MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Apr 20, 3:42 AM CDT ...New Discussion...863
FXUS64 KMOB 200842
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
342 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
...New Discussion...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 306 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Today though Monday night...
An upper level ridge over the southwest Atlantic and eastern Gulf
will weaken slightly on its western edge as a strong shortwave
ejects northeast across the southern plains today. This will send
a cold front toward the area late Sunday into Monday. The front
will stall west of the area Monday afternoon, keeping the highest
rain chances northwest of I-65 through Monday night. Most areas to
the southeast of I-65 will remain dry. High temps will climb into
the low to mid 80s. Lows will be in the low to mid 60s. A high
risk of rip currents will continue through the period. /13
Tuesday through Saturday...
Precipitable water levels will remain elevated up to 1.5 inches
through midweek as southwesterly flow aloft continues over our
region as a series of upper shortwave energy and impulses traverse
the area. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will
return through at least midweek, with perhaps numerous coverage
well northwest of the I-65 corridor Tuesday afternoon, especially
close to the nearly stalled surface boundary. A mostly dry pattern
will return the latter half of the week. Despite the increased
chances of rain, the total expected rainfall should be minimal. At
this time, we are only expecting between one-tenth inch to near
one inch of rain northwest of I-65 starting Tuesday, and below
one-tenth inch to the southeast of I-65. A High Rip Current Risk
on Tuesday will become a Moderate Risk Tuesday night through
Thursday as surf heights decrease. Temperatures will continue to
trend above normal with highs in 80s and lows in the 60s. /22
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1236 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
MVFR ceilings will return tonight with patchy fog. VFR conditions
return for Sunday. /13
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 307 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
A light to occasionally moderate southeasterly flow pattern will
persist through the middle of next week. /13 Considering the
persistent fetch, seas look to remain 3, to perhaps around 5 feet
in range over the next few days before trending lower to 2 to 3
feet Wed/Thu. /10
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 82 66 82 65 82 64 83 66 / 0 10 30 20 50 10 20 10
Pensacola 79 67 79 68 79 67 80 68 / 0 0 0 10 30 0 10 0
Destin 78 68 79 68 79 68 81 69 / 0 0 0 0 10 0 10 0
Evergreen 85 59 85 60 84 60 86 61 / 0 0 10 20 50 10 20 10
Waynesboro 85 63 83 62 82 62 84 62 / 0 20 70 40 80 20 50 20
Camden 85 61 85 62 82 61 84 61 / 0 0 30 30 70 20 30 10
Crestview 84 58 84 60 84 60 87 62 / 0 0 0 0 20 0 10 0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday afternoon for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Apr 20, 3:42 AM CDT ...New Discussion...---------------
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