[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 22, 12:32z for portions of MOB

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 22, 12:32z for portions of MOB

100 
WUUS01 KWNS 221234
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0732 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2025

VALID TIME 221300Z - 231200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   44640041 44400209 44620682 45510829 45990856 46330690
       46520346 47009974 48049659 48659489 48499291 48269198
       47569153 46609263 46469181 46159116 45779091 45059056
       44299034 43309058 41679145 41269270 41199424 41649502
       42439526 43209535 44039581 44689696 44989771 44899930
       44640041
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   48658915 46808993 46029061 45439267 44959464 43659996
       42970116 42910228 42900341 42980399 43380420 43860478
       44190617 44230727 44510789 45401063 46111059 47270873
       48270363 48410002 48649792 49469617
0.15   47459284 46419317 45839434 45339615 44779813 44300187
       44640688 45460855 46040875 46430759 46630575 46630195
       46950009 47609843 48279627 48289476 48099346 47459284
SIGN   46799871 46589822 45959837 44949956 44400114 44380201
       44560428 44740685 45340781 45960761 46440677 46550176
       46690006 46799871
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   48008633 47218736 46398796 44488830 42198964 41129101
       41139414 41639503 42299531 43099537 43979618 44079722
       43999864 43669996 42390053 40410067 38880097 37990130
       37500219 37480314 38180374 38990382 41100379 42870394
       43380421 43850477 44190618 44230727 44480783 45401063
       46111058 47270874 47570704 47910352 48060117 48429790
       49669584
0.05   29548625 30668641 31418621 33078561 34218415 34008240
       33917974 34047884 33387783 99999999 30488083 29938157
       29478283 29158383
0.15   44300186 44640688 45460855 46040875 46430760 46620577
       46630191 46960008 47609846 48289622 48289384 48109236
       47519171 46489138 45909293 44929657 44300186
SIGN   46610376 46600190 46169981 45269966 44580049 44360184
       44600586 45090649 45950666 46440643 46600581 46610376
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   46630574 46640192 46960009 47609843 48289622 48299385
       48109236 47519171 46489138 45899292 44939656 44300187
       44640688 45460855 46040875 46430758 46630574
MRGL   30488083 29938157 29458289 29158383 99999999 29548626
       30668641 31408622 33078561 34218415 34008239 33917974
       34047885 33387783
MRGL   47998634 47228737 46378797 44488830 42198964 41129102
       41129413 41619502 42299531 43109536 43979618 44069724
       44009864 43669996 42380053 40410067 38880097 37990130
       37500219 37480314 38190374 38990382 41100378 42860394
       43380421 43860478 44190617 44230727 44510789 45401063
       46111059 47270873 48270363 48410002 48649792 49489615
TSTM   31291232 32401318 33311322 34331274 35351156 36080955
       36490838 38170854 40300767 41790611 42260487 43060496
       43210653 43080970 42171253 41231396 41551549 41821732
       41622027 42172168 43042134 44171892 44381747 44181619
       45051587 45541755 46481834 45642098 46492191 50102090
       99999999 46988323 45478654 43368703 40418919 36248569
       36708220 36408067 35477928 35407784 35767481 99999999
       27989318 30079229 30519093 31308975 33628920 35389033
       36709178 38629302 38729578 38299815 37419932 35879927
       34209961 32609918 31069829 30219835 29839968 27289989

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE
MLS 45 ESE DIK 35 ENE BIS 40 SSE DVL 15 N TVF 30 SW INL 25 WNW ELO
25 NW BFW 20 WSW ASX 60 ENE STC 25 SSW VVV 20 NW PHP 10 SSE SHR 25 S
BIL 20 NNW BIL 65 NE BIL 15 NNE MLS.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE
SGJ 15 W SGJ 20 SE CTY 55 SW CTY ...CONT... 60 SW PFN 10 SE CEW 35
SSW TOI 30 W LGC 45 NNE ATL 40 SSE AND 20 S FLO 25 N CRE 60 S ILM.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115
ENE CMX 50 NNE MQT 20 WSW MQT 10 W GRB 30 W RFD 25 NNE BRL 35 SW DSM
30 SE DNS 20 N DNS 10 WSW SPW 35 NW OTG 25 SW BKX 35 SW HON 35 WSW
9V9 30 WSW ANW 15 NNW MCK 50 SE GLD 30 W GCK 30 ENE SPD 30 WNW SPD
15 NW LHX 20 SSW LIC 40 W SNY 45 W CDR 70 NW CDR 50 SE GCC 35 WSW
GCC 40 ENE WRL 35 N WRL 20 SSW LVM 30 NNW LVM 40 ENE LWT ISN 55 WNW
DVL 45 W HCO 50 NNW ROX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SW TUS 45 SW GBN
40 NW GBN 30 SW PRC 15 NNE FLG 60 NW GUP 20 SSW FMN 40 WSW MTJ 15
SSW CAG 40 NW LAR 40 WNW TOR 30 NE DGW 20 N CPR 40 NNE BPI 10 W MLD
35 N ENV 45 SE OWY 60 W OWY 20 ENE AAT LMT 65 NNE LMT 40 N BNO 35
SSE BKE 40 N BOI 15 NE MYL 50 NNE BKE 25 N ALW 10 E DLS 55 SE OLM
115 NE BLI ...CONT... 65 ENE ANJ 30 ESE ESC 40 WNW MKG 15 WSW BMI 40
WNW CSV 20 NE TRI 45 WNW GSO 20 NNE SOP 10 ESE GSB 60 NE HSE
...CONT... 135 SE GLS 20 WSW LFT 55 SSW MCB 25 WSW PIB 45 W CBM 30
NW MEM UNO 30 ESE SZL 25 SSW TOP 20 NW HUT 40 WNW P28 40 N CSM 35
SSW LTS 30 ENE ABI 50 W TPL 40 NNW BAZ 45 NW HDO 30 SW LRD.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 22, 12:32z for portions of MOB

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