MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 27, 2:04 PM CDT ...New Discussion, Marine...985
FXUS64 KMOB 271904
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
204 PM CDT Wed Aug 27 2025
...New Discussion, Marine...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 204 PM CDT Wed Aug 27 2025
An upper trof pattern persists over the eastern CONUS through
Tuesday, with a series of shortwaves progressing across the
region within the base of the trof. A surface ridge over the
eastern states weakens through Thursday as a surface low becomes
positioned near the Red River valley. A frontal boundary extends
from the surface low to the coastal portion of the forecast area
by Thursday afternoon, but past this point there continues to be
uncertainty with how the pattern will play out. There still is the
potential for the surface low to advance slowly to the extreme
northeast Gulf by late this weekend, or a weak frontal boundary
could meanwhile meander mostly over the marine portion of the
forecast area. Either way, the overall pattern looks to support
slight chance to chance pops on Thursday along and west of I-65
trending to chance to likely pops for Friday and Saturday. The
potential surface low moves off into the western Atlantic by early
next week, and in the meantime rain chances over the forecast
area trend lower, with chance pops on Sunday trending to dry
conditions inland by Tuesday with slight chance to chance pops
near the coast. Will continue to monitor this unsettled pattern
for more continuity/agreement in guidance. Lows tonight range from
the lower 60s well inland to near 70 at the coast then moderate
through Friday night to range from the mid/upper 60s inland to the
lower 70s near the coast. Similar values follow through Sunday
night before trending a tad cooler for Monday night. Highs on
Thursday will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s then Friday and
Saturday will be cooler and range from around 80 well inland to
the mid 80s closer to the coast. Highs on Sunday and Monday will
be similar and in the lower to mid 80s, then Tuesday will be a bit
warmer and in the mid to upper 80s. A low risk of rip currents is
expected to continue through Sunday. /29
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1209 PM CDT Wed Aug 27 2025
VFR conditions are expected through Thursday morning. East to
northeast winds 5-10 knots become calm or light and variable by
early this evening, then a northeast flow around 5 knots develops
Thursday morning. /29
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 204 PM CDT Wed Aug 27 2025
A light to moderate northeasterly flow develops tonight then
becomes mostly easterly to southerly for Thursday and Friday. A
weak cold front shifts offshore Saturday afternoon, with a light
to occasionally moderate northeasterly flow prevailing for Sunday
through Tuesday. No impacts are anticipated other than higher
winds and seas near storms. /29
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 68 91 70 85 70 85 70 86 / 0 20 20 50 50 60 30 50
Pensacola 70 91 73 87 74 84 73 86 / 0 10 10 40 50 70 40 50
Destin 71 90 73 86 74 85 73 86 / 0 10 10 40 50 70 40 50
Evergreen 61 91 66 85 68 84 67 86 / 0 20 30 50 50 60 30 40
Waynesboro 65 89 67 80 67 82 66 84 / 0 30 40 60 50 50 20 40
Camden 62 88 66 79 68 79 67 82 / 0 20 40 50 50 50 20 30
Crestview 62 91 68 85 69 84 68 86 / 0 10 10 40 50 70 30 50
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 27, 2:04 PM CDT ...New Discussion, Marine...---------------
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