[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 14, 16:43z for portions of ILN

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 14, 16:43z for portions of ILN

915 
WUUS01 KWNS 141645
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1143 AM CDT FRI AUG 14 2026

VALID TIME 141630Z - 151200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   40319229 40289413 40589537 41239587 41649570 42009529
       42019223 41999095 41538980 41058969 40629002 40489065
       40319229 
0.05   41499505 41739471 41579297 41359156 40889138 40569160
       40599364 40769483 41209515 41499505 
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   40059494 40279556 40789592 41329601 41819584 42159531
       42419435 42459233 42019133 41509091 40739099 40289122
       40009197 39979321 40009421 40059494 
0.05   36990262 36970338 37220395 37950492 38840523 40560541
       41000547 41370512 41480454 40960315 40570262 40190220
       39340178 38610163 38110164 37610179 37290204 36990262
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   38860525 40320540 40990550 41380515 41500455 41170368
       41020269 41280084 41899867 42219775 42739591 42929333
       42728934 42448804 40658510 39778249 39197975 38607725
       38057647 37377595 36487549 35517583 34867656 35038031
       34058223 34718392 35168426 36258423 37288577 38548797
       38888964 39179150 38979332 38569527 37889661 36979843
       35790053 36050152 36490252 37230395 37960492 38860525
0.05   36261623 37721573 38001389 37631288 37111254 36301253
       35181313 34681365 34391386 33781457 33951524 34461572
       35451610 36261623 
0.05   45197549 42687200 42137106 41677125 41187274 41367397
       42917567 43507637 44257762 
0.15   40039043 39989331 40039486 40319557 40809591 41309600
       41809585 42159530 42329436 42339196 42169072 41938967
       41558875 40838862 40388896 40198936 40039043 
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   41809585 42159530 42329436 42339196 41938967 41558875
       40838862 40388896 40198936 40039043 39989331 40039486
       40319557 40809591 41309600 41809585 
MRGL   37721573 38001389 37631288 37111254 36301253 35181313
       34391386 33781457 33951524 34461572 35451610 36261623
       37721573 
MRGL   41380515 41500455 41170368 41020269 41280084 42739591
       42929333 42728934 42448804 40658510 39778249 38607725
       38057647 37377595 36487549 35517583 34867656 35038031
       34058223 34718392 35168426 36258423 37288577 38548797
       39179150 38979332 38569527 36979843 35790053 36050152
       36490252 37220395 37950492 38860525 40990550 41380515
MRGL   45197549 42687200 42137106 41677125 41187274 41367397
       43507637 44097735 
TSTM   45407565 45207469 43557144 42437014 41687048 41157125
       40887227 41087382 42097579 44077818 99999999 45761871
       46021821 46541747 46961719 47411719 47751742 47711818
       47311895 46641984 46132066 45572079 45362029 45761871
       99999999 28920096 30949891 31879810 32229709 32189580
       31959489 31549457 30619461 30279448 30029422 29849380
       29719288 29589205 29319136 29049097 28659066 99999999
       32161661 34371701 35511748 36561820 37441886 37981952
       39062026 39612037 40341996 41481889 41981827 42221819
       42621832 42841865 42961901 42902015 42812053 42482134
       42072178 41432224 41152240 40962266 40862311 41152381
       41572406 42882425 44462316 45042263 45562246 46062257
       46612281 47802347 48402423 49332534 99999999 29608821
       30278834 30918872 31778902 32928886 34098839 35358829
       36028851 36598907 37178943 37678938 37948951 38118981
       38119006 38199365 38079503 37099707 35279949 32840126
       31420167 29320159 99999999 49519368 48219540 46429874
       45819923 45159928 44449895 44109860 44079844 44529779
       44859662 44809511 44179050 43518803 43088694 41988528
       41198460 40938428 40768379 40718271 40638049 40237664
       39697350 99999999 30861168 32651183 33351219 33631269
       33331336 31931422 99999999 49590830 48840850 47850802
       47020728 46420668 46240554 46480528 47380539 49570512

