[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 15, 17:33z for portions of CLE

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 15, 17:33z for portions of CLE

635 
WUUS02 KWNS 151735
PTSDY2

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1233 PM CDT MON JUL 15 2024

VALID TIME 161200Z - 171200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2

... TORNADO ...

0.02   45587292 44967234 44017241 42497335 41957539 42457706
       43237718 43657688 44687636
0.02   42220065 43439975 43739830 43399688 42659625 41849673
       40779757 40579919 40770015 41110083 42220065
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   38150467 38840465 41310405 42530310 43840112 44039946
       43659749 43279627 42649553 41539491 40199441 37979376
       36859373 36009464 35579659 35319952 35420118 35730274
       36510391 37160444 38150467
0.05   45857133 43957136 42767205 41407293 39327479 38457755
       37908295 38058375 38548434 39298416 40478280 42188062
       43247977
0.15   42739974 42879899 42689795 42109735 40119812 38540021
       38460129 39100186 39670182 40510179 41340142 42380043
       42739974
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   31311224 32621191 33381151 33551067 32740916 30960894
0.05   45577138 43617131 42577155 42367164 41547199 40647244
       40297246 99999999 38397391 37857661 36968389 36448797
       35749313 34939943 34980114 35270252 35820381 36630435
       38090470 38800471 41200403 42440317 43350196 43840112
       44039946 43599724 43339627 42769561 40119390 39549275
       39409155 39488980 40168677 40748376 41298257 42688131
0.15   38390370 39180349 40570218 42040087 42530028 42789982
       42879883 42659787 42109731 40179745 37909775 37039791
       36369834 35959932 35780009 35840115 36100220 36430331
       36930363 37800368 38390370
0.15   45547229 44157207 42637274 41147379 40327490 39507642
       39127752 38697937 38598034 38628098 38918183 39128206
       39568224 40148177 41268000 41947879 43137725 43657688
       44317664
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   35950191 36420336 36900367 38320376 39180345 42370051
       42759986 42859896 42729800 42089734 39449755 37949776
       37019794 36399832 35919930 35799999 35800084 35950191
SLGT   45337229 44197207 42617275 41087385 40267500 39507645
       39157746 38707932 38588036 38638110 38878176 39108205
       39578223 40128178 41957878 43137727 43677688 44167670
MRGL   45667136 43617132 42587155 41557199 41147221 40627246
       40277243 99999999 38337419 38017572 37807686 37498001
       36918426 36408808 35749313 34929953 34930110 35240232
       35690352 35820381 36580431 37760464 38770471 41200399
       42410316 43220215 43780120 44039950 43829833 43509689
       43239621 42739556 42289535 40089385 39579277 39389163
       39508980 40358575 40778371 41298260 42498150
MRGL   31321225 32681189 33371153 33561070 32670911 30960895
TSTM   49550946 46740731 45240689 44590630 44040589 44000547
       44420488 46040347 46920022 46599757 45459592 43089367
       42279223 41689036 41668867 42458623 44148338 44878202
       99999999 28899399 30169392 31319325 33649125 34289104
       34709152 34499527 33680092 33000435 32480555 31750555
       31300485 30220209 29790156 29390135 99999999 31751420
       32581392 33151346 35091352 36051405 37311539 38821662
       39181725 40141884 40642021 41782199 42562279 44062307
       44942233 45212130 45182045 44841844 44121805 43131731
       42331575 41861443 41521324 41771204 42271162 42851158
       43901166 45471159 46621208 47741309 48651440 49651603

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW
BGD 10 W CAO 40 NW CAO 25 NNW LHX 15 ESE LIC 30 WSW ANW 15 NNE ANW
30 NNW ONL 35 WSW YKN 10 NNE OFK 10 SE CNK 10 SE HUT 40 ESE P28 25 W
END 40 N CSM 55 NW CSM 30 ENE BGD 35 WNW BGD.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N
EFK 25 E MPV 30 ENE PSF 30 NNE EWR 10 W TTN 25 NNE BWI 30 NW DCA 30
ESE EKN 35 SW EKN 35 NE CRW 35 SE UNI 15 SE UNI 25 N UNI 15 NNE ZZV
15 NW BFD 20 E ROC 50 WSW ART 35 WNW ART.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NE
EFK LCI 30 NE ORH 15 NNE GON 15 SSW GON 35 ESE ISP 50 SE ISP
...CONT... 70 E SBY 15 WNW WAL 30 NE RIC 10 N ROA 15 SW LOZ 40 WSW
HOP 35 N RUE 25 NW LTS 40 ESE AMA 35 W AMA 35 N TCC 45 NNW TCC 15 SE
RTN 35 SSW PUB COS 45 E CYS 30 S CDR 55 ENE CDR 30 SE PHP 20 NNW 9V9
15 WNW MHE 10 SW FSD 35 SE FSD 20 WNW SLB 20 N DNS 25 NW CDJ 40 SSW
IRK 45 SSW UIN 25 SSW SPI 20 WNW MIE 20 S FDY 30 N MFD 70 E MTC.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 SW
TUS 50 ESE GBN 30 E PHX 65 SW SOW 35 ESE SAD 50 SE DUG.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NNE HVR 70 WNW MLS
35 N SHR 35 ESE SHR 30 SW GCC 25 S GCC 30 E GCC 30 N 2WX 25 ENE BIS
40 WSW FAR 25 ENE VVV 20 WSW MCW 20 SSE ALO 15 NNE MLI 20 N MMO 25
NNE BEH 20 S OSC 75 ENE OSC ...CONT... 55 ESE GLS 15 NNE BPT 20 NNW
POE 20 NW GLH 50 E PBF 40 E LIT 40 SE MLC 50 E LBB 25 SSE ROW 40 SE
ALM 45 W GDP 35 S GDP 15 NNE 6R6 40 ESE 6R6 25 W DRT ...CONT... 65
SSE YUM 40 E YUM 45 WNW GBN 25 ESE IGM 55 N IGM 50 WSW P38 55 SE U31
20 S U31 15 WNW LOL 60 SSE AAT 30 SSW LMT 15 NNE MFR 10 ESE EUG 35 E
SLE 30 SSW DLS 45 SE DLS 30 W BKE 50 SSW BKE 45 NE REO 35 NE OWY 45
S TWF 65 SW MLD 30 SSE MLD 35 ENE MLD 50 E PIH 35 NE IDA 30 SW BZN
HLN 65 SE GPI 25 NNW GPI 120 NW GPI.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 15, 17:33z for portions of CLE

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