[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 27, 20:00z for portions of CLE

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 27, 20:00z for portions of CLE

216 
WUUS01 KWNS 272002
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2025

VALID TIME 272000Z - 281200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   47828648 46688720 45499003 43849268 43599469 43489581
       43849711 43969816 44309896 44599906 45029863 45419820
       45649735 47609512 49039262
0.05   45919675 47599271 47449163 46359141 45829269 45229330
       44739375 44459467 44539646 44739736 45019747 45919675
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   47948648 46758720 45608821 44858954 43869253 43619442
       43429666 42939828 43189906 43749950 44219945 45089849
       46259702 47269697 47609752 47879939 47530231 46750421
       45610742 45660918 46121050 47111065 47790873 48400582
       49500468
0.15   43769709 43629819 43929880 44589893 45339780 46229607
       48009231 48249113 47978935 47579070 46379151 45629183
       45269272 44849398 43769709
SIGN   46639513 46069424 45129502 43689830 43939880 44579894
       45329780 45839689 46639513
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   47378418 46518548 46028604 44598765 43628832 42158931
       41519050 41209198 41639456 42289640 42759839 41999980
       41970122 42610111 44059954 44599936 44889949 45790209
       46070379 45790607 45350712 45650919 46761250 47741222
       48701252 49581319
0.05   36087489 35087646 33977804 33957891 34428078 34938099
       35588050 36317963 37027945 37548041 37628174 38398350
       38808424 39428431 40038363 40378325 41097984 41147735
       41167461 39697237
0.15   48168690 46798778 45718880 44299048 43629254 43399511
       43389732 43589815 43909881 44599893 45339780 46149628
       46919463 48229227 48969157
0.15   36867610 36687668 37107757 38237803 38897751 39207666
       39227624 38247596 38037595 37307605 36867610
0.30   45949586 46829398 46759331 46139262 45559299 45049310
       44649282 44389278 44209304 44049414 43819584 44079723
       44579752 45059726 45949586
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    43819588 44079723 44589753 45039728 45919590 46829398
       46759331 46139262 45559299 45049310 44649282 44389278
       44209304 44049414 43819588
SLGT   38897751 39207666 39227624 38247596 36867610 36687668
       37107757 38237803 38897751
SLGT   48168690 46798778 45718880 44299048 43639254 43409513
       43389728 43579812 43929881 44589893 45339780 45919675
       46919463 48229227 48779175
MRGL   36037497 33967809 33957898 34428078 34938101 35568051
       36337962 37047946 37548041 37628174 38398350 38808424
       39428431 40378325 41097984 41167461 40037289
MRGL   47208444 46518548 44598765 42158931 41519050 41209198
       41639456 42289640 42759839 41999980 41970122 42610111
       44059954 44599936 44889949 45790209 46070379 45790607
       45350712 45650919 46761250 47741222 48701252 49531315
TSTM   30830982 32350921 33610820 35810511 36840355 38210208
       39330228 42660163 43460185 43600203 43780470 44690744
       45270920 45251147 44511301 43031403 42261461 41641538
       41391624 41181737 40741837 40461868 39381828 38901824
       38521848 38301891 38311965 39292057 39782188 39692235
       39372259 39322300 39832352 40722399 42572318 44512135
       45171899 46211722 47611578 48751501 49721580 99999999
       39299413 40759538 40869634 41139765 40279862 38800022
       35670147 35290086 34060071 33270192 32500292 31500274
       30740259 29930216 29990112 30749976 31999822 32699588
       33579469 34229432 36059462 37829485 39299413 99999999
       46128306 45568454 45388628 44248748 42548850 42138804
       41928575 42118244 43307847 43637690 44537580 45137593
       99999999 46246712 45056909 43977022 42907083 41597140
       41307120 40876943 99999999 32647893 32878031 33958201
       34468413 34528540 35488738 34948861 34488810 33488650
       31498588 30768462 30728347 31138242 30968148 29708102
       27608129 26408135 25898065 26497951

