PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 10, 2:29 AM CDT774
FXUS63 KPAH 100729
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
229 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Summer-like 90s return to the forecast soon and stick around
through at least early next week.
- A continued dry weather forecast will only exacerbate drought
conditions and heighten fire danger as the week ensues.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 229 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Clouds tracking eastward through the Quad State have produced a
few sprinkles for trace accumulations as a few models were
suggesting. As ridging develops in the Central Plains, there is
some potential for another round of sprinkles tonight into
tomorrow as a weak area of vorticity rounds the trough
(subsequently strengthening over the Mid-Atlantic), but model
agreement is lacking so will hold off on their inclusion for the
time being. Temperatures rise to near 90 for highs today, then
continue rising to well above normal for the end of the week
through early next week. A clean omega block never quite sets up
for long, but the ridge surging well into Canada Saturday
through Monday results in highs reaching the mid to upper 90s in
the Quad State. A shift towards a less northerly wind component
has resulted in much higher dew points compared to yesterday
morning and lows will rise to the lower half of the 60s.
Dry conditions are forecast with the NBM refraining from
including any slight chance PoPs early next week. Drought
conditions are expected to continue to develop. Low soil
moisture and low RHs are a concern for fire weather, though wind
speeds will remain light.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1055 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
A disturbance moving across the region is spreading mid layer
clouds across the terminals this morning. This afternoon,
diurnal CU will develop with bases between 5-7kft. Nearly calm
wind tonight will increase to 5 kts from the southwest on
Wednesday before becoming calm Wednesday night. VFR will
prevail.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...ATL
AVIATION...AD
Source:
PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 10, 2:29 AM CDT---------------
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