSW FLG 15 S INW 45 N SOW 50 WSW GUP 40 NNW
GUP 10 NNE FMN 35 NE DRO 25 NNW ALS 40 ENE ALS 30 ENE RTN 15 NNE CAO
30 ENE SPD 25 ESE LAA 30 NNW LAA 20 N LIC 30 WSW AKO 35 NNW AKO 20
NNW BFF 55 NE DGW 45 SW GCC 35 NE RIW 55 ESE JAC 25 WSW JAC 30 NNW
IDA 40 SE SMN 25 WNW SMN 20 SSE MYL 70 E BNO 30 WSW BNO 60 SSE RDM
25 SSE RDM 45 SSE DLS 10 ENE YKM 40 NE EPH 40 E OMK 60 N OMK
...CONT... 100 NW GPI 15 NNE GPI 50 NNE MSO 10 SSW 3DU 20 NW BTM 35
ENE BTM 35 WSW 3HT 20 NNE BIL 40 W MLS 30 N GDV 20 NNW ISN 120 N ISN
...CONT... 75 NNW BUF 20 NNE JHW 20 SW BFD 25 SE DUJ 15 NE UNV 20
ESE ELM SYR 30 NNE ART 35 N MSS ...CONT... 70 N BML 15 WNW AUG 45
ESE PWM 45 NNE HYA 65 SE ISP ...CONT... 70 SSE ACY 25 S WAL 40 SSE
RIC 15 NNE RWI 25 SSE FAY 30 WSW CRE 25 SSE CHS 35 ENE SSI 10 E JAX
30 SSW SGJ 15 SSE DAB 65 NE MLB ...CONT... 65 SE PSX PSX 10 WNW VCT
35 SE BAZ 40 ESE AUS 15 WNW LFK 35 N IER 20 N MLU 40 S GLH 55 S GWO
55 NW MEI 35 WSW CBM 25 NNE TUP 25 S DYR 20 SSE POF 20 NE UNO 30 NE
JLN 35 NE PNC 50 NW CSM 50 NE HOB 20 SW INK 20 ESE MRF 115 SW MRF.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at Jul 29, 12:57z for portions of ILN---------------
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