&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15
E TQE 10 NNE DNS 20 SSW FOD 25 SE ALO 35 WSW RFD 15 NNW MMO 30 NNE
BMI  0 - BMI 30 NE SPI 40 WNW SPI 20 NE CDJ 20 N STJ 15 N FNB 25 W
SDA  0 - OMA 15 E TQE

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
75 NNE DRA 45 NE P38 15 ESE CDC 45 SSW BCE 30 NW GCN 45 E IGM 50
ESE EED 15 NE BLH 40 NW BLH 65 NNE TRM 55 NE DAG 30 SSW DRA 75 NNE
DRA

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
25 NW CYS 30 NNE CYS 35 W SNY 15 ESE SNY 15 NW LBF 35 NE SUX 15 S
MCW 15 WNW JVL 25 SSW RAC 25 S FWA 25 SE CMH 20 SW DCA 15 S NHK 35
NNE ORF 40 ENE ECG 25 NNW HSE 30 ESE EWN 40 ESE CLT 40 SE AND 60
NNW AHN 50 SSW TYS 30 NNW TYS 40 ENE BWG 45 NW EVV 45 ENE COU 20
NE SZL 35 SW OJC 20 NE AVK 50 E BGD 25 NNW BGD 30 N DHT 20 E TAD
30 SW PUB 30 W COS 25 SSE LAR 25 NW CYS

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
35 WNW MSS 20 SE EEN 15 S BOS 10 ESE PVD 20 E BDR 20 SSW POU 30
NNW SYR 70 NNE ROC

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NW MSS 20 NNE
MSS  0 - LCI 55 N HYA 10 W HYA 15 E BID 35 SSW GON 30 N JFK 10 SE
BGM 70 NNW ROC ...CONT...  0 - PDT  0 - ALW 20 SW PUW 15 NNW PUW
20 SE GEG 10 NNE GEG 30 WNW GEG 25 E EPH 35 E YKM 30 S YKM 20 E
DLS 45 ESE DLS  0 - PDT ...CONT... 30 S DRT 60 S BWD 25 S SEP 40 N
ACT 25 WSW TYR 30 SSW GGG 25 NNE LFK 45 S LFK 35 NW BPT 15 WNW BPT
15 ESE BPT 35 SE LCH 15 SSE 7R4 45 WSW HUM 40 SSW HUM 65 S HUM
...CONT... 30 SSW CZZ 35 SSW DAG 15 SE NID 55 S BIH 25 WNW BIH 70
SSE TVL 20 NW TVL 35 WNW RNO 60 N RNO 70 NW WMC 45 SSW REO 30 SSW
REO 25 W REO 55 SSE BNO 45 S BNO 50 NNE LKV 45 N LKV 30 NE LMT  0
- LMT 10 NNE MHS 10 SSW MHS 30 SW MHS 50 SW MHS 20 NE ACV 15 SSE
CEC 35 S OTH 25 N EUG 20 ENE SLE  0 - PDX 35 N PDX 25 S OLM 20 S
CLM 35 NNE UIL 105 NNW UIL ...CONT... 75 S MOB 30 S MOB 30 WNW MOB
30 NE PIB 40 N MEI 25 ESE TUP 40 ESE MKL 35 NE MKL 35 SSW PAH 10
ESE CGI 10 SW MDH 20 NW MDH 30 S BLV 30 SSW BLV 35 S SZL 35 NE CNU
25 N PNC 15 WSW CSM 45 NNE BGS 50 SE MAF 40 W DRT ...CONT... 65 N
INL 45 SSE ROX 35 S JMS 45 WNW ABR 45 WSW ABR 35 W HON 25 SW HON
25 SSW HON 25 ENE HON 35 SSW VVV 15 N RWF 20 NW VOK 40 N MKE 35 W
MKG 20 SE AZO 35 ENE FWA 30 W FDY 20 SSW FDY 15 SW MFD 15 WNW PIT
10 E CXY 50 ESE NEL ...CONT... 95 SSW TUS 55 SSE PHX 10 WSW PHX 40
WNW PHX 45 NW GBN 55 SSE YUM ...CONT... 100 NE HVR 60 ENE HVR 70
WSW GGW 90 SSW GGW 40 W MLS 20 SE MLS 30 E MLS 35 WNW GDV 105 NNE
OLF

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 14, 16:43z for portions of ILN

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