PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 3, 12:10 PM CDT796
FXUS63 KPAH 031710
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1210 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Unsettled weather returns Thursday through the weekend. While
confidence is still low right now, it is growing with each
forecast package.
- 90 degree highs return by the end of the weekend with heat
indices pushing into the low 100s once again by Sunday and
into next week.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1205 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026
Updated aviation discussion for 18z TAFs.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 147 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026
There is troughing aloft over the east while ridging shift to the
Upper Midwest. With just a few remaining clouds over the far
southeast portions of the area and light winds, expect the
development of some fog this morning across portions of the
area. Thanks to high pressure we should stay dry through
Wednesday with the main activity to our east and southeast.
Given the mainly clear skies for today, expect temperatures to
come back up to the mid 80s. Expect this trend to continue
tomorrow and Wednesday with highs in the mid-upper 80s and even
a few 90s possible on Wednesday (40-60% in southern IL, 50-70%
in SEMO).
On Wednesday general troughiness sets up over the Northern Plains
and Upper Midwest while sfc winds turn back to the south. A few
ripples through the trof bring back mainly afternoon precip
chances Thursday through the weekend. Temperatures stabilize
around normal through the weekend as well. However, with the
return of mid 70s dew points, the heat indices will climb back
into the 100-105 degree range on Sunday and kick off our next
heat wave into next week. In the NBM the chances of hitting 90
on Sunday are 40-60% and 50-70% on Monday. In the LREF chances
of heat indices greater than or equal to 100 are 40-50% on
Monday.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1205 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026
SCT-BKN cu field may initially flirt with MVFR levels next
couple of hours before lifting to 4-5kft by mid afternoon. SKC
is expected this evening and overnight before additional cu
development is expected by late morning Tuesday, with initial
MVFR bases possible. Some patchy fog is possible again early
Tuesday morning, with KCGI/KMVN the most likely terminals to be
impacted. Northeasterly winds remain light aob 7kts through the
period.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...SP
DISCUSSION...HICKFORD
AVIATION...SP
Source:
PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 3, 12:10 PM CDT---------------
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