[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 3, 16:30z for portions of BOX

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 3, 16:30z for portions of BOX

663 
WUUS01 KWNS 031632
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CDT MON AUG 03 2026

VALID TIME 031630Z - 041200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   48889124 47569256 46209471 45319704 45729807 46239786
       48319595 49499412 
0.02   41687152 41267215 41467293 42557296 43767274 44597240
       44927182 45037058 44816998 43307054 42307094 41687152
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   31311233 31851215 32141172 32341078 32160933 31700903
       30940893 
0.05   48759154 47169292 45059562 43249752 41479912 40050073
       39830209 40290290 41170263 45079902 46859871 49389625
0.15   48909235 47679348 46259534 45149722 45729808 46379803
       49449446 
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   46967021 44816998 43397050 42347094 41747148 40827253
       39397409 39207451 39237514 39867545 41027431 41887371
       42767353 43787338 45477325 
0.05   31661303 32291272 32781198 33121101 33130905 32380772
       31390772 
0.05   48809046 47119199 44709550 42869737 40059989 37330191
       36540241 36350314 36660344 39390324 41180264 45059902
       46889871 49689591 
0.15   49029149 47679258 46249500 45159722 45729808 46069788
       49159387 
0.15   31431241 31991227 32341180 32471050 32240938 31730907
       31020907 
CIG1   38380319 39440308 41000254 42160135 42360023 42049946
       41229957 39880072 38530148 37860216 37930313 38380319
CIG1   31701268 32071251 32381180 32511049 32270931 31730898
       31250898 31251110 31701268 
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   31431241 31991227 32341180 32471050 32240938 31730907
       31020907 
SLGT   48759171 47679258 46249500 45149722 45729808 46379803
       49449446 
MRGL   31661303 32291272 32781198 33121101 33130905 32380772
       31390772 
MRGL   48689057 47119199 44709550 42869737 40059989 37330191
       36540241 36350314 36660344 39390324 41180264 45079902
       46889871 49389625 
MRGL   46967021 44816998 42307094 41687152 39397409 39207451
       39237514 39867545 41027431 41887371 43787338 45477325
TSTM   28329525 28849573 29599541 30249445 30749079 30818799
       31238700 33048606 34888593 36438398 37368175 39957706
       41577581 42817566 43817778 45167719 99999999 48758571
       46768767 41349430 39809782 39289840 37530072 35940215
       35120262 34310338 32870427 31600577 30860642 99999999
       31791366 33561231 34471254 35131260 35641210 35651127
       35641032 36120973 36500888 37120819 37750798 38640780
       39700742 40530713 41380666 42030518 42440366 43120260
       44260238 45340184 46610257 47280519 48440614 49580656

&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
105 S GBN 70 SSE GBN 50 WNW TUS 35 NE TUS 45 SSE SAD 35 ENE DUG 45
SE DUG

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60
N ELO 25 NNE HIB 30 NE AXN 15 NNW ATY 25 NE ABR 50 SE JMS 55 NE
RRT

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
90 SSW GBN 45 S GBN 45 S PHX 70 N TUS 40 ENE SAD 10 N DMN 60 S DMN

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
65 N GNA 20 NNE DLH 25 WNW RWF  0 - YKN 45 N HLC 25 N EHA 35 NNE
DHT  0 - CAO 20 NW CAO 25 ENE LIC 20 ENE SNY 40 SW ABR  0 - JMS 45
NW ROX

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
105 W CAR 35 NNW AUG  0 - BOS  0 - PVD 25 E ACY 20 SSE ACY 20 ENE
DOV 10 W PHL 25 NNW EWR 20 NNE POU 30 NW RUT 70 N BTV

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE LBX 25 SW
LBX 10 WSW HOU 35 NW BPT 25 NE BTR 20 ENE MOB 15 S GZH 40 SSW ANB
45 WSW CHA 40 N TYS 30 W BLF 20 SSW CXY 15 NNW AVP 25 SSW UCA 50 N
ROC 100 NW ART ...CONT... 170 NNW ANJ 15 NNW MQT 35 WSW DSM 20 NNW
CNK 35 NE RSL 30 S GCK 25 ESE DHT 60 S DHT  0 - CVS 35 SSE ROW 40
ESE ELP 65 S ELP ...CONT... 80 SE YUM 20 WNW PHX 15 SSW PRC 35 NNW
PRC 20 S GCN 40 NNE FLG 50 NNE INW 65 NW GUP 40 WSW FMN 25 N FMN
45 NNW DRO 10 NNE MTJ 25 W EGE 20 E CAG 40 SE RWL 50 S DGW 40 N
BFF 30 NE CDR 35 ENE RAP 45 SSE Y22 15 SE DIK 20 WNW GDV 25 NE GGW
95 N GGW

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 3, 16:30z for portions of BOX

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