The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 1, 16:30z for portions of MOB546
WUUS01 KWNS 011632
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CDT FRI AUG 01 2025
VALID TIME 011630Z - 021200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 39740429 41010502 41800493 42340432 44830377 45660289
45740184 45650119 44660034 43700037 42480145 40850187
39820228 39590268 39540369 39740429
0.05 40690266 40160296 40040361 40490441 40920470 41450461
41550405 41190276 40690266
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 45940406 46260289 46340213 46210148 45310024 44059920
43339921 41750036 39790126 35660277 34550353 34320476
34380529 35140562 37060530 37800530 38640557 39840523
42210582 44680742 45010922 46271158 47271210 48201126
48731028 48500775 47820646 46370607 45940406
0.15 43600402 44670382 44840379 45650291 45730182 45640118
44640033 43710036 42460146 41540200 38290281 38290329
38480376 39710427 41030501 41790493 42340432 43600402
SIGN 42040452 42110387 41170274 40710266 40160295 40040359
40210426 40580476 41030502 41790492 42040452
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 42140593 42690847 43140904 44410917 45020974 46061159
47281211 48171128 48731026 48470770 48020688 47780650
46370602 45950402 46240296 46340209 46180142 45320027
44069921 43339922 41770038 39910121 35660280 34550353
34310473 34390530 35100563 37090530 37750527 38650556
39690521 40540537 42140593
0.05 31898077 31518204 31978755 31668985 31989072 32649091
33239058 34098819 34438483 35098388 36108202 36918052
36757975 36247944 35597927 34977859 34987768 34517707
34017753 33697801 32967900 32307999 31898077
0.15 39780201 38870219 38270281 38290328 38480379 39730429
41020502 41800493 42330432 44840378 45650289 45730183
45650119 44640034 43730035 42470146 40690132 39780201
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 39770430 41020503 41790494 42340432 44840379 45660290
45730183 45650118 44640033 43700037 42470146 40690132
39810198 38870217 38270280 38290330 38470377 39770430
MRGL 35098387 36918052 36757975 36247944 35597927 34977859
34987768 34517707 34017753 32307999 31898076 31528209
31978757 31668985 31989072 32659091 33239058 34098816
34438480 35098387
MRGL 48201126 48731028 48500775 47820646 46370603 45950406
46240297 46350210 46180143 45330026 44069921 43339922
41770038 39910121 35660280 34550353 34310479 34390530
35100563 37060530 37770529 38650556 39800523 40670541
42140593 42690847 43140904 44410917 45020974 46061159
47271210 48201126
TSTM 31391249 32331221 32711200 33241187 36061278 36781278
38821063 40710767 41460735 42120831 41980995 41761132
41671221 41231305 40841373 39461509 39211629 39171697
39301747 39341796 38941858 38481850 37881858 37821897
37981960 38462009 38792074 38942111 38792146 38412207
38612247 38932311 39872380 40682387 42272404 43912229
45132134 45892123 47212152 48392158 49552173 99999999
49560116 47999899 45409713 42989660 41249700 40149763
38729910 37729955 36599997 35330030 34980014 34739952
34739889 34939823 35419764 35909703 36429607 36539466
36449383 36199293 35839194 35599128 35409044 35228937
35018814 35418643 35838487 36758338 37828057 38017959
37687800 37537658 37487558 37637440 99999999 27509645
26689982 99999999 28950270 30340317 30800409 30730494
30510610
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E
DEN 15 SW CYS 45 WSW TOR 20 NNW TOR 50 SSW 2WX 30 ENE 2WX 20 SE Y22
35 WNW MBG 20 N PIR 45 S PIR 35 NW MHN 20 NE IML 35 NNW GLD 25 SSE
ITR 15 NNW LAA 20 NE LHX 35 NNW LHX 30 E DEN.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S
TYS 20 SSE PSK 25 WNW DAN 25 SSW DAN 25 NNE SOP 15 E FAY 10 NNW OAJ
40 SE OAJ 30 SE ILM 40 S CHS 30 ESE SAV 25 NE AYS 45 SW SEM 35 WNW
PIB 40 NE HEZ 55 S GLH 30 SE GLH 35 NNE CBM 20 ENE RMG 50 S TYS.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N
GTF 25 WNW HVR 55 WNW GGW 30 SSE GGW 10 WSW MLS 30 SSE BHK 40 SSW
DIK 30 N Y22 40 ENE Y22 15 SSE MBG 20 NNE 9V9 30 S 9V9 40 ESE MHN 40
WSW MCK 30 SSW DHT 15 NW CVS 55 ENE 4CR 30 NE 4CR 45 SE SAF 40 SE
ALS 40 NE ALS 45 WSW COS 20 W DEN 25 NW FCL 50 SW DGW 15 SE LND 25
NW LND 10 SW COD 50 NW COD 30 NW BZN 35 WSW GTF 50 N GTF.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 WSW TUS 50 SE GBN
45 ESE GBN 15 SSE PHX 35 WNW GCN 50 ESE SGU 25 WSW U28 15 NNW CAG 25
SSW RWL 55 SSE LND 40 S BPI 35 NNW EVW 35 NNW OGD 55 W OGD 20 ENE
ENV 20 NW ELY 30 SW P68 25 SSE U31 20 SW U31 40 WSW U31 40 SSE NFL
70 S NFL 40 NNW BIH 45 NW BIH 65 SSE TVL 30 S TVL 40 W TVL 35 NE SAC
20 N SAC 30 WSW SAC 55 W SAC 15 SSE UKI 60 NNW UKI 15 ESE EKA 20 NE
4BK 50 ESE EUG 35 SSW DLS 20 N DLS 40 ESE SEA 50 ESE BLI 65 NE BLI
...CONT... 90 N MOT 10 SSW DVL 35 N ATY 40 E YKN 25 SE OLU 40 N CNK
20 WSW RSL 25 E DDC 65 ESE LBL 60 W CSM 40 NNE CDS 15 WNW LTS 20 ENE
LTS 20 SW CHK OKC 15 NW CQB 20 NW TUL GMJ 30 S UMN 15 ESE HRO 20 WNW
BVX 25 ESE BVX 30 SSE JBR 35 SW MKL 35 WNW MSL 50 SSE BNA 15 SE CSV
45 ESE LOZ 15 WNW SSU 40 WSW SHD 40 SE CHO 40 E RIC 30 S WAL 60 ESE
WAL ...CONT... 65 ESE CRP 65 SSW LRD ...CONT... 80 SSW 6R6 40 SSW
FST 30 N MRF 60 WNW MRF 90 S ELP.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 1, 16:30z for portions of MOB---------------
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