[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 14, 1:00z for portions of IWX

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 14, 1:00z for portions of IWX

652 
WUUS01 KWNS 140102
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT THU JUN 13 2024

VALID TIME 140100Z - 141200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   40829065 41068980 41278837 41178755 40888733 40248738
       39618858 38719255 38599561 38689660 39099696 39529663
       39879562 40169426 40509147 40829065
0.05   39129320 39139404 39289430 39509441 39639429 39979275
       39899140 39549126 39459161 39129320
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   39640505 40240520 41110531 41420518 41410474 40950329
       39500037 39329876 40429515 41279183 41838762 41238657
       40548579 40148560 39708617 38778780 38069000 37719281
       36859547 34480110 34340227 34600338 35650354 36880219
       37750229 38520256 39640505
0.15   37519848 37190027 37760078 38870000 39129820 40369461
       41249024 41268961 41278840 41238760 40868729 39988744
       39159026 38729235 38069569 37519848
0.30   38889462 38909561 38999632 39299653 39589605 39899508
       40509072 40908898 40508867 39978938 39359178 38889462
SIGN   38759455 38389730 38729771 39329680 39909507 40119364
       40529061 40868909 40728885 40498874 39948950 39409175
       38759455
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   43038147 43238428 43328484 43628547 44058538 44388503
       44728183
0.05   39640505 40240520 41110531 41420518 41410474 40950329
       39500037 39329876 40429515 41279183 41838762 41238657
       40548579 40148560 39708617 38778780 38069000 37719281
       36859547 34480110 34340227 34600338 35650354 36880219
       37750229 38520256 39640505
0.15   35740310 36330180 38870000 39129820 40369461 41249024
       41268961 41278840 41238760 40868729 39988744 38709020
       38359204 37789567 36619817 35830012 35170191 35040294
       35450308 35740310
0.30   38889462 38909561 38999632 39299653 39589605 39899508
       40509072 40908898 40508867 39978938 39359178 38889462
SIGN   37350045 38179876 39329680 39909507 40119364 40529061
       40868909 40728885 40498874 39948950 39409175 38719452
       37269806 36489990 36840026 37350045
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    39589605 39899508 40509072 40908898 40508867 39978938
       39359178 38889462 38999632 39299653 39589605
SLGT   36330180 38870000 39129820 40369461 41249024 41238760
       40868729 39988744 38709020 37789567 36619817 35170191
       35040294 35740310 36330180
MRGL   43058177 43238428 43328484 43628547 44058538 44388503
       44728183
MRGL   41420518 41410474 40950329 39500037 39329876 40429515
       41279183 41838762 41238657 40548579 40148560 39708617
       38778780 38069000 37719281 36859547 34480110 34340227
       34600338 35650354 36880219 37750229 38520256 39640505
       41110531 41420518
TSTM   31000631 33330617 35350428 36810396 38030422 38860546
       41000673 41100968 41921111 41711337 39911610 39101692
       35411748 35371832 37271999 38412049 39332012 40211918
       41221768 42521625 44251402 45281074 45280964 44540610
       44310328 43930104 42119892 40679708 41799520 43039263
       43068977 43928872 44578844 45528882 45889129 46279392
       47449718 48579856 49609912 99999999 32071121 32001356
       32401437 34571365 36801310 37141260 37501136 37581044
       37191008 36650981 34490922 33410948 32071121 99999999
       29788714 30628775 32178674 32938621 32848533 30588472
       30398252 30867944 99999999 47406674 45786995 44367246
       43137455 42477631 41927836 40928045 39298417 37818688
       36759127 36739394 36319603 35369833 34190083 33110248
       31630363 29680360 29030418

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW
FNB 10 NW STJ 30 SE BRL 30 N BMI 15 E BMI 20 ENE SPI 45 NNE COU OJC
20 ESE MHK 15 NE MHK 40 SW FNB.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW
GUY 35 SSW HLC 35 NW SLN 40 WSW LWD 20 SE MLI 35 WSW VPZ 35 NNW LAF
15 SSE DNV 10 ESE STL 15 NW CNU 25 NW END 10 WSW AMA 40 ESE TCC 35
WSW DHT 30 SW GUY.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ENE
MTC 25 SSW MBS 40 NNW LAN 50 NE MKG 40 WSW HTL 20 W HTL 80 ENE OSC.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE
LAR 20 NNE CYS 20 WSW SNY 30 WNW HLC 30 N RSL 25 SSE SDA 35 ENE OTM
40 NW VPZ 25 SE VPZ 30 NW MIE 15 SW MIE IND 55 NNW EVV 30 NE FAM 35
W TBN 30 E BVO 40 ENE PVW 35 WNW PVW 15 NNW CVS 35 N TCC 20 WSW EHA
30 SE LAA 30 NNE LAA 15 SW DEN 25 SE LAR 25 ENE LAR.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 S ELP 35 N ALM 40
WNW TCC 30 ENE RTN 25 SE PUB 40 W COS 55 NE CAG 45 SW RKS 45 N EVW
60 SSE BYI 30 NNW P68 30 SSE U31 20 SSE NID 40 NW EDW 30 E MER 45 SW
TVL 20 WSW RNO 35 WNW LOL 25 NNE WMC 40 N OWY 55 NNE SUN 30 SSW LVM
50 SE LVM 30 WNW GCC 20 NNW RAP 30 ESE PHP 25 NNE BUB 20 SW LNK 15
SE DNS 35 NNW ALO 25 WSW MSN 10 WSW OSH 15 WNW GRB 30 ESE RHI 50 SSW
ASX 15 SE BRD 35 S GFK 35 NNE DVL 105 N DVL ...CONT... 15 W TUS 75
SE YUM 20 SE YUM 50 SSE IGM 35 SE SGU 45 SSW BCE 35 W U17 15 ENE U17
40 SE U17 65 SSW 4BL 45 ENE SOW 40 NNE SAD 15 W TUS ...CONT... 50 S
PNS 30 E MOB 20 SE SEM 45 NNE MGM 15 NNE AUO 25 WNW TLH 50 W JAX 120
E SSI ...CONT... 70 ENE CAR 85 NW BGR 10 NNE MPV 40 E UCA ITH 15 ENE
BFD 25 SSE YNG 20 NE LUK 15 ENE OWB 35 E UNO 10 SSW UMN 10 NW TUL 25
NW CHK 35 WSW CDS 50 NE HOB 25 WSW INK 55 SSE MRF 95 S MRF.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 14, 1:00z for portions of IWX

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