[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 4, 16:25z for portions of ILN

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 4, 16:25z for portions of ILN

432 
WUUS01 KWNS 041627
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1125 AM CDT SUN MAY 04 2025

VALID TIME 041630Z - 051200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   33410272 32630252 31740265 31430315 31380379 31480427
       31870506 32620554 33610605 34900691 35760648 35850539
       35460440 34420354 33410272
0.02   25097976 25378050 26348134 28058167 29728204 30368212
       30678184 30778079
0.02   31648042 33108010 34267947 36137891 37177966 37468101
       37978216 38578251 39878242 40498170 40988105 41158018
       40997937 40667863 39427772 38237730 37037698 36417628
       35677462
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   30400528 32030588 34630722 34980822 35720878 36180893
       36730866 36990789 36730499 35960366 34520259 32820165
       32020149 29410186
0.05   40418247 41108085 41037970 40457870 39697828 38607851
       37987892 37447967 37108041 37178106 37618222 38008280
       39058304 39848300 40418247
0.05   31638059 32978035 34557960 35937870 36557786 36747697
       36537600 35997523
0.05   25077978 25398056 26338134 27668166 29508217 30348228
       30778200 30838081
0.15   31830456 32360488 33980556 34400544 34680495 34640404
       34270339 33400272 32650251 32050256 31680270 31480299
       31350375 31480420 31830456
SIGN   32350459 32810438 32910353 32910305 32800279 32520267
       32160270 31750277 31510300 31400358 31430389 31640418
       32030452 32350459
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   31638059 32978035 34557960 36007907 36557928 37037990
       37178106 37618222 38008280 39058304 39848300 40398267
       41328083 41367966 40207769 39327703 37987666 37197631
       36597589 36157502
0.05   25077978 25388055 26328134 27708167 29508217 30348228
       30778200 30838081
0.05   30400528 32030588 34630722 34980822 35720878 36180893
       36730866 36990789 36730499 35960366 34520259 32820165
       32020149 29410186
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   34400544 34680495 34640404 34270339 33400272 32660251
       32050256 31690270 31470299 31350374 31470420 31840456
       32360488 33980556 34400544
MRGL   30400528 32030588 34630722 34980822 35720878 36180893
       36730866 36990789 36730500 35950366 34530259 32820165
       32010149 29410185
MRGL   25077977 25398055 26338135 27738167 29518217 30348228
       30778199 30838081
MRGL   31638059 32968035 34557960 36007907 36557928 37037990
       37178106 37618222 38008279 39048304 39848301 40398267
       41328083 41367966 40207769 39327703 37987666 37197631
       36597589 36157502
TSTM   32061619 34721866 36871985 37732098 38692133 39222107
       39452048 39671971 40141880 40501813 42341699 43541656
       44911622 46531556 47831412 48101354 48181248 48121193
       48121174 48261151 49431048 99999999 50180056 44670399
       41520418 39540360 38060252 36800160 35760095 34770033
       33889994 33039967 32329988 31640018 31030011 30299964
       29539966 28660003 27930054 99999999 26859997 26839850
       26549736 26229655 99999999 31230643 32030655 33010691
       33620724 33750766 33480777 32850808 32050893 31580983
       30861029 99999999 29188454 30738328 32148186 33728084
       35028044 35698062 35918147 35828389 36088522 37088614
       39078564 40348573 41448602 42888568 43438478 43648330
       43438203 43158109 99999999 42948004 42457767 42047581
       41427359 40977263 40637221 40117190

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE
4CR 60 NE 4CR 45 WNW CVS 10 SSW CVS 55 WSW LBB 40 E HOB 20 WNW MAF
30 ESE INK 25 SSE INK 45 SW INK 45 SE GDP 15 E GDP 35 W CNM 10 SE
4CR 25 NNE 4CR.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 W
MRF 35 ENE ELP 45 SW ABQ 20 SW GNT 15 N GUP 45 N GUP 25 W FMN 15 SW
DRO 30 W RTN 45 SW CAO 45 ENE CVS 40 NNW BGS 15 S BGS 50 SSE 6R6.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE
MIA 35 SSW MIA 30 ENE APF 20 WNW AGR 15 SSE GNV 40 WSW JAX 25 NW JAX
45 ESE SSI.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SE
SAV 20 WNW CHS 25 NNE FLO 20 WNW RDU DAN 20 SSE ROA 10 SE BLF 55 SSE
HTS 30 SSW HTS 45 WSW UNI 15 SSW CMH 30 NNE CMH 10 WNW YNG 10 E FKL
35 E AOO 20 WNW BWI 25 SSW NHK 20 NNW ORF 25 NE ECG 65 E ECG.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE CZZ 35 WNW PMD
10 NW FAT 20 SE SCK 15 NE SAC 55 NNE SAC 40 W RNO 10 NNE RNO 15 WNW
LOL 35 SSW WMC 50 ESE REO 15 W BOI MYL 25 N P69 35 S GPI 35 ESE GPI
30 S CTB 40 SSE CTB 45 SE CTB 45 ESE CTB 70 NNW HVR ...CONT... 135
NNE MOT 65 NW RAP 40 S TOR 20 N LIC 10 E LAA 10 NNW GUY 25 E BGD 25
N CDS 40 SSE CDS 40 N ABI 15 WSW ABI 25 NE SJT 35 SE SJT 20 SSE JCT
30 WNW HDO 50 WNW COT 70 WNW LRD ...CONT... 55 SSW LRD 50 NNW MFE 45
N BRO 60 ENE BRO ...CONT... 40 S ELP 20 NNW ELP 25 SE TCS 30 N TCS
45 NNW TCS 35 WNW TCS 15 NNE SVC 55 NE DUG 15 WNW DUG 50 S FHU
...CONT... 50 SE AAF VLD 30 E VDI 20 N OGB 30 ESE CLT 35 NNE CLT 15
NNW HKY TYS 10 NW CSV 15 ENE BWG 55 E BMG 20 WNW MIE 25 SE SBN 10 W
GRR 35 W MBS 20 WSW BAX 55 ESE BAX 85 NNW ERI ...CONT... 60 N ERI 45
WNW ELM 15 SE BGM 20 SE POU 25 ENE ISP 45 ESE ISP 75 SSW BID.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 4, 16:25z for portions of ILN

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