The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 25, 20:02z for portions of PAH077
WUUS01 KWNS 252004
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0302 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
VALID TIME 252000Z - 261200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 34969829 34969952 35340044 35570093 36440192 36900276
37070358 37310363 37620336 37840272 38050201 38490037
38639890 38669807 38669479 38579354 37829216 37089205
36379226 36039294 35799414 35719503 35769618 34969829
0.02 42697899 42777830 42677729 42107724 41117758 40817817
39878022 39288197 39318284 39418367 39738388 40248357
40868263 41758129 42227992 42697899
0.05 36519999 36900081 37450097 38120049 38159922 38039836
37629425 36979390 36529425 36329616 36209704 36319885
36519999
CIG1 35989961 36320060 36790117 37380121 38190063 38249950
38029839 37649542 37369414 36989405 36569424 36319615
36209707 35989961
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 43230439 42000370 40150313 39440164 39240034 39149821
39009591 38589349 37909237 36959205 36009239 35499355
35249650 34859826 33980007 33110105 32660212 32660289
32960344 34030359 35080344 35930325 36630361 37500478
40530556 41650661 41770810 41100972 41111114 41461297
41811354 42201336 42761295 43301220 43591105 43730937
44250924 45051036 45471141 46411257 47581279 47941202
47891084 46930833 45430619 44500527 43230439
0.05 42337953 43467785 43427615 42807483 41197636 39987827
39397926 38918097 38188496 37998664 38038898 38349077
39029097 39469045 39498700 39998500 40398391 41568255
42337953
0.05 42398221 42998372 43478472 43868509 44558474 45008374
44398171
0.15 35709772 35509848 35409951 35540072 35980218 36770339
37640449 38990474 39260401 38500285 38240202 38080119
38400027 38639826 38509677 38219532 37759473 36979454
36359468 36139547 36039646 35709772
CIG1 36859762 36289820 36050014 36220104 36810183 37440172
38100026 38199831 37499766 36859762
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 42408224 43018376 43488472 43878506 44578474 45008373
44398172
0.05 43867781 43457605 42787485 42427474 41677496 40887554
40067683 38828090 37648578 37258824 36779026 36089131
35409213 35139339 35129447 35189613 34529824 31970162
31840277 32700374 35310529 37180483 40550556 40980674
40530865 39570941 38590913 37860937 37401000 37421086
37721175 38151266 39061394 39641414 40311419 41831352
42931111 43370957 44620917 45650924 46500862 46590781
45970615 45020479 43830411 42690409 42010370 40680286
39640100 39399768 39309367 39479061 39618707 40718467
41328355 41978255
0.15 42048008 42047931 41687882 41207864 40517886 40008039
39648221 39588298 40098345 40708295 41538166 42048008
0.15 35299758 34589915 33550050 32490198 32520284 32920353
35880329 37340254 38220108 38639827 38569368 37909241
37079217 36419231 36099300 35819465 35639632 35299758
0.15 44510752 44630705 44600623 44140541 43450475 41620435
41100452 41040547 41600642 41570839 42060882 42940861
43620792 44510752
0.30 34780276 36590101 37609957 38169780 38199517 37889422
37179388 36519410 36009480 35849563 35859762 34729941
33710106 33350197 33600288 34780276
CIG1 35680111 36710011 37159927 37319835 37069789 36659779
36319785 35589856 34759954 34530032 34930114 35680111
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
ENH 35680111 36710011 37159927 37319835 37069789 36659779
36319785 35589856 34759954 34530032 34930114 35680111
SLGT 39260401 38500285 38100128 38220108 38400027 38639827
38569368 37909241 37079217 36419231 36099300 35819465
35639632 35299758 34589915 32490198 32520284 32920353
35880329 36500297 37640449 38990474 39260401
SLGT 40708295 41538166 42048008 42047931 41687882 41207864
40517886 40008039 39648221 39588298 40098345 40708295
SLGT 42940861 43620792 44510752 44630705 44600623 44140541
43450475 41620435 41100452 41040547 41600642 41570839
42060882 42940861
MRGL 43867781 43457605 42807483 42427474 41677496 40887554
40067683 38828090 37648578 37258824 36779026 36089131
35409213 35139339 35189613 34529824 31970162 31840277
32700374 35310529 37180483 40560559 40980674 40530865
