[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 20, 16:28z for portions of MOB

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 20, 16:28z for portions of MOB

834 
WUUS01 KWNS 201630
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1128 AM CDT WED AUG 20 2025

VALID TIME 201630Z - 211200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   49389731 48230056 47670198 48030385 49390429
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   49579628 48809631 48529646 48329727 48279988 47670208
       47090451 46200980 46751069 47531127 48031125 49450968
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   49569551 48639604 48329727 48279988 46680413 46160718
       46110966 46761070 47531127 48031126 49450968
0.05   29450247 30630267 32200201 32309761 32549548 33119263
       33689016 35388690 35718509 35548443 34968428 34068507
       31938642 30219131 29589386 29190070 29200129
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

MRGL   49569551 48649604 48329728 48279990 46680413 46160718
       46110966 46761070 47531127 48031126 49450968
MRGL   29450247 30630267 32200201 32309761 32549547 33119263
       33689016 35388690 35718509 35548443 34968428 34068507
       31938642 30219131 29589386 29190070 29210129
TSTM   31391329 33311288 34351276 36961144 38390998 39270784
       40670657 41820577 41830483 39590363 38710360 37860382
       37260394 35740427 34880376 34110220 34120078 34649936
       35439862 35869785 35899689 35939525 36299314 36409264
       35779092 36258881 37158551 38318385 40488023 42137861
       42647596 42187391 41017164 40287046 99999999 33117852
       34067852 34957840 36507748 37317660 38417646 38677745
       38197801 36827955 34818149 33458264 32098340 31088344
       30308359 29298402 99999999 28708334 28928209 30148048
       99999999 49229218 47969415 47109678 46319973 45170270
       44900595 43990708 43370853 42361027 40921169 39091357
       38821541 40301631 41671560 43211409 44011342 44451342
       45251367 46011373 47631337 48221344 49561665

&&
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N
RRT 20 SW ROX 25 N GFK 45 WNW DVL 25 NNE BHK 65 WSW MLS 25 SSE 3HT
45 WNW 3HT GTF 40 N GTF 60 N HVR.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW
6R6 25 SE FST 20 NNE MAF 35 E SEP 15 NNW TYR 15 SE ELD 15 NNW GWO 50
N HSV 15 S CSV 30 SW TYS 50 E CHA 20 SSE RMG 25 W TOI 40 E LFT 25
SSE BPT 20 SE DRT 25 WSW DRT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110 SSW GBN 30 NNW
GBN 30 SW PRC PGA 30 SSW CNY 40 ENE GJT 50 ENE CAG 35 N LAR 40 WSW
TOR 20 N LIC 40 S LIC 20 SW LHX 20 E TAD 50 E LVS 25 SSW TCC 30 W
PVW 35 SW CDS LTS 35 ENE CSM 35 S END 15 NNW CQB 20 NNE MKO HRO 15
NW FLP 15 WSW JBR 35 ENE DYR 50 ENE BWG 45 ENE LEX PIT 25 N BFD 25
ENE ITH 35 WSW PSF 10 SSW BID 70 SSW ACK ...CONT... 45 SSE CRE 35 NE
CRE 25 E FAY 15 ENE RZZ 35 NW ORF 10 NNW NHK 25 WSW DCA 25 E CHO 20
NW DAN 30 ESE SPA 40 W AGS 45 SSE MCN 20 E MGR 40 SSW VLD 60 WSW CTY
...CONT... 65 SSW CTY 20 SSE OCF 50 ENE SGJ ...CONT... 70 NE INL 50
NE BJI 15 N FAR 60 ESE BIS 50 SE 2WX 45 NNW GCC 45 E WRL 20 N RIW 15
SSW BPI 20 NE SLC 55 NNW MLF 45 SW ELY 35 SE BAM 35 ESE OWY 25 SSE
SUN 55 NE SUN 50 SSE SMN 15 NE SMN 55 SSW 3DU 60 NE MSO 40 E GPI 140
NW GPI.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 20, 16:28z for portions of MOB

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