The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 15, 16:32z for portions of PAH080
WUUS01 KWNS 151633
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1132 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
VALID TIME 151630Z - 161200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 34597557 35537679 36247699 36657688 36917638 36767528
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 48288973 47699214 47899441 48369643 49489700
0.05 43101047 43630992 44200800 44150705 43410663 42510703
42140859 42301039 43101047
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 41560629 41490808 42130870 42300981 42921019 43610998
45680342 45390262 44680246 43580272 43110308 41560629
0.05 48318972 47669214 47929459 48369643 49749709
0.05 39839198 37999153 36629072 36108965 35408880 34988886
34598937 34229013 35139323 35619407 36189417 36779408
37419396 39489310 39899255 39839198
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
MRGL 34597557 35537679 36247699 36657688 36917638 36767528
MRGL 37419396 39489310 39899255 39839198 37999153 36629072
36108965 35408880 34988886 34598937 34229013 35139323
35619407 36189417 37419396
MRGL 48288973 47669214 47899441 48369643 49489700
MRGL 43610998 45680342 45390262 44680246 43580272 43110308
41560629 41490808 42130870 42301039 43101047 43610998
TSTM 26708311 28308193 29808059 99999999 33457770 34047825
35587892 36407917 37137902 37767850 38277752 38607536
38597391 99999999 49338980 49038958 46958859 45828970
43719011 39128987 38288898 37938789 37638510 37518299
37298153 36908109 36028093 35268134 34618228 34418364
34248561 33358786 32238884 31768993 31539110 31499154
31579191 31739264 31929313 32289377 32889475 33459586
33519674 33299768 32869898 31770076 30210225 28630277
99999999 31391276 33501016 34110932 34550869 34650811
34590759 34450685 34210600 34110498 34070414 34220377
34600349 35300308 36500237 37730155 38650023 39609911
40989780 42559652 44369526 45049514 45739532 46019587
46269648 46029795 44889964 43650021 42480079 41640126
41310163 40730279 40510337 40280405 40190465 40200487
40210602 40170803 40260970 40461054 41371171 43861361
44501396 45271412 45841397 46671388 47381411 48321464
49791592
&&
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S
HSE 35 NNE EWN 40 ESE RZZ 40 WSW ORF 10 W ORF 50 E ORF.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW
SGF 35 SE CDJ 15 S IRK 35 ESE IRK 15 SE VIH 15 SW POF 15 WNW DYR 15
SSE MKL 45 S MKL 15 NNE UOX 35 WSW UOX 10 SW RUE 25 NE FSM 10 N FYV
35 WNW SGF.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE
GNA 20 SW ELO 35 NE BJI 25 NNW TVF 50 N HCO.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E
JAC 10 NNE 2WX 45 SSW Y22 50 NNE RAP 35 SSE RAP 20 N CDR 35 WNW LAR
50 WSW RWL 40 NNE RKS 25 SW BPI 35 SSE JAC 40 E JAC.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SW SRQ 40 WSW ORL
45 ESE SGJ ...CONT... 60 SSE ILM 25 SW ILM 20 SSW RDU 15 SE DAN 15
SE LYH 25 S CHO 50 SSW DCA 20 NNE SBY 70 SSE ACY ...CONT... 110 NNE
GNA 95 NNE GNA 15 SSW CMX 15 NW RHI 15 SSE VOK 20 NNE ALN MVN 20 WSW
EVV 40 SW LEX 20 E JKL 20 W BLF 30 SW PSK 35 NE HKY 20 W CLT 20 S
GSP 35 NNW AHN 25 WSW RMG 15 WNW TCL 10 SW MEI 40 WNW PIB 15 ESE HEZ
15 WSW HEZ 25 ENE ESF 25 E IER 15 N IER 10 SSE SHV 35 N GGG 25 WSW
PRX 15 SSW GYI 35 NNW FTW 50 NE ABI 30 NNW SJT 10 NNW 6R6 105 SSW
6R6 ...CONT... 105 S GBN 55 S SOW 40 ESE SOW 60 SW GNT 40 SSW GNT 45
SSE GNT 30 N ONM 20 WNW 4CR 40 E 4CR 50 WSW CVS 30 WSW CVS 20 NNW
CVS 30 ENE TCC 35 NNE DHT 45 WSW GCK 55 SSW HLC 40 ENE HLC 25 E GRI
15 NW SUX 15 SSW RWF 35 N RWF 10 SSE AXN 25 WNW AXN 50 SSE FAR 45
NNE ABR 45 NE PIR 45 W 9V9 30 SSW VTN 30 SSW MHN 50 WNW LBF 25 SSE
SNY 25 NNW AKO 45 W AKO 25 SE FCL 20 SSE FCL 55 WSW FCL 35 SW CAG 15
SW VEL 55 W VEL 20 NE OGD 45 NE SUN 45 S SMN 15 NW SMN 50 N SMN 20
SSE MSO 30 N MSO 20 W GPI 125 NW GPI.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 15, 16:32z for portions of PAH---------------
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