CLE issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 28, 1:26 PM EDT767
FXUS61 KCLE 281726
AFDCLE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
126 PM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes were made to the forecast.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Above normal temperatures and mainly dry weather continue
through Saturday, outside of any isolated rain showers Thursday
night. Rain chances return Sunday and into early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
High pressure off the New England coast will allow for dry
weather to continue today into much of the day on Thursday.
Southerly return flow will allow for high temperatures to warm
into the 70s, well above normal for late October. High
temperatures may challenge record highs for Thursday, see
climate section below for more information.
A cold front will enter the region from the northwest Thursday
evening accompanied by weak forcing aloft. Latest hi-res
guidance has increased precipitation chances across Northwest
Ohio though the highest chances (40-60%) remain localized to
Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania.
High pressure returns Friday into Saturday allowing for another
window of dry weather. Temperatures will be slightly cooler, but
remain above normal with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s
and 50s.
The weather pattern takes a turn Sunday into next
week with rain chances returning Sunday. Rain chances look to
linger into next week.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z Wednesday THROUGH Monday/...
VFR across the TAF sites this afternoon with VFR to persist
through the TAF period. Only minor tweak in this update was to
include vcsh at CLE towards the end of the TAF period as rain
chances increase ahead of a cold front.
Outside of a weak lake breeze impacting ERI/CLE this afternoon,
winds will generally favor a west to southwest direction, around
5 knots. Winds will then increase out of the south to southwest
Thursday morning and afternoon, 10 to 12 knots with periodic
gusts up to 20 knots possible.
Outlook...Non-VFR possible with rain showers along a cold front
Thursday evening and overnight.
&&
.MARINE...
Winds remain offshore 5-10 knots through tonight, becoming light
and variable at times. Southerly to southwesterly winds will
increase to 10-15 knots tonight into Thursday before shifting
northwesterly to northerly behind a cold front Thursday
evening. Choppy conditions with waves 2-4 feet in the central
basin remain possible behind the frontal passage. High pressure
returns Friday and Saturday allowing for northerly to
northeasterly winds to remain 10 knots or less.
&&
.CLIMATE...
We are forecast to be within a few degrees of record warmth on
Thursday. Here are the record high temperatures for our six
climate sites on October 29th:
Date Toledo Mansfield Cleveland Akron Youngstown Erie
10-29 79(2024) 79(1922) 78(2024) 77(1900) 77(2024) 77(2024)
&&
.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...Kahn
MARINE...13
Source:
CLE issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 28, 1:26 PM EDT---------------
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