The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 11, 12:54z for portions of IND603
WUUS01 KWNS 111256
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0754 AM CDT FRI JUL 11 2025
VALID TIME 111300Z - 121200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 39399576 40319513 41669341 42549177 43068999 43188870
43158733 43598531 42688414 41728454 41048797 40109050
39609234 39259374 38789529 39399576
0.05 42289123 42678983 42748797 41548749 41158859 40609067
40329290 40859322 41449281 42289123
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 48739101 47209166 45449318 43189566 42029829 40469949
39730060 39300164 38740219 38150214 38000150 38159839
39079728 41369547 42419212 42809010 43278633 43438480
43548397 43298350 42878332 42128400 41508578 41088742
40708890 39509253 38659432 37769674 36659783 35689991
35090307 34140273 32450326 31990370 31990451 32720496
33880521 34940538 36600518 38480554 39950582 41590673
42180761 42640863 43050903 43490909 43380783 42930638
42260485 41930355 41680169 42070066 43479972 45369891
46319769 48259535 49719462
0.15 40990557 41280567 41730523 41220229 40770186 40170186
39860265 40520527 40990557
0.15 41179409 41779267 42179058 41968982 41608977 41199010
40759143 40559302 40799401 41179409
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 48579028 46059224 43779444 42869541 41979447 42869216
43968639 44068406 43888195 42478190 41218213 41078569
40438725 38908961 37909331 37049504 36089749 35429913
33650130 33180245 31960323 30300402 28710387 99999999
30740637 31460540 32090522 33580512 33950517 35370498
36500482 39520569 41460647 42310576 41970367 41730161
42100066 43139997 45559874 48259528 49709462
0.15 39309584 40409516 41029430 41589356 42229196 42789018
43088812 43208601 42618490 42298490 41888502 41388642
41218709 41018790 39889017 38669423 38669535 39309584
0.15 41340312 41220229 40790188 40250185 39860265 40170355
40770378 41240370 41340312
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 41730523 41220229 40770186 40170186 39860265 40520527
41280567 41730523
SLGT 40409516 41589356 42229196 42789018 43088812 43208601
42618490 42298490 41888502 41388642 41018790 39889017
38669423 38669535 39309584 40409516
MRGL 30890617 31460540 32090522 33490513 34940538 36600518
39750578 41590673 42180761 42640863 43050903 43490909
43380783 42930638 42260485 41990377 41730161 42100066
43139997 45369891 48259535 49719462 99999999 48569028
46059224 42869541 41979447 42869216 43968639 44068406
43888195 42758191 42448190 41218213 41078569 40438725
38908961 37909331 37049504 35429913 33650130 33180245
31960323 30300402 28770388
TSTM 27259611 28269769 29519854 30419818 31779533 32609347
35459143 36389160 36859246 36189487 35749607 35059752
34079896 32840090 31990228 31080272 29260244 99999999
30851116 31381086 31681060 32230946 32220894 32300747
32720643 34730600 36520629 37170787 38140844 39620848
40790834 41950930 42571026 42871077 44031087 44710973
44940867 45510749 47190252 47590204 47920217 48110247
48590356 49150418 49650452 99999999 48968778 47648941
46358997 44599014 44088944 44198746 44838607 45628476
46268322 46628241 99999999 43108095 42748112 42448119
42078130 41748074 41907982 42287949 42757875 43067814
43217747 43197658 43637579 44867599 99999999 46126661
45346806 44806907 43777050 42637099 41667131 40897255
40317385 39577429 38447380
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE
LAR 35 ENE SNY 20 NW IML 25 SSW IML 35 SE AKO 15 WNW FCL LAR 35 NE
LAR.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE
SDA DSM 25 NNW CID 30 S LNR 15 NW MKE 10 E MKG 20 SW LAN 20 W JXN 35
SE AZO 25 SSW SBN 50 ESE MMO 25 W SPI 30 ESE OJC 30 SSE TOP 20 NW
TOP 30 SSE SDA.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 S
ELP 45 SW GDP 30 NW GDP 25 E SRR 50 SSW LVS 40 WSW RTN 50 W DEN 30
ESE RWL 35 NW RWL 15 SSE LND 20 NW LND 45 NW RIW 40 NE RIW CPR 40
WNW TOR 10 NW BFF 35 SW MHN 20 E MHN 35 ENE VTN 25 WSW ABR 40 ENE
TVF 65 NNE RRT ...CONT... 55 N GNA 55 S DLH 20 NNW SLB 40 SSW FOD 25
NNE ALO 25 SSW MBL 35 ESE HTL 50 E BAX 50 ENE MTC 50 ESE MTC 20 SW
CLE 25 WNW FWA 15 W LAF 25 E ALN 45 N SGF 30 WSW JLN CSM 30 E LBB 50
SW LBB 15 N INK MRF 110 S MRF.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 ESE CRP NIR SAT 30
WNW AUS 40 S TYR 25 ENE SHV 25 SSE BVX 30 SSE UNO 35 WNW UNO 30 SSW
GMJ 35 SSW TUL 25 S OKC 25 WNW SPS 55 NE BGS MAF 15 NE FST 55 SSW
6R6 ...CONT... 70 SW FHU 35 WSW FHU 15 WNW FHU 45 SSE SAD 55 WSW SVC
15 ENE DMN 20 WSW ALM 40 ESE ABQ 50 NE 4SL DRO 40 SW MTJ 35 N GJT 50
WNW CAG 25 NNW RKS 10 W BPI 40 WNW BPI 30 NNW JAC 35 WNW COD 35 NNE
COD 55 ESE BIL 30 NNE DIK 30 W N60 40 WNW N60 55 E ISN 30 N ISN 70
NNW ISN 110 NNW ISN ...CONT... 130 NNE CMX 45 E GNA 15 SSE IWD 25
WSW CWA 40 ENE VOK 10 ENE MTW 25 WNW TVC PLN 55 ESE ANJ 95 E ANJ
...CONT... 80 NNW ERI 65 NW ERI 55 WNW ERI 55 NNE CLE 35 N YNG 20
ESE ERI 15 NW JHW 15 S BUF 25 W ROC 10 ENE ROC 25 WNW SYR 30 SSE ART
55 W MSS ...CONT... 55 E HUL 55 NE BGR 10 W BGR 15 NW PWM 20 N BOS
PVD 30 ENE ISP 20 S JFK 20 ENE ACY 80 SSE ACY.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 11, 12:54z for portions of IND---------------
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