[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Oct 14, 19:51z for portions of ILN

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Oct 14, 19:51z for portions of ILN

179 
WUUS01 KWNS 141953
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0251 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2026

VALID TIME 142000Z - 151200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   33549840 32889962 31390080 30900126 30720151 30250232
       30260286 30670295 31170296 31680275 32750193 33430126
       34180073 34759989 35369875 35709798 35889710 36109601
       35759525 35469497 35169495 34729504 34439541 34369565
       34189631 33939733 33549840 
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   29230439 30270392 32020314 33660263 34870233 35640182
       35980143 36330062 36599976 36419956 35989939 35099902
       34379886 33589891 32769932 31860011 30480124 29520169
0.15   31030328 32090260 32410232 32610174 32390140 32100123
       31730131 30870151 30210190 29620239 28970300 28870328
       28940362 29370370 29720360 30120351 31030328 
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   37218529 36888668 36678740 36688756 36818789 37398803
       37678774 37998722 38178611 38388533 38818474 39598417
       40088366 40647849 40437771 40117750 39597732 39077730
       38517779 38387841 37908181 37658329 37358478 37218529
0.05   29280435 32050314 33460260 34980198 35590154 36250050
       36929916 37179780 37739406 37599286 36829255 35929287
       34969403 34379496 32999763 32109919 31569988 30460091
       29310143 
0.15   31290091 30930120 30690140 30350180 29950218 29890266
       30000312 30250331 30920315 31670280 32370241 33490153
       34160073 34550023 34729995 35369875 35909731 36159625
       36099594 35869537 35359491 34889493 34489528 34289578
       34029687 33639815 32929954 32200017 31900038 31560067
       31290091 
CIG1   33629858 33239948 32939978 32570017 32200062 31890091
       30990177 29880272 29510306 29080355 29320394 29850389
       30390372 30710346 31420321 32040285 32490258 33260170
       33850098 34350020 34859925 35059853 35109816 34959772
       34659760 34329765 33949795 33629858 
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   31030328 32090260 33490153 34550023 35369875 35909731
       36159625 35869537 35359491 34889493 34489528 33639815
       32929954 30690140 30300185 28970300 28870328 28940362
       29370370 31030328 
MRGL   29230439 32180309 34870233 35640182 35980143 36549991
       36929916 37739406 37599286 36829255 35929287 34969403
       34379496 32109919 31569988 30460091 29310143 
MRGL   37678774 37998722 38388533 38818474 39598417 40088366
       40647849 40437771 40117750 39597732 39077730 38517779
       38387841 37658329 37358478 36678740 36818789 37398803
       37678774 
TSTM   30470579 31630483 33260376 34070361 34620374 35420391
       36070432 36180521 36040684 36010816 36380952 36751013
       37231081 37961107 39011122 40730985 41540831 41760651
       41530524 42580412 43460236 43770055 43929856 43499700
       42779560 42069484 41339480 40679517 39959517 39749473
       39629381 39089175 38578955 38688710 40088484 41068152
       41267842 40527561 39707252 99999999 38527399 38177646
       37877965 35248646 34288978 33079355 32369446 31139523
       30459544 29709571 29299590 28579726 28859800 29959863
       30589874 30869912 30689957 29800001 28400130 99999999
       26438266 26428115 26758019 27007912 

&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25
WNW FST 25 WNW MAF 20 SE LBB 10 NNE CDS 25 E CSM 30 WNW CQB 20 W
TUL 15 N MKO 30 NW RKR 20 WSW RKR 40 SE MLC 30 SE SPS 35 NNE ABI
65 NE 6R6 30 NE 6R6 90 SSW 6R6 105 SW 6R6 100 SSE MRF 70 SSE MRF
25 WNW FST

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
80 SSW MRF 30 NNE INK 40 SW AMA 25 W BGD 20 N BGD 20 NNW GAG 30
WNW AVK 45 NNE JLN 40 NE SGF 45 N FLP 30 SSE HRO 30 SE FSM 40 NW
DEQ 25 NW BWD 40 ENE SJT 65 SSW SJT 30 W DRT

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
25 SSW EVV 20 N OWB 25 ENE SDF 25 SW LUK 20 S DAY 30 ENE DAY 25
NNW AOO 30 SSE UNV 30 NNE HGR 25 ESE HGR 20 NW DCA 45 NE CHO 15 N
CHO 10 NNE JKL 50 SSW LEX  0 - CKV 25 WNW HOP 45 ENE PAH 25 SSW
EVV

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SSE ELP 15 S
GDP 45 E ROW 25 SW CVS 30 NW CVS 25 NW TCC 45 SSE RTN 35 N LVS  0
- 4SL 50 S FMN 70 NW GUP 65 SSE U17 20 SSW U17 35 NW U17 50 SSW
PUC 25 NW VEL 40 E RKS 35 E RWL 25 ENE LAR 35 N TOR 55 SE RAP 45
SSW PIR 30 WNW MHE 15 WSW FSD 20 WNW SLB 30 ENE DNS 50 NE SDA 15
ESE SDA 20 NW STJ 10 ESE STJ 20 SW CDJ 30 NE COU 15 E BLV 40 SW
BMG 30 ESE MIE 10 NNW CAK 25 ENE DUJ 15 SW ABE 80 SSE ISP
...CONT... 70 SSE ACY 10 SSW NHK 40 NNE ROA 45 NNE HSV 15 WSW UOX
35 SE TXK 15 E GGG 30 NNE UTS 20 S UTS 25 W HOU 30 WNW LBX 30 SW
VCT 40 NNW NIR 30 NNW SAT 60 E JCT 45 ENE JCT 15 NE JCT 50 SSW JCT
70 SSW DRT ...CONT... 50 WSW FMY 45 ENE APF 10 NW PBI 65 ENE PBI

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Oct 14, 19:51z for portions of ILN

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