The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 21, 6:00z for portions of JKL838
WUUS01 KWNS 210602
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2025
VALID TIME 211200Z - 221200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 31139846 31380045 31610105 32460120 33890113 34430070
34859948 35419762 35709673 35519616 34939563 33609546
32669612 32029689 31699743 31139846
0.05 41659430 41549657 42149900 43059876 44399700 45239413
44999280 44189218 42499328 41659430
0.05 38969547 39359527 39869287 39999174 39849093 39329019
38588998 38079059 37319190 37149276 37179399 37569559
38969547
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 43048023 40778117 40048151 38448274 37038412 36878548
37168666 38178733 38458778 38368845 38068955 37279110
33789527 32619611 31929690 31099845 31239975 31390031
31560104 32650123 33920115 34440067 34859947 35389781
35519735 35829652 36049638 37659601 39229561 39449527
39629452 39849306 40299113 40568996 42338791 44888473
46968243
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
MRGL 43059876 44399700 45239413 44999280 44189218 42499328
41659430 41549657 42149900 43059876
MRGL 42928028 40048151 38448274 37038412 36878548 37168666
38178733 38458778 38368845 38068955 37279110 33789527
32619611 31929690 31099845 31239975 31560104 32650123
33920115 34430070 35829652 36049638 39229561 39449527
39629452 39849306 40568996 42338791 44888473 46368310
TSTM 49411542 48571656 48161809 48281900 48631966 49772035
99999999 46721427 47901157 48090986 47330842 46190800
45100748 44180687 43190565 42320376 41090369 39850432
38830496 38570572 39281135 39531270 38401554 37381739
36141822 36211903 37052003 38222027 39021992 39601856
40471791 41181791 40472032 41272066 42321944 43391747
43731752 44831801 45661778 46201600 46121527 46721427
99999999 32261561 34101511 34981462 35481343 35811324
35881163 33940961 32470845 30970750 99999999 29290465
29430358 30920289 31860215 34240185 38930149 41490091
43399967 44429853 45459678 47069536 48459506 49579448
99999999 44507775 43267732 40717842 39067824 38777864
38467949 38928033 38578058 36798112 34748221 31858486
31178497 28838493 99999999 26698320 26888274 27558210
27878179 28528171 30108173 31448102 32208038 33947829
34327778 35437636 36477544 36787507
&&
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N
ONL 10 NW BKX 20 S STC 20 ENE MSP 25 NE RST 45 W ALO 35 WNW DSM 25
SW TQE 25 NNE BUB 40 N ONL.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 N
ERI 20 ENE ZZV 10 WNW HTS LOZ 50 E BWG 20 NW BWG 15 NE EVV 30 NNW
EVV 25 E MVN 25 NW MDH 50 NW POF 15 NE PRX 45 NNE CRS 30 NE ACT 55
SSE BWD 45 ESE SJT 35 WNW SJT 35 NNE BGS 35 ESE PVW 25 W CDS 20 ENE
CQB 30 WSW TUL 10 N TOP 20 WNW FLV 25 ESE STJ 30 E CDJ 15 WSW PIA 30
S RAC 35 N HTL 60 E ANJ.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 NW GPI 80 NE GEG
45 NW GEG 25 ESE OMK 15 NNW OMK 100 NNW OMK ...CONT... 15 SSW MSO 30
NNW GTF 30 S HVR 55 ENE LWT 35 NE BIL 35 NW SHR 40 S SHR 35 NNW DGW
25 NE TOR 35 W SNY 30 E DEN 15 W COS 55 WSW COS 40 SW PUC 15 NW U24
70 SSW ELY 50 SSW TPH 45 NW NID 55 N BFL 25 NW FAT 50 SSW TVL 10 NNE
TVL 10 NE NFL 30 SSW WMC 20 NNW WMC 70 S AAT 15 SSW AAT 50 ENE LKV
60 NNE REO 65 W BOI 10 W BKE 40 SE ALW 20 W P69 15 E P69 15 SSW MSO
...CONT... 40 S IPL 40 NNW BLH 15 N EED 30 ENE IGM 55 NE IGM 30 E
GCN 30 SE SOW 20 WSW SVC 90 SW ELP ...CONT... 85 SSW MRF 70 SSE MRF
FST MAF 10 WNW PVW 30 SSE GLD 30 NNW LBF 30 SSW 9V9 15 WNW HON 20
WNW VVV 30 ENE DTL 35 SSE RRT 60 NE RRT ...CONT... 90 WNW ART 20 ENE
ROC 30 NNW AOO 25 SSW MRB 40 NNE SHD 35 WNW SHD 25 W EKN 45 WSW EKN
35 SW PSK 10 S GSP 45 WNW ABY 25 NNE MAI 60 S AAF ...CONT... 65 SW
SRQ 40 SSW SRQ 30 ENE SRQ 30 WNW AGR 25 W ORL 25 WNW SGJ 30 NE SSI
50 E SAV 30 SW ILM 10 ENE ILM 45 WNW HSE 45 ENE ECG 65 E ORF.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 21, 6:00z for portions of JKL---------------
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