The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 27, 5:33z for portions of PAH285
WUUS01 KWNS 270535
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1233 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
VALID TIME 271200Z - 281200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 35848853 36538938 37048913 37098745 36538503 35908466
35318478 35218613 35848853
0.02 49780089 46680083 45310054 44140053 42840084 41770131
40970200 41050262 42140270 42640273 43530294 44300322
44910469 45730574 49630569
0.05 47580166 46500206 45900250 45590301 45600405 46260477
47430452 48180366 48150233 47580166
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 49789372 45729576 44569588 43239595 42199610 41709680
41159910 40729999 40180146 40490251 41220345 41940356
43200356 43920446 43590670 42210853 41251055 41081263
41951389 42581391 43461251 45481011 47270909 50140834
0.15 49740046 46800057 45530046 43100092 41820133 41060195
41070279 42090295 43180311 44050345 44460378 44580686
44970741 45270762 46240789 50180694
0.30 45930544 46710514 48070428 48060320 47030231 46080253
45520303 45210390 45080451 45200506 45410535 45930544
CIG1 50080232 46990117 45480100 43250086 41580117 40870159
40570196 40470236 41310316 43220340 44170397 44370538
44560680 45110767 46230797 50210694
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 35969948 34499997 30350317 30020360 30170414 30730470
31250481 32650402 35090199 35730138 36300075 36620038
36750009 36679973 36549963 35969948
0.05 33387687 33647960 33778186 34168443 35828964 35979027
36209412 36509455 37049501 38399499 39899495 40779396
40899285 39468760 39058483 38918150 38717888 38007412
0.05 49849362 47419495 45729580 44719600 43539615 42429704
41179930 40630006 40160142 40440243 41280342 43260353
43870441 43790546 42590707 41440891 41081097 41111276
41871382 42481395 43321275 45431022 47350893 50040836
0.15 49889871 47769864 45869928 43600000 41630088 41010204
41030262 42140277 43630310 44270340 44490410 44580664
44710705 45150742 45960767 48210717 49440688
0.15 33987618 34177912 34788147 35098256 35648261 35908215
36318120 36518021 36547742 36537589 36387401
0.30 49510034 48260010 47230073 45980264 45730359 45680449
46230512 46770514 48340493 49610492
CIG1 49470114 49299916 47839936 46659977 45870004 44290034
42850077 41220130 40670198 40950272 42090315 43420339
44180393 44330493 44110603 43190725 42600828 42320949
42781016 43950966 46080682 47530607 49450621 49470114
CIG1 34740012 33280135 32630223 32690294 33240298 35210130
35610051 35450006 34740012
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
ENH 49400032 48260010 47230073 46010259 45520303 45080451
45200506 45410535 45930544 46710514 48340493 49460492
SLGT 34037691 34177912 34788147 35098256 35648261 36318120
36518021 36537589 36477516
SLGT 49489870 47769864 43600000 41630088 41010204 41070279
43180311 44050345 44370370 44470404 44580686 44970741
45270762 46240789 49490711
MRGL 32650402 35090199 36620038 36750009 36679973 36549963
35969948 34499997 30350317 30020360 30170414 30730470
31250481 32650402
MRGL 33437744 33778186 34168443 35979027 36209412 36509455
37049501 39899495 40779396 40899285 39468760 39058483
38918150 38717888 38067452
MRGL 49199397 45729576 42199610 41709680 41159910 40630006
40160142 40440243 41220345 41940356 43200356 43870441
43770549 42590707 41440891 41081097 41111276 41951389
42581391 43321275 45431022 47270909 49500851
TSTM 30951093 31871004 32570893 34520592 35650374 36390197
36750152 37250119 37840124 38690161 39240230 39430284
39610350 39850402 40220431 40940439 41780450 42220482
42260498 42100539 41640605 40940714 40440821 40090931
39701069 39661248 39511599 39421990 39662116 40092171
