[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 14, 12:47z for portions of PAH

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 14, 12:47z for portions of PAH

141 
WUUS01 KWNS 141249
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0747 AM CDT FRI AUG 14 2026

VALID TIME 141300Z - 151200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   40319229 40289413 40589523 41179549 41659528 41969425
       42019223 41999095 41538980 41058969 40629002 40489065
       40319229 
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   40059494 40279556 40789592 41329601 41819584 42159531
       42419435 42459233 42019133 41509091 40739099 40289122
       40009197 39979321 40009421 40059494 
0.05   36990262 36970338 37220395 37950492 38840523 40560541
       41000547 41370512 41480454 40960315 40570262 40190220
       39340178 38610163 38110164 37610179 37290204 36990262
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   38860525 40320540 40990550 41380515 41500455 41170368
       41020269 41280084 41899867 42229769 42879627 43219445
       43359240 42998929 42668840 40658510 39778249 39197975
       38607725 38057647 37487613 36607622 35457699 35127821
       35778157 37288577 38548797 38888964 39179150 38979332
       38569527 37889661 36979843 36100023 36050152 36490252
       37230395 37960492 38860525 
0.05   36261623 37491569 38031394 37661328 36851287 35911297
       35181313 34681365 34351387 34221438 34361502 34641558
       35451610 36261623 
0.15   40039043 39989331 40039486 40319557 40809591 41309600
       41809585 42159530 42419441 42499180 42399065 42138953
       41558875 40838862 40388896 40198936 40039043 
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   41809585 42159530 42419441 42499180 42399065 42138953
       41558875 40838862 40388896 40198936 40039043 39989331
       40039486 40319557 40809591 41309600 41809585 
MRGL   37491569 38031394 37661328 36851287 35181313 34681365
       34351387 34221438 34361502 34641558 35451610 36261623
       37491569 
MRGL   41380515 41500455 41170368 41020269 41280084 42229769
       42879627 43219445 43359240 42998929 42668840 40658510
       39778249 38607725 38057647 37487613 36607622 35457699
       35127821 35778157 37288577 38548797 39179150 38979332
       38569527 36100023 36050152 37220395 37950492 38860525
       40990550 41380515 
TSTM   31961639 35971701 37281701 37791762 37921849 38171950
       39442064 40192045 41221925 41741891 42611871 42861935
       42892006 42442181 41592216 41182242 40932311 41172366
       41562393 42892412 44332309 45322211 45692276 45902296
       46392258 47802347 48402423 49332534 99999999 49169223
       47199292 45589274 45109165 44298901 41128454 39447686
       38917227 99999999 46041790 47471640 48361687 48241868
       47171959 46222068 45572079 45362029 46041790 99999999
       28280084 30979780 31529472 31069348 30189138 29589115
       28509101 99999999 28388952 31908833 34348757 35608738
       37418828 38109160 37729465 36329738 34550008 31970185
       29050203 99999999 45407565 43937305 42257071 41857067
       41397162 41467255 42737484 44447829 99999999 49341317
       48341173 47521008 46770844 46590776 46870726 47380708
       48410694 50310746 99999999 30861168 32741188 33471224
       33551332 33271389 31581417 

&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15
E TQE 10 NNE DNS 15 SW FOD 30 E ALO  0 - DBQ 25 WSW RFD 15 NNW MMO
30 NNE BMI  0 - BMI 30 NE SPI 40 WNW SPI 20 NE CDJ 20 N STJ 15 N
FNB 25 W SDA  0 - OMA 15 E TQE

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
60 NNE DRA 40 NE P38 10 WSW CDC 45 ESE SGU 45 E IGM 40 SSE IGM 50
SE EED 40 SSE EED 35 SW EED 55 W EED 55 NE DAG 30 SSW DRA 60 NNE
DRA

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
25 NW CYS 30 NNE CYS 35 W SNY 15 ESE SNY 15 NW LBF 20 NW OFK 35 N
SUX 30 S FRM 40 S RST 10 SSE MSN 30 SW MKE 25 S FWA 25 SE CMH 20
SW DCA 15 S NHK 40 N ORF 20 S ORF 25 N EWN 25 SSW GSB 10 WNW HKY
40 ENE BWG 45 NW EVV 45 ENE COU 20 NE SZL 35 SW OJC 30 WSW GAG 25
NNW BGD 20 E TAD 30 SW PUB 30 W COS 25 SSE LAR 25 NW CYS

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S CZZ 45 ENE NID
55 S TPH 35 WSW TPH 40 N BIH 55 SSE TVL 50 NW TVL 60 NW RNO 85 NNW
LOL 80 SW REO 45 W REO 55 SSW BNO 55 NNE LKV 20 NNW LMT 20 NNE MHS
10 SSW MHS 50 WSW MHS 25 ENE ACV 20 SE CEC 35 S OTH 15 NNE EUG 30
SE PDX 10 NW PDX 30 NW PDX 45 SSE OLM 20 S CLM 35 NNE UIL 105 NNW
UIL ...CONT... 65 NE INL 15 SSW HIB 55 NNE MSP 20 NNW EAU 30 NW
OSH 35 ENE FWA 20 NNW BWI 135 SSE ISP ...CONT... 20 ESE ALW 60 NE
PUW 60 NNE GEG 40 ESE OMK 10 SSW EPH 25 SSW YKM 20 E DLS 45 ESE
DLS 20 ESE ALW ...CONT... 75 S DRT 25 WSW TPL 20 N LFK 20 W POE 30
SSW BTR 30 W HUM 75 SSW HUM ...CONT... 65 S BVE 40 SE MEI 30 S MSL
55 SW BNA 35 NE PAH 10 ESE VIH 40 NNW JLN 30 SSW PNC 15 NE CDS 20
E MAF 70 S 6R6 ...CONT... 50 NW MSS 30 N RUT 15 ESE BOS 20 NE EWB
15 N BID 35 S BDL 40 SE UCA 95 NNW ROC ...CONT... 60 NW CTB 35 ESE
CTB 45 NW LWT 65 N BIL 65 NNE BIL 70 WNW MLS 60 SSW GGW 20 NW GGW
150 NNW GGW ...CONT... 95 SSW TUS 50 S PHX 15 WNW PHX 55 NW GBN 55
ESE BLH 80 SSE YUM

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 14, 12:47z for portions of PAH

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