39570941 38590913 37860937 37401000 37421086 37721175
38151266 39061394 39641414 40311419 42201336 42761295
43301220 43591105 43720946 44280928 45051036 45471141
46411257 47581279 47941202 47891084 46930833 46590784
45970615 45020479 43830411 42700409 40680286 39640100
39399768 39309367 39618707 40718467 41978255
MRGL 42408224 43478472 43868509 44578474 45008374 44398171
TSTM 45596643 44786801 44186908 43317030 42547078 41587127
40857165 40307224 39927296 39607456 38947748 38307999
37278357 37048483 36798568 36278688 35648721 35148688
33778490 33398399 33228277 33258123 33557963 36067496
99999999 27799024 28709116 29349171 29709189 30619213
31989283 32869323 33379361 33539428 33369497 32989575
32569668 32359760 32259873 32199958 31950039 31450120
30460207 29890261 29070480 99999999 31891441 33011371
36041465 37341517 38541545 41061576 43171595 43751597
44931578 45601584 46361640 47221718 47911819 48561957
49162036 49672081 99999999 45189104 45959097 46539108
46859134 47119211 47479327 47769442 47859596 48019741
48119891 48050008 47630131 46970177 46580168 45760141
43989995 42689918 42079821 41849673 41559483 41179317
40999092 40848919 41038753 41418662 41898603 42408589
42978635 43228686 43278771 43068840 43118916 43379000
43839054 44409099 45189104
&&
THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
15 E BGD 35 NNW GAG 40 WSW P28 15 E P28 50 N END 20 NNE END 0 -
END 40 ENE CSM 15 WNW LTS 0 - CDS 40 ESE AMA 15 E BGD
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20
W LIC 30 NNW LAA 35 WNW GCK 30 NW GCK 40 NE GCK 35 ESE RSL 15 SSW
SZL 20 NW TBN 30 NW UNO 15 NNE FLP 15 SE HRO 30 WSW FYV 30 ESE CQB
10 S OKC 10 SE LTS 35 NW BGS 25 ESE HOB 25 NW HOB 40 SSW CAO 10
ENE CAO 25 NNW TAD 10 N COS 20 W LIC
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25
WSW MFD 10 NE CLE 0 - ERI 10 SSW JHW 15 SW BFD 15 E DUJ 35 ENE
LBE 20 SE HLG 30 N UNI 30 S CMH 30 WNW CMH 25 WSW MFD
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10
NE LND 25 S WRL 30 SW SHR 10 SSW SHR 40 WNW GCC 15 SSE GCC 60 NNE
DGW 30 SSW TOR 15 ESE CYS 20 SSE LAR 45 WNW LAR 35 E RKS 35 NNE
RKS 10 NE LND
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
50 N ROC 25 N SYR 35 SE UCA 50 N MSV 10 WSW MSV 15 NNW ABE 10 S
CXY 45 SE PKB 35 S SDF 30 ENE PAH 10 E POF 20 W ARG 35 SW BVX 20
WSW RUE 30 NW MLC 15 SE FSI 20 SSW BGS 25 E INK 30 W HOB 25 SSW
LVS 30 WSW TAD 30 WNW FCL 55 NE CAG 45 E VEL 60 S VEL 35 ESE CNY
20 NNE 4BL 30 WSW 4BL 10 SW U17 25 E BCE 25 SE MLF 50 ESE ELY 45
ENE ELY 30 SSW ENV 30 SE BYI 20 WSW PIH 15 SSW IDA 15 W JAC 60 SSW
COD 20 SW COD 45 S LVM 25 SSW BZN 30 N BTM 65 NNE 3DU 50 SSE CTB
40 NE GTF 55 E LWT 65 NNE BIL 35 SSW MLS 40 SE 4BQ 55 WSW RAP 45 N
TOR 30 SSE SNY 45 SSW MCK 10 S CNK 35 S CDJ 15 NE HUF 35 SE FWA 45
SSE MTC
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
35 ESE MTC 30 W MBS 40 SSW HTL 15 NNW HTL 10 WSW APN 75 NE BAX
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNE EPM 30 NE
BHB 45 SSW BGR 25 S PWM 15 NE BOS 15 SE PVD 20 S BID 55 SE ISP 60
S ISP 10 N ACY 25 WNW DCA 40 SSW EKN 20 SSW JKL 40 W LOZ 45 ESE
BWG 15 NW BNA 45 SW BNA 35 N HSV 30 WNW ATL 30 ESE ATL 45 WSW AGS
25 WSW OGB 45 S FLO 70 NNE HSE ...CONT... 120 SSW BVE 65 SSW HUM
40 SE 7R4 15 ESE 7R4 30 NNW LFT 25 NE IER 35 SW ELD 25 ESE TXK 15
WNW TXK 35 SE PRX 50 SSW PRX 20 SSE DAL 35 SSW FTW 35 NNE BWD 15
SSE ABI 40 N SJT 40 W SJT 30 NNE 6R6 25 WSW 6R6 100 SSW MRF
...CONT... 55 SSE YUM 55 ENE YUM 30 E LAS 40 WSW P38 60 SSW ELY 15
N EKO 30 SSE BOI 20 NE BOI 15 ENE MYL 40 SSW P69 30 E LWS 35 N PUW
35 WNW GEG 0 - OMK 60 NW OMK 100 NW OMK ...CONT... 30 NE EAU 40 S
ASX 10 W ASX 25 S BFW 20 N DLH 20 WNW HIB 30 NE BJI 20 SE TVF 10
WNW GFK 0 - DVL 55 W DVL 0 - N60 50 SSW N60 50 NNE Y22 40 ESE
Y22 30 SSE PIR 30 WNW ONL 35 SE ONL 30 W TQE 40 SE DNS 10 SSW OXV
20 NE BRL 30 NNW BMI 40 SW VPZ 20 E VPZ 20 NE SBN 20 NW AZO 15 SSW
MKG 30 W MKG 25 NNE MKE 25 WNW MKE 10 E MSN 15 NE LNR 15 WSW VOK
40 NNE LSE 30 NE EAU
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 25, 20:02z for portions of PAH---------------
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