[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 21, 19:47z for portions of CLE

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 21, 19:47z for portions of CLE

771 
WUUS01 KWNS 211949
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0247 PM CDT WED MAY 21 2025

VALID TIME 212000Z - 221200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   40988074 41077995 40847959 40377912 40077916 39147957
       39168063 39648143 39818165 40488167 40928148 40988074
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   36409632 37399734 38239822 38989621 38109418 37219141
       36008798 35568801 35238827 34978966 34999184 35359352
       35849469 36409632
0.05   27670010 27519883 26819737 25249672
0.05   32827837 34087839 34897846 35347872 35507874 35687841
       35627807 35557767 35577700 35707616 36057505
0.05   38617956 38187974 38008016 38068073 38728118 40738255
       41108278 41398263 41498193 41478111 41158020 41098000
       40847958 40377912 40187906 39597913 38617956
0.15   36429481 36799542 37409521 37369403 36299093 35939009
       35329052 35399173 35889317 36429481
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   33037839 34157839 34907846 35377873 35517875 35687842
       35577768 35597696 35677625 36037508
0.05   27649993 27499879 26799738 25499681
0.05   35359356 36049511 36409630 37039696 40010026 41850380
       42500385 42680248 41199856 39379599 38089409 37139113
       36508937 35648920 34988978 35009183 35359356
0.05   38718117 39388162 40278222 41098278 41398262 41498189
       41458109 41228040 41118007 40867963 40407913 40177905
       39567912 38197974 38008012 38078073 38718117
0.05   29568054 28838380 99999999 29588597 30178532 30368431
       30588244 30708080 30718073
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   37409521 37369403 36299093 35939009 35329052 35399173
       36429481 36799542 37409521
MRGL   27670010 27519883 26819737 25579685
MRGL   29568054 28878364 99999999 29588597 30178532 30588244
       30708080
MRGL   33227839 34897846 35517875 35687842 35577768 35637663
       35707616 36057505
MRGL   41398263 41498193 41478111 41077995 40847958 40407913
       40177905 39567912 38187974 38008012 38068073 41098278
       41398263
MRGL   42680248 41199856 38089409 37139113 36008798 35568801
       35238827 34978966 34999184 35359356 35849469 36409632
       40010026 41850380 42500385 42680248
TSTM   49470574 47840473 45080167 42639910 41099662 39979473
       38729279 37568992 36468706 35908579 35168553 34588628
       34248792 34499098 35299481 37779984 41650590 42980773
       44090790 44880612 45420560 46220627 47760910 48461136
       48411290 48231382 48281649 48471707 49441828 99999999
       28920403 29980279 30230075 29649948 28649849 28579758
       29479610 29859515 30139254 29719045 29618921 29498854
       99999999 29718796 30098843 30938843 31108810 31078752
       30968661 30738601 31128434 32408113 32337965 99999999
       33127874 34367869 35287926 35708013 36358094 37578108
       38538139 40268269 40578388 40668469 40898536 41258551
       41638554 42638417 43458158 99999999 43068006 42517862
       41797784 39877673 39537595 39677512 40517394 40907297
       40997212 40707096

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE
CNU 30 ENE JLN 10 N ARG 30 ENE JBR 35 SSE JBR 25 S BVX 15 SSW GMJ 35
E BVO 25 SE CNU.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW
LRD 40 E LRD 60 N BRO 45 SE BRO.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE
DAB 60 SSW CTY ...CONT... 45 SSW PFN 20 E PFN 45 W JAX 50 SE SSI.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE
CRE 25 ESE FAY 25 S RDU 25 ESE RDU 20 ENE GSB 45 NNE EWN 40 S ECG 65
ESE ECG.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N
MFD CLE 25 NW YNG 20 S FKL 40 NNW LBE 15 ENE LBE 20 ESE LBE 45 E MGW
40 NE SSU 20 NE SSU 30 NE BKW 25 NW MFD 40 N MFD.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE
CDR 20 NW GRI 55 SSW SZL 45 NW POF 50 SW CKV 50 E MKL 45 SE MKL 20
ESE MEM 30 NE LIT 25 WNW RUE 30 WSW FYV 30 WNW TUL 20 SE MCK 10 WSW
BFF 35 NNE TOR 35 ESE CDR.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 N OLF 25 WNW SDY
65 SSE Y22 25 WNW ONL 20 NNE LNK 15 NE STJ 30 WSW COU 30 NW CGI 25
ESE CKV 40 W CSV 20 WNW CHA 30 E HSV 40 SSW MSL 60 ENE PBF 20 NNW
RKR DDC 25 NNW LAR 35 E RIW 10 NNE WRL 45 E SHR 10 W 4BQ 25 SW MLS
50 NNE LWT 50 ESE CTB 30 WSW CTB 20 ESE GPI 65 NE GEG 60 NNE GEG 90
NE OMK ...CONT... 100 S MRF 35 W 6R6 60 N DRT 25 NW HDO 45 ENE COT
15 NNE NIR 45 WNW LBX 15 NNE HOU 35 W LFT 15 NE HUM 25 NNE BVE 55
ENE BVE ...CONT... 70 SSE MOB 40 SSW MOB 20 NNW MOB 30 NNE MOB 35 SW
GZH 15 NNW CEW 30 E CEW 30 SSW ABY 20 NNE SAV 45 SSE CHS ...CONT...
40 SSE CRE 45 SSE FAY 10 ENE SOP 30 SSW GSO 50 NNE HKY 15 S BKW 15
NE CRW 20 NNE CMH 35 SSW FDY 35 SE FWA 10 WSW FWA 25 NW FWA 40 E SBN
25 ESE LAN 75 ESE BAX ...CONT... 70 W BUF 30 S BUF 40 E BFD 25 SSE
CXY 20 WSW ILG 15 SSE PHL 10 SW JFK 10 NE ISP 25 S GON 45 SE BID.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 21, 19:47z for portions of CLE

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