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW
OTG 25 SW BKX 30 SW ATY 10 NW ATY 25 W AXN 30 NNE BRD 45 ENE BRD 55
SSW DLH 50 NNE MSP 15 NNE MSP 25 SE MSP 35 NNW RST 35 NW RST 15 SW
MKT 20 NW OTG.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W
DCA BWI 25 E BWI 25 E NHK ORF 30 WSW ORF 30 SSW RIC 25 ENE CHO 25 W
DCA.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 NE
CMX 20 NNW MQT 35 E RHI 25 NNW VOK 20 S RST 15 N SPW 30 WSW FSD 15
SSW MHE 30 ENE 9V9 35 WNW HON 30 ESE ABR 45 NNW VVV 40 NW BRD 30 NW
ELO 60 N ELO.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NNE
HSE 25 SSW ILM 20 N CRE 40 NNE CAE 20 S CLT 35 NE CLT 25 SW DAN 25
SW LYH 15 SSW SSU 35 WSW BKW 50 W HTS 25 SSE LUK 25 NNE LUK 30 NW
CMH 20 S FKL 40 SSE MSV 55 SSE ISP.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N
ANJ 55 W ANJ 25 ENE GRB 10 WSW RFD MLI 25 ENE OTM 45 W DSM 10 S SUX
25 NE ONL 35 WNW BUB 10 SW MHN 35 WSW VTN 20 NNW 9V9 50 ENE PIR 50
NE PIR 10 SSE Y22 30 SE BHK 40 NW 4BQ 40 N SHR 35 WSW BIL 25 WNW HLN
45 WNW GTF 10 NW CTB 70 NNW CTB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW DUG 40 SE SAD
60 WNW TCS 10 NNE LVS 35 NW CAO 35 ENE LAA ITR 50 NW MHN 45 SSW PHP
40 SW PHP 55 SE GCC 25 WSW SHR 50 SW BIL 40 SSW BZN 35 W MQM 35 SSE
SUN 15 SSW TWF 45 ESE OWY 40 S OWY 30 NE WMC 30 WSW WMC 25 NNW LOL
25 ESE NFL 50 SSE NFL 70 SSE NFL 70 NNW BIH 45 SSE TVL 40 NW TVL 30
SE RBL 30 S RBL 35 ENE UKI 15 NE UKI 50 NNW UKI 10 SE EKA 20 NW MFR
20 NNW RDM 40 SSW PDT 15 SW LWS 20 W 3TH 45 NW GPI 120 NW GPI
...CONT... 30 ENE MKC SDA 25 E LNK 25 SW OLU 25 SSW HSI 45 SSW HLC
BGD 40 SE BGD 35 SW CDS 30 SSW LBB 20 SE HOB 35 SE INK 25 ESE FST 10
SSE 6R6 45 NNW DRT 15 N JCT 15 S SEP 35 NW TYR 35 SSW DEQ 10 NNE DEQ
25 W FYV 35 ENE CNU 30 ENE MKC ...CONT... 65 ESE ANJ 10 E PLN 45 ESE
ESC 10 NE MTW 25 E JVL 45 SSW RAC 25 SSW AZO 40 SSE MTC 30 NNE BUF
50 WSW ART 40 NNE ART 55 WNW MSS ...CONT... 35 ENE HUL 20 NW BGR 20
NNE PWM 10 S PSM 10 S PVD 20 ENE BID 40 SE ACK ...CONT... 65 ESE CHS
15 W CHS 40 N AGS 60 NW AHN 20 NW RMG 50 NNE MSL 45 NNE TUP 35 SW
MSL 15 ESE BHM 30 WNW DHN 30 NNW TLH 10 WSW VLD 10 S AYS 15 S SSI 25
SE SGJ AGR 30 ENE APF 25 WNW MIA 40 ESE PBI.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 27, 20:00z for portions of CLE

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