40802214 41732221 42482238 43412277 44272322 44862363
45552365 46052318 46232235 45962131 45592042 45401929
45381845 45571764 45741709 46161603 46491531 47051465
47621450 48021473 48161538 47981630 47711755 47541822
47511883 47801969 48312011 48832035 49552031 99999999
28729213 29699210 30449202 31039181 31659124 32169010
32598801 32638671 32798635 33138624 33678651 34128735
34338851 34429006 34449186 34419355 34459471 34619563
34749653 34749716 34579789 34289852 33619915 32380033
31040138 29370190 99999999 38319945 38959981 39449977
39629956 39509874 39179780 38789725 38139689 37209707
36649776 36559797 36639849 36909885 37179903 38049925
38319945 99999999 49269220 47589295 45959363 45269369
44369347 43279247 41729076 41098938 40878815 40748713
40928421 41247972 41177617 41107389 40987166 40986935
99999999 45866624 44476825 43776924 42857057 42477122
42317159 42277196 42417244 42627339 43257512 44187712
&&
THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
90 NNE MOT 55 E MOT 30 N BIS 20 WNW Y22 25 E 2WX 50 ESE 4BQ 25 SE
4BQ 0 - 4BQ 35 N 4BQ 35 SSW GDV 35 ENE OLF 100 NNE OLF
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60
ESE ILM 35 NNW CRE 30 ESE SPA 25 S AVL 15 NNW AVL 40 NNE HKY 30
NNW GSO 25 NE ECG 60 ENE ECG
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95
N DVL 30 SSE DVL 35 WSW 9V9 30 SSE MHN 40 NNW IML 10 ESE SNY 25 N
CDR 20 W RAP 40 NW RAP 55 WNW RAP 15 SSE SHR 25 WNW SHR 45 NW SHR
45 NE BIL 90 NNW GGW
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
25 NNE CNM 20 WSW AMA 40 NW GAG 35 NNW GAG 25 N GAG 20 NNE GAG 30
SE GAG 20 ENE CDS 40 SSW FST 35 SE MRF 15 SSW MRF 45 WNW MRF 40 S
GDP 25 NNE CNM
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
65 SSE ILM 30 NNE AGS 35 N ATL 25 ENE JBR 15 NNE FYV 15 SE GMJ 35
NNW GMJ 10 N STJ 10 N LWD 25 SW OTM 15 W HUF 20 W LUK 30 S PKB 30
N SHD 50 E WAL
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
50 NNW INL 20 WSW AXN 20 SE SUX 35 ENE OLU 30 N EAR 40 NE MCK 25
SSE IML 45 W IML 25 WNW SNY 0 - BFF 35 NW CDR 65 ESE GCC 40 S GCC
35 SW CPR 15 SE RKS 15 SSE EVW 40 W OGD 40 S BYI 0 - BYI 30 NNW
PIH 20 SSE LVM 25 NE LWT 85 NE HVR
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW FHU 25 NE FHU
45 ESE SAD 30 NNW 4CR 35 NNW TCC 35 SW GUY 0 - GUY 20 NW LBL 30
WSW GCK 45 S GLD 0 - ITR 35 WNW ITR 25 NNE LIC 45 NNW LIC 45 NE
DEN 25 ESE CYS 25 SW TOR 35 WNW TOR 40 SSE DGW 45 S DGW 30 NW LAR
35 NNE CAG 35 W CAG 25 SSE VEL 0 - PUC 20 N U24 0 - P68 10 SW
RNO 80 NNE SAC 30 E RBL 35 SSE MHS 30 NNE MHS 25 ENE MFR 55 SSE
EUG 10 N EUG 30 NE ONP 45 SSE AST 35 ESE AST 45 NNE PDX 25 NNW DLS
35 E DLS 30 SW PDT 30 SE PDT 50 N BKE 45 S LWS 20 W P69 25 NNE P69
30 WNW MSO 50 SSW GPI 30 SW GPI 40 N 3TH 50 WNW 3TH 0 - GEG 35 W
GEG 35 ENE EPH 35 NNW EPH 30 WSW OMK 45 NW OMK 85 NNW OMK
...CONT... 75 S 7R4 0 - 7R4 15 N LFT 40 SE ESF 0 - HEZ 10 S JAN
50 SSW TCL 25 NE SEM 35 N MGM 40 SW ANB 15 ENE BHM 45 SSE MSL 15
ENE TUP 30 W UOX 20 NNE PBF 25 W HOT 35 NNW DEQ 20 SSE MLC 40 NE
ADM 30 NNW ADM 30 E FSI 20 N SPS 45 WSW SPS 40 W ABI 55 WSW SJT 50
SSE 6R6 ...CONT... 45 NE DDC 30 S HLC 0 - HLC 20 NE HLC 45 N RSL
25 SSW CNK 20 E SLN 45 NE ICT 35 N PNC 20 NNE END 15 NNW END 15 SE
AVK 15 NW AVK 25 WSW P28 45 ENE DDC 45 NE DDC ...CONT... 70 NE INL
15 NNW HIB 35 NE STC 25 SE STC 25 ENE MKT 45 S RST 25 NW MLI 35
NNE PIA 45 SE MMO 25 NNW LAF 30 WSW FDY 10 SE FKL 25 WSW AVP 35 N
JFK 15 SSW BID 40 ESE ACK ...CONT... 75 NNE EPM 0 - BHB 45 SE AUG
20 SE PSM 15 WNW BOS 15 E ORH 0 - ORH 25 NE BAF 15 NNW PSF 15 ENE
UCA 55 WNW ART
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 27, 5:33z for portions of PAH---------------
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