The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 12, 16:28z for portions of ILN180
WUUS01 KWNS 121630
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1128 AM CDT TUE AUG 12 2025
VALID TIME 121630Z - 131200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 46618746 46798645 46688563 46218571 45588620 44448751
43258924 43308957 44218990 46618746
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 42198203 41358353 39878625 39078765 39058842 39478946
40268952 41018927 42168777 44498184
0.05 31311211 32211165 32351048 32780956 33130883 32980778
31500749
0.05 46348320 45828474 43218878 43288955 44238990 46818724
46998440
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
MRGL 31311211 32211165 32351048 32780956 33130883 32970778
31500749
MRGL 42198202 41358353 39868627 39078765 39058843 39488946
40268951 41028927 42188775 44498184
MRGL 46348321 45838473 43208880 43288955 44238989 46808724
47008438
TSTM 49810335 48140303 46800256 45860217 45340176 44860069
44340040 43840093 43370279 43090470 42980622 43010696
43040803 43170876 43620956 44191088 44661164 45171219
45801261 47331264 49681297 99999999 36481838 36681904
37702010 39292067 39872063 40122025 40071965 39551921
38751875 37861819 37281791 36831792 36481838 99999999
31691342 33331326 35041272 35431251 35661202 35791167
35741134 35391068 35201024 35110994 35150957 35270939
35710896 37330849 38160812 38810658 38490542 36170364
34550281 33600234 33360192 33480135 33750105 34390067
35310054 36910011 38089965 38559913 39029831 39299707
39639614 39859562 40149561 40579575 41049612 41339611
41939559 43079442 43549378 44529316 46559371 49729666
99999999 45917403 42587437 40907492 39847491 38677414
&&
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 SW
TUS 40 W TUS 30 ENE TUS SAD 50 ENE SAD 30 NE SVC 55 SSE DMN.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SE
MTC 20 SE TOL 10 N IND 30 SSW HUF 30 SSW MTO 30 SSE SPI 30 NNE SPI
30 NE PIA 40 S RAC 75 NE BAX.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 E
ANJ 20 N PLN 25 E MSN 15 NW MSN 30 NE VOK 25 NE MQT 35 N ANJ.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 N ISN 30 E ISN 10
E DIK Y22 45 SSE Y22 40 NNW PIR PIR 35 ESE PHP 40 NNE CDR 40 NE DGW
15 ENE CPR 25 WNW CPR 20 E RIW 15 WNW RIW 60 E JAC 35 SSE WEY 25 W
WEY 20 ESE DLN 10 SSW BTM 50 NNE 3DU 80 NNW CTB ...CONT... 60 S BIH
40 E FAT 35 NE MER 45 NW TVL 50 WNW RNO 50 NNW RNO 40 N RNO 25 W NFL
50 S NFL 35 NNE BIH 25 ESE BIH 45 SE BIH 60 S BIH ...CONT... 95 SSW
GBN 40 NW GBN 30 NNW PRC 40 SSW GCN 20 SSE GCN 30 ESE GCN 45 NNE FLG
25 N INW 30 ENE INW 45 E INW 50 WSW GUP 40 WSW GUP 15 NW GUP 10 ENE
CEZ 25 SSW MTJ 25 NE GUC 45 WSW COS 35 SW CAO 30 ENE CVS 30 W LBB 20
SSW LBB 30 ESE LBB 45 E LBB 20 W CDS 55 ESE BGD 50 E LBL 30 NE DDC
25 SW RSL 30 ENE RSL 25 WNW MHK 40 SW FNB 15 S FNB FNB 20 SW SDA 20
SSW OMA 10 W OMA 10 WSW DNS 35 E SPW 35 ESE FRM 25 S MSP 25 ENE BRD
70 N HCO ...CONT... 80 NNE MSS 30 WSW ALB 30 ENE ABE 20 E PHL 60 SSE
ACY.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 12, 16:28z for portions of ILN---------------
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