The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Oct 19, 12:35z for portions of JKL770
WUUS01 KWNS 191237
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0735 AM CDT SUN OCT 19 2025
VALID TIME 191300Z - 201200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 29798773 30598738 30808699 30598435 30358381 28828338
0.02 38617452 38807594 39097694 39867658 40757573 41667445
41887399 41847347 41667285 41117274 40067297
&&
... HAIL ...
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 29788774 31048719 31608653 31628454 31238408 28848337
0.05 36607481 36017733 35418089 35768360 36718349 38398179
40978167 41778141 41978117 42747905 42087869 41747737
41977492 42107413 41977343 41707282 41147271 40187290
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
MRGL 29758775 31018720 31608653 31618451 31238408 28848337
MRGL 36517517 36017733 35418089 35768360 36718349 38408180
40988167 41778141 41978116 42747904 42087867 41737737
41987490 42107413 41977343 41707282 41147271 40187290
TSTM 28079135 29349002 32058865 33048757 34058722 35318758
36168769 37198811 37798819 38548794 39348697 39618638
39998548 42448364 45038321 46638300 99999999 45657505
42957302 41337191 40127170 99999999 49621304 48401281
46951230 45781287 45231344 44641433 44331524 44271565
44471636 44631670 45051743 46361954 46102222 46882414
47322482
&&
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SW
PNS 30 SSW GZH 35 ENE GZH 20 WNW ABY 20 WNW MGR 55 SSW CTY.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ENE
ECG 35 ENE RWI 15 NNE CLT 25 E TYS 40 SE LOZ 10 WNW CRW 15 WNW CAK
35 NE CLE 50 W ERI 20 SW BUF 20 N BFD 40 SW ELM 20 NNW MSV 35 NNW
POU 30 SSW PSF 20 SSW BDL 20 E BDR 45 SSE ISP.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110 SSW HUM 40 W BVE
20 SSE MEI 15 SSE TCL 45 NW BHM 40 N MSL 35 SSW CKV 35 ENE PAH 40
WSW EVV 40 NNW EVV 20 ESE HUF 10 SW IND 20 SSW MIE 15 NNE ARB 20 ESE
APN 65 E ANJ ...CONT... 50 NNW MSS 40 W EEN GON 75 S BID ...CONT...
75 NNW CTB 25 SW CTB 30 NNW HLN 20 WSW BTM 25 ENE SMN 40 SSW SMN 55
SE MYL 50 SSE MYL 30 SSW MYL 35 WSW MYL 25 NE BKE 50 ESE YKM 40 NNE
PDX 10 WSW HQM 45 SSW UIL.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Oct 19, 12:35z for portions of JKL---------------
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