IND issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 22, 2:06 PM EDT489
FXUS63 KIND 221806
AFDIND
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
206 PM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Cooler weather will continue through the upcoming week, with
afternoon temperatures staying below seasonal averages
- A few light showers tonight into tomorrow, mainly across eastern
Indiana
- Persistent mostly cloudy skies will begin to break towards Friday
&&
.DISCUSSION (This evening through Tuesday)...
Issued at 202 PM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026
Overview.
Central Indiana is set for a prolonged stretch of cool,
dry autumn weather. High pressure anchored to the north and
northeast will keep a continuous supply of cool air moving into the
region on northeasterly winds. Persistent low level moisture
combined with cooler air will keep skies mostly cloudy to cloudy
through Thursday. Skies will then clear Friday into the weekend with
a slight warming trend going into next week.
Tonight Through Thursday.
Broad high pressure continues to remain locked in place across the
Great Lakes region along with low pressure to the southeast allowing
for persistent northeasterly flow both at the surface and near
surface. This is helping to keep widespread cloud cover in place
across much of central Indiana along with keeping temperatures
slightly below normal. A weak shortwave will push southeast across
Iowa tonight into tomorrow which will interact with a remnant vort
max across Ohio during the daytime hours to bring few light rain
showers to central Indiana, mainly across the eastern counties.
Beyond those low chances, dry weather is expected through the
remainder of the 7 day forecast with a fairly steady-state weather
pattern continuing into Thursday.
Friday Through Tuesday.
Increasing subsidence aloft along with weak upper level flow will
begin to break down the cloud cover Friday into the weekend will
help to bring temperatures closer to normal for this time of the
year. Min RH values will drop below 40 percent across south central
Indiana which combined with the drier conditions of late, may need
to be monitored for a low-end fire danger. Near calm winds will help
to limit that threat.
Looking further into early next week, temperatures in the lower 80s
look to return as the surface flow gradually gains a more southerly
component along with gradually increasing rain chances towards late
Tuesday ahead of the next system.
&&
.AVIATION (18Z TAF Issuance)...
Issued at 202 PM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026
Impacts:
-MVFR to IFR cigs through the TAF period
-Low chance for light rain late tonight and tomorrow
Discussion:
Cigs are expected to remain MVFR or worse through the TAF period
with levels generally around 020 through the remainder of the day
today. High IFR around 007 will be possible during the overnight,
mainly from 06Z to 12Z with cigs generally around 015 otherwise.
There may be some drizzle tonight but winds should remain strong
enough to limit coverage. Better chances for rain arrive tomorrow
afternoon, mainly at IND. Winds will generally remain northwesterly
at 7-12kt through the TAF period.
&&
.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
AVIATION...White
DISCUSSION...White
Source:
IND issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 22, 2:06 PM EDT---------------
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