The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 14, 16:28z for portions of LMK684
WUUS01 KWNS 141629
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1128 AM CDT WED MAY 14 2025
VALID TIME 141630Z - 151200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 43800136 45360127 45980104 46870070 47020013 46829959
46179942 45399914 44629794 44069624 43589500 43019474
42229498 41639557 41069639 40409794 39989961 39910054
39960141 40150182 40590222 41780229 42630176 43800136
0.05 42040086 42650015 42909927 42859851 42509808 42069771
41389777 40859825 40569887 40259948 40230045 40460080
40840103 41380103 42040086
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 32667897 32977986 33258044 33678076 34168098 34478183
34328240 34028327 34078372 34218432 34648518 35068549
35958553 36468545 36978574 37798708 38898872 39718961
40378947 40648823 40168657 39138457 38298340 37408231
36758177 36358136 36278090 36717990 37417901 38607882
39227820 39467769 39427676 39227604 38247409
0.05 48549887 47789846 46989792 46049693 45709614 45389500
45019433 44449380 42689237 42339253 41679332 41509428
40459777 39889912 39540034 39700141 40080257 40710303
41640301 42660182 43740148 45330170 46320194 47310190
47990168 48560093 48759983 48549887
0.15 44649634 44279599 43809563 43119552 42309576 41429700
40119976 39960050 40040092 40470137 40820144 42180132
43690097 45130099 46180102 46970100 47550078 47750014
47639962 47209937 46409907 45729860 45279794 44899708
44649634
SIGN 41179759 40129978 39950048 40050092 40460136 40840142
41380137 41760100 42160030 42499955 42499882 42379816
42169773 41909754 41389750 41179759
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 43730148 45300170 46340195 47300191 48000167 48570089
48759983 48539888 47759841 47009794 46039693 45709613
45379498 45009432 44149354 43179350 42259372 41509428
40429783 39879915 39540033 39610239 39670314 39820346
41210345 41900325 42180265 42690181 43730148
0.05 32657895 32997990 33278045 33678077 34158097 34468183
34298249 34028328 34098382 34228434 34648520 35058549
35928554 36458544 36978572 37788707 38308783 38958767
39238705 39148600 38528462 37418291 36348133 36288088
36707991 37407901 38587882 39227820 39457772 39437673
39207599 38247411
0.15 42980090 43969958 44779787 44889704 44559571 43869516
43149524 42299574 41459700 40129971 39950045 39960132
40170178 40660207 41410229 41710201 42180132 42980090
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 47179936 46379907 45729859 45269791 44899705 44569571
43869517 43139524 42309574 41439702 40129974 39950046
39960132 40190178 40650208 41420229 41720200 42190132
43690098 45350099 46200102 46980102 47560076 47740015
47649960 47179936
MRGL 32657896 32997991 33278045 33658075 34158097 34478183
34318243 34028327 34098379 34218432 34648519 35078548
35928554 36478545 36978574 37808709 38888872 39728961
40378946 40648823 40168657 39138457 38138319 37408231
36758176 36358135 36288088 36717991 37417901 38587882
39227820 39457771 39427675 39207599 38247410
MRGL 47709839 46989792 46029691 45699610 45389497 45009431
44389373 42689236 42319255 41679332 41509426 40439783
39879914 39540036 39610238 39670315 39820346 41220343
41900324 42190262 42680181 43730148 45320170 46330195
47290190 48000167 48560091 48759982 48549888 47709839
TSTM 43338064 41587926 40497750 40367631 40597532 40947459
42187159 40726871 99999999 32077913 32408106 32598415
32798524 32778558 32338662 31728806 31498859 31388923
31529012 32079112 32829164 33119272 32999305 32919374
31289579 30299745 29669888 29579921 29390045 29470129
29850190 30080192 30880177 32949982 33689892 34199795
34759670 35169428 35469089 35568962 36218732 37058732
39238951 39869042 40309194 40409469 39839681 38899994
39000288 39190449 38820534 37860621 36970929 36681084
37031178 38621221 39721250 42381462 44401549 45571421
47211548 47661762 48911899 49781969 99999999 50481067
48270987 46020834 45950753 45660585 45690503 46180461
47140475 49810484
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW
JMS 45 SSW JMS 20 NNW ABR 30 ESE ABR ATY 30 W RWF 25 NE OTG SPW 30
NW DNS 15 E OLU 45 E MCK 20 SSE MCK 40 SSE IML 25 SSW IML 25 WNW IML
40 ENE SNY 45 ESE AIA 15 NW MHN 40 SE PHP 30 WSW MBG 40 SSW BIS 20
NW BIS 30 E N60 60 E N60 45 SW DVL 35 WNW JMS.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 ESE
CHS 10 NE CHS 25 ESE OGB 15 NNE OGB 20 NNE CAE 30 SSE SPA 20 SE AND
AHN 30 WNW AHN 40 N ATL 20 N RMG 15 W CHA 25 W CSV 40 NNW CSV 40 E
BWG OWB 20 NE SLO 10 SSE SPI 25 SSE PIA 40 ENE BMI 25 SE LAF 10 WNW
LUK 40 WSW HTS 60 E JKL 40 ENE TRI 45 N HKY 50 NE HKY 35 WNW DAN 10
ENE LYH 20 N SHD 15 SW MRB 15 ENE MRB 15 NNW BWI 30 W DOV 75 E SBY.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE
DVL 35 E JMS 55 NNW VVV 30 NNE VVV 40 SSE AXN 40 SSW STC 15 NE MKT
10 NNE ALO 20 SSW ALO 20 ENE DSM 30 W DSM 35 ESE HSI 50 NE HLC 30
WNW HLC 25 NNW ITR 35 S AKO 30 SSW AKO 25 WNW SNY 20 E BFF 15 NE AIA
60 NW MHN 25 SSE PHP 50 SSE Y22 30 NNE Y22 35 SW N60 25 SW MOT 25 NE
MOT 60 NW DVL 30 N DVL 40 SE DVL.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 NNW ERI 35 NNW DUJ
30 SE UNV 30 ENE CXY ABE 25 NW EWR 15 ESE ORH 80 ESE ACK ...CONT...
80 SE CHS 20 NNE SAV 30 WSW MCN 15 NE AUO 15 NW AUO 15 WNW MGM 60 SE
MEI 45 E PIB 10 SE PIB 30 NE MCB 35 NNE HEZ 30 NE MLU 10 SE ELD 20
SW ELD 30 N SHV 40 NNW UTS 15 E AUS 25 WNW SAT 15 N HDO 30 E DRT 25
WNW DRT 25 SE 6R6 15 E 6R6 65 NNE 6R6 35 NNW ABI 30 SW SPS 35 ENE
SPS 35 NNE ADM 15 SSE FSM 30 SSW JBR 35 SSW DYR 30 S CKV 30 NNE HOP
35 NE ALN 40 W SPI 35 ENE IRK 45 WSW LWD 30 S BIE 35 S HLC 35 WSW
ITR 30 NNE COS 35 W COS 35 NNW ALS 45 WSW CEZ 40 ESE PGA 20 WNW PGA
45 ENE MLF 25 N U24 10 SW TWF 45 SE MYL 35 NNW SMN 25 S 3TH GEG 40
NE OMK 90 N OMK ...CONT... 140 NNW HVR 20 SSW HVR 20 NNE BIL 50 ENE
BIL 25 NW 4BQ 25 NE 4BQ 20 SW BHK GDV 125 NNE OLF.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 14, 16:28z for portions of LMK---------------
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