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864 FXUS64 KLIX 261956AFDLIXArea Forecast DiscussionNational Weather Service New Orleans LA156 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE....KEY MESSAGES...Updated at 152 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025 - A substantial cool down Thursday and Friday nights with temperatures in the 30s and 40s. A few places could briefly touch freezing across SW MS, and within the Pearl and Pascagoula River drainage areas.- Hazardous conditions for small craft through Thursday, possibly through the entire weekend.- Rain threat increases for the weekend and early next week. The rain could be locally heavy at times. &&.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday night)Issued at 152 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025Tonight through Saturday will be quiet overall and cold on the backside of this frontal system thanks to enhanced cold air advection into the area from northerly surface winds. High temperatures will be in the 60s with lows in the 40s, Thursday morning. Conditions will be fairly dry overall, so generally a pleasant few days ahead if a bit cold. Lows on Friday will be particularly cold with lows in the mid to low 30s across the area north of I-12. We lowered these temperatures 3-4 degrees from NBM to encompass enhanced cooling overnight from cold air advection with clear skies over the drainage basins and the typical overachieving cold air advection on the second day after a front, which commonly occurs in our area. Lows on Saturday will be in the40s, as we start to warm up a bit again. Highs Friday and Saturday will be in the 60s to low 70s as we reintroduce moisutre back into the area, especially Saturday. MSW&&.LONG TERM...(Friday through Tuesday night)Issued at 152 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025Sunday into the beginning of next week, a frontal system will movethrough the area. It looks fairly robust and progressive. Generaltiming will be mostly during the daytime hours on Sunday. Some severe weather could be possible with this system, but a lot couldchange given it is so far out in time. We will keep monitoring for changes. MSW&&.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS)Issued at 152 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025VFR conditions prevail at all area airports and will persistthrough the forecast period. MSW&&.MARINE...Issued at 152 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025A cold and dry high pressure system will build over the watersthrough Friday. As this colder and drier air moves across the warmerwaters, stronger winds aloft will transport down to the surface. Asa result, an extended period of small craft advisory conditons dueto northerly winds of 20 knots or greater and rough seas of over7 feet will impact the waters through Friday. Winds will relaxslightly to between 15 and 20 knots and begin to turn moresoutheasterly and southerly over the weekend as another low pressuresystem pushes through the region.&&.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...MCB 36 58 32 57 / 0 0 0 0 BTR 39 62 35 61 / 0 0 0 0 ASD 37 62 32 60 / 0 0 0 0 MSY 46 63 44 61 / 0 0 0 0 GPT 41 62 36 59 / 0 0 0 0 PQL 37 62 31 60 / 0 0 0 0 &&.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...LA...None.GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CST Friday for GMZ530-532-534- 536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.MS...None.GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CST Friday for GMZ532-534-536- 538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.&&$$SHORT TERM...MSWLONG TERM....MSWAVIATION...MSWMARINE...MSW
