[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 16, 12:30z for portions of CLE

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 16, 12:30z for portions of CLE

646 
WUUS01 KWNS 161232
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0730 AM CDT WED JUL 16 2025

VALID TIME 161300Z - 171200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   38430319 38140388 38300480 39810572 42160629 42480512
       42100399 41140333 39350312 38430319
0.02   40738845 40578965 41609093 42609231 43319247 44759128
       45228951 45108803 44318669 41628774 40738845
0.05   41638880 41608959 41889013 42359049 42879054 43139044
       43649017 43828973 43898920 43818850 43448788 42978791
       42458815 41948848 41638880
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   42020284 41030244 39830149 39350078 39169978 39299845
       39659585 39659478 39499423 39049423 38749464 38549581
       38059779 37419926 36670049 36310189 36420338 36830403
       37500485 38230534 39460596 41050763 41930735 42980639
       43010404 42020284
0.05   42059073 43459130 44129041 44248948 44138863 43558797
       42678804 41428842 40448889 40448983 41059052 42059073
0.15   37580400 37660469 38320514 41010587 42260586 42530499
       42360407 41150316 39390293 38010312 37580400
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   45327605 43457401 41987382 40367435 39327534 38277670
       37767829 37378122 37608589 38848997 38049608 36440027
       36110102 35760316 36820404 37500485 38230535 39450596
       40730731 41080756 41920725 42560506 42200311 40290095
       39959917 40609320 41389206 43269252 44779125 45438894
       46008484 45948275
0.15   44978893 44548682 43678526 42388542 41658675 41188757
       40858806 40448884 40658965 41939061 43509123 44459085
       44978893
0.15   37680470 38350514 39060532 39710439 39770361 39380292
       39080208 37770209 37160245 37110312 37320397 37680470
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   44459085 44978893 44548682 43678526 42388542 40448884
       40658965 41939061 43509123 44459085
SLGT   42260586 42530499 42360407 41160317 39380292 39080208
       37770209 37150244 37120313 37320397 37660468 38320514
       41010587 42260586
MRGL   45107581 43457401 41987382 40367435 39317534 38277671
       37767830 37378122 37608589 38848997 38049608 36110102
       35760316 36810403 37500485 38230534 39450596 41050763
       41930735 42980639 43010404 40290095 39959917 40609320
       41389206 43269252 44779125 45438894 46008484 45948275
TSTM   31751475 32031476 33731494 34631478 36381389 37451427
       38451531 38321645 37561760 36961766 36461766 36251814
       36361842 36701866 37461907 38471900 40091781 41221659
       41931425 41581238 42221079 43400932 43970950 44561053
       45231033 46180642 46590299 45950057 45029876 44299819
       43989683 44329580 46119380 46928980 48108287 99999999
       46157074 41126918 99999999 28859358 30049359 32659203
       34159224 34799327 34799444 32759646 32749824 33899954
       34430202 34300330 32500495 31820524 31500381 31700243
       31230163 28650111

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE
EAU 35 E AUW 35 WNW MBL 55 SSW HTL 10 NNE AZO BMI PIA 35 S DBQ 25 S
LSE 40 SE EAU.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW
DGW 25 SE DGW 20 N TOR 10 WNW SNY 35 WNW ITR 15 SE ITR 40 ESE LAA 15
SE SPD 30 WSW SPD 20 E TAD 35 NW TAD 35 W PUB 25 SSW LAR 40 SW DGW.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW
MSS 20 WNW GFL 25 N POU 20 N NEL 15 NNE DOV 15 W NHK 25 SSE CHO BLF
40 SSW SDF ALN 20 SSE EMP 35 NE BGD 40 WSW DHT 25 ENE RTN 35 WNW TAD
45 W PUB 50 ENE ASE 40 N CAG 10 NW RWL CPR 50 WNW CDR 20 WNW MCK 55
NE HLC 40 E LWD 30 NE OTM 40 E MCW 15 ESE EAU 30 ESE RHI 30 N PLN 70
NNE APN.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 S YUM 45 SSW YUM
15 WNW BLH 15 SW EED 50 SSW SGU 20 SE P38 65 SSW ELY 40 ENE TPH 45
ENE BIH 50 SE BIH 55 N NID 45 NNW NID 60 NW NID 50 SSW BIH 40 W BIH
60 ESE TVL 40 E LOL 45 NNE BAM 40 SSE TWF 30 NW OGD 45 SW BPI 50 WNW
RIW 45 SSW COD 30 ESE WEY 35 S LVM 30 SW MLS 15 SSW DIK 30 NNW MBG
35 SSW ABR HON 20 S BKX 40 WSW RWF 25 SE BRD 30 NNE IWD 130 NNE ANJ
...CONT... 105 NNE BML 45 E ACK ...CONT... 80 ESE GLS 25 WSW LCH 10
N MLU 20 W PBF 25 NNW HOT 20 SSE RKR 25 ESE DAL 10 WSW MWL 55 SSW
LTS 25 NW PVW CVS 40 WNW CNM 25 W GDP 40 WSW INK 20 SW MAF 60 SE MAF
50 SSW DRT.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 16, 12:30z for portions of CLE

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