The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 9, 6:00z for portions of IWX404
WUUS01 KWNS 090601
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CDT THU MAY 09 2024
VALID TIME 091200Z - 101200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 33719814 33829495 34399022 34638889 35588470 36288303
35878029 35377910 34717867 33887838 32388003 31688090
29778134 29288306 29438652 29318952 29529590 29409739
29419872 30059959 30710015 31820016 32739958 33719814
0.02 38077547 36577602 36687751 37257852 37967968 38388094
38508465 39748551 40138448 40698135 40657908 39637739
38667630 38077547
0.05 32939831 33429648 33389396 33279239 33978907 34748489
34778286 34498121 33178098 30768269 30748324 30798545
30908661 31059173 30859458 30649572 30059685 29999829
30499907 31019930 32249914 32939831
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 29099422 29049659 29019777 29279881 30190069 30810086
31470072 32810019 33559920 34289769 34459496 34379261
34429085 34608909 34938711 35528471 36458301 36978288
38248586 39268738 39918750 40298727 40778410 41078220
41218156 41317972 40247771 39937662 39087357 99999999
29728051 29448222 28908380
0.15 32279942 32979875 33639794 33919608 33939439 33739285
33988989 34278792 34578638 34798501 34938292 34548116
33978023 32657947 31078043 30548106 30438342 30949196
29909532 29469653 29339751 29549878 29969954 30389981
31109990 31509973 32279942
0.30 32169862 32649848 32939820 33419698 33619580 33529464
33339261 33219140 32858954 32408936 31979012 31849199
31689416 31359481 30789598 30059688 29989830 30429885
31409885 32169862
SIGN 29539874 29589886 29969955 30399981 31129988 32259943
33009872 33619793 33929607 33949445 33139321 32199313
31689419 30359590 29429695 29349752 29399783 29539874
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 29418025 28868181 28998357 99999999 29099422 28969759
29259893 30080074 30670100 31550076 32830025 33529933
34269773 34469496 34439266 34479106 34648919 35038726
35628479 36528309 37068307 38288574 39258731 39878740
40178726 40658476 41178165 41268067 41327972 40747857
40277770 39707572 39447480 39067350
0.15 29878012 29238179 29258295 30218829 30118992 30109222
30059411 29859538 29459657 29339755 29559878 29979954
30409983 31149986 32249948 32939879 33629794 33919606
33959441 33759306 33988989 34258825 34638657 34958449
35258286 35548133 37617935 39127848 39477802 39587752
39627686 39637664 39377552 38597401
0.30 30628092 30738541 31008929 31049309 30819495 30449648
30379736 30619849 30879878 31369886 32659851 32949818
33419706 33639580 33309255 33399004 33518764 33798512
33818374 33548237 33008107 32177988
SIGN 32928460 32498325 31738266 31168254 30678269 30688335
30758545 30998833 31069006 31119287 30729568 30929734
31199833 31919825 32669805 33079722 33369603 33299507
33289481 33309245 33209052 33118868 33098625 32928460
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
ENH 30628092 30738541 31008929 31049309 30819495 30479636
30059688 29989830 30429885 31369886 32659851 32939820
33419706 33639580 33319237 33518764 33798512 33818374
33548237 33008107 32177988
SLGT 29838025 29228177 29268288 30218829 30118992 30059411
29859538 29459657 29339755 29549878 29969954 30409983
31109990 32249948 32979875 33639794 33919608 33959441
33759302 33988989 35548133 37617935 39127848 39477802
39587752 39637664 39377552 38707422
MRGL 29448017 28868181 28978359 99999999 29099422 28969759
29259893 30080074 30670100 31550076 32830025 33529933
34289769 34469496 34479106 34648919 35628479 36528309
37058307 38248586 39268738 39918750 40298727 41218156
41327972 40277770 39147376
TSTM 29278011 28578181 28788384 99999999 28399484 28609706
28999886 29450031 30430107 32060115 33110069 33780012
34219973 34899890 35349818 35549740 35529673 35499612
35429531 35189338 35218960 36128577 36968375 37308404
37628518 38028627 38658733 39418813 39828865 40529907
40400284 39180375 36440311 35010309 34610437 34760567
36330764 37681057 37281288 37681462 38061579 39441609
41311493 42371321 42760918 42750678 43330504 44000237
43309760 42969516 42809222 43128737 43278177 99999999
43317966 43087854 42297693 41027456 39907314
&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E
JAX 15 WSW MAI 35 S PIB POE 30 SSW LFK 10 S CLL 50 SW CLL 25 NW BAZ
55 E JCT 30 S BWD 25 WSW MWL 15 NW MWL 30 SW GYI 20 W PRX 25 ENE ELD
20 N TCL 40 S RMG 25 WSW AHN 25 WNW AGS 35 SSW OGB 50 S CHS.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 E
SGJ 30 E OCF 30 SSE CTY 35 S MOB 20 SSW ASD 10 NW BPT 15 NNW HOU 45
NNE VCT 40 SE BAZ 20 W SAT 40 SSE JCT 10 SSW JCT 40 ESE SJT 15 SE
ABI 40 WNW MWL 40 SE SPS 20 E DUA DEQ 40 NNW ELD 35 SW UOX 15 SSE
HKY 20 NNW LYH 35 SW MRB MRB 15 SE HGR 30 N BWI 15 N DOV 55 SSE ACY.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE
DAB 30 SE OCF 55 SSW CTY ...CONT... 35 ESE GLS 40 N NIR 15 ESE HDO
50 NNE DRT 55 SSW SJT 20 NW SJT 45 NW ABI 55 WSW SPS 40 W ADM 45 NW
DEQ 55 ENE PBF 25 NE UOX 30 SE CSV 40 W TRI 40 SSE JKL 10 WNW SDF 15
SSW HUF 20 SSE DNV 20 ENE DNV 20 SE CLE 10 ESE FKL 30 E AOO 50 ESE
ACY.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 E DAB 30 W ORL 75
SW CTY ...CONT... 65 SE LBX 20 SSW VCT 30 SE HDO 35 E DRT 75 ENE 6R6
25 ESE BGS 75 NW ABI 45 SSE CDS 35 ESE CDS 25 NE LTS 20 NW CHK 15 NE
OKC 15 SSE CQB 40 ESE CQB 20 S MKO 15 WSW RUE 25 ENE MEM 40 WNW CSV
20 ESE LOZ 15 N LOZ 45 SW LEX 30 WSW SDF 45 NNE EVV 10 ESE MTO 10 E
DEC 15 SSW EAR 25 NE AKO LIC CAO 30 ESE TCC 60 SW TCC 45 N 4CR 45 SE
FMN 10 NE U17 30 SSE CDC P38 70 E TPH 10 SW P68 55 NE EKO 30 ESE BYI
25 W LND 20 SW CPR 45 NNE DGW 35 E RAP 30 NNW YKN 15 S SPW 20 NNE
ALO 30 ENE MKE 70 ESE BAX ...CONT... 55 WNW BUF 15 NE BUF 10 N ELM
30 NW EWR 60 SE JFK.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 9, 6:00z for portions of IWX---------------
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