The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Apr 19, 16:30z for portions of BOX309
WUUS01 KWNS 191631
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2025
VALID TIME 191630Z - 201200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 29060276 31600319 32240300 32800171 33919944 36249508
36809366 37269131 37538989 37458941 37118936 36548983
35709092 34369290 31839556 29369843 27870044
0.05 31840210 32530084 34569697 35499491 36009382 36249257
35719214 35009275 34069408 31879747 30499907 29100102
29190254 30970263 31840210
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 29040277 31580319 32420312 33320236 34030004 37129556
38928995 40698367 41488093 43187761 43727615 43837505
43657370 43237270 42597215 41877242 41167319 40807391
40107566 39078077 38318394 36148981 36059002 34389287
32829450 29809765 27890055
0.15 29070253 31000263 31950229 32870157 35009714 36419455
37329275 37689181 37809103 37599061 37239061 36829069
35959167 34329360 31849746 31029816 30039859 28190072
0.30 30890164 31130197 31640199 32000169 32460096 32880017
33309923 33439869 33489817 33349809 32569832 32109879
31459951 30980004 30760070 30890164
SIGN 32920157 33779970 34369832 34789667 34609541 33759540
31789815 30139960 29450123 29750256 31000262 31940228
32920157
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 29030277 31600319 32360314 33260245 34129992 37129553
38869016 40498560 41698142 43137771 43747616 43837505
43657370 43237269 42587214 41777208 41287241 40787396
40107567 39078074 38308393 36118984 34379287 33669360
32819445 29799766 27890056
0.15 29010253 30970263 31950228 32840160 34889737 36459450
37349273 37699183 38278944 39848556 40528212 42107869
43037600 43127445 42687375 42077414 41237581 40727724
39788076 38948367 37858789 36809063 36119145 34339356
31849748 30959821 30029860 28200071
0.30 31630161 32790054 33279951 33349900 33219864 32879834
32509830 30980001 30570044 30280088 30090138 30160187
30510218 30990210 31630161
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
ENH 30160184 30590212 31640199 32000168 32470094 32910011
33309922 33439869 33489816 33339809 32559832 32119877
31489949 30560050 30150129 30160184
SLGT 29070253 31000263 31960227 32800169 34979720 36809380
37369267 37699179 38278943 39738577 40538204 42167857
43007598 43067435 42657377 42057407 41367549 40747699
38988343 37858787 36829062 36089149 34329359 31849747
31019817 30019860 28190072
MRGL 28970279 31580320 32190302 33410230 34209983 37149549
38869015 40178658 41698142 43157770 43747615 43837505
43657370 43237268 42607215 41767209 41287243 40797395
40107567 39078074 38308396 36128983 35869035 34349289
32869442 29799766 27890055
TSTM 42126907 41357134 40827226 39697525 39467688 38838030
38388256 37888456 37558567 37118706 36688813 35878991
35089125 34259274 33949303 32979372 31329545 30769629
30379670 30089706 29039792 28379864 27520062 99999999
28670293 29570304 30930368 31790393 32200449 32170544
31870652 31380738 99999999 31030874 31560912 32020998
32721021 33471045 34171018 34760957 35840937 37210936
37870918 38940847 39660767 39980691 39880637 39350615
38710584 37860533 37280459 36770408 36400382 36300370
36320318 36540258 37190164 38040065 39099916 39399866
39699729 39719599 39299424 39179303 39229207 39549016
40238729 41008514 41728264 42777924 43317813 43767694
44377570 45567373 99999999 49371381 48851426 48361476
47851604 47811688 48361767 49481816
&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE
6R6 40 N 6R6 25 SSE MAF 20 SW BGS 35 ENE BGS 40 NW ABI 60 SW SPS 40
SSW SPS 40 SSE SPS 40 N MWL 20 SW MWL 25 NNE BWD 40 SW BWD 45 W JCT
55 E 6R6 25 ENE 6R6.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSW
6R6 20 ENE FST MAF 40 NNW BGS 35 SE OKC 10 SE UMN 40 ENE SGF 20 ESE
TBN 30 SE BLV 25 E IND 30 SE MFD 25 N BFD 10 SE SYR 35 NW ALB ALB 30
NNW POU 10 E AVP 35 S IPT 55 E LUK 20 SW EVV 10 WNW POF 25 NNE BVX
30 WSW HOT 20 NW ACT 45 WSW TPL 35 NNW SAT 80 S DRT.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SSW
6R6 15 S INK 30 NNE INK 35 WSW LBB 30 ESE CDS 35 S CNU ALN 25 SE LAF
30 NE CLE ROC 20 SSW ART 50 ESE ART 25 N GFL 25 SSE RUT 20 SSE EEN
30 N GON 20 W GON 15 ENE EWR 30 NW PHL 40 ESE PKB 40 ENE LEX 25 WNW
DYR 15 E JBR 15 SE HOT 35 NNE GGG 25 ENE BAZ 70 WNW LRD.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 ENE HYA 15 NE BID
35 SSW GON 10 S PHL 25 NNW BWI 25 W EKN HTS 10 S LEX 45 S SDF 35 WNW
BWG 35 W HOP 30 WSW DYR 50 SSE BVX 25 SE HOT 35 S HOT 35 SSE TXK 40
N UTS 15 NNE CLL 25 SW CLL 40 ESE AUS 50 NNW NIR 35 E COT 70 W LRD
...CONT... 105 SSW 6R6 60 WSW 6R6 45 NNE MRF 40 SSE CNM 15 SW CNM 45
WNW GDP 10 WNW ELP 65 SSE DMN ...CONT... 60 ESE DUG 30 ENE DUG 35
NNE FHU 35 WSW SAD 60 SSW SOW 15 SW SOW 40 NE SOW 40 WNW GUP 25 SSE
4BL 25 NE 4BL 10 SSE GJT 40 W EGE 25 N EGE 35 ENE EGE 40 ENE ASE 60
ENE GUC 40 NE ALS 15 W TAD 25 E RTN 35 W CAO 30 WSW CAO 10 S CAO 30
E CAO 20 NE EHA 10 NNE GCK 25 NW RSL 35 NNE RSL 20 ENE CNK 30 SW FNB
25 ENE MKC 40 NE SZL 30 NNE COU 35 SW SPI 15 E DNV FWA 45 WNW CLE 30
WSW BUF 25 WNW ROC 50 WSW ART 30 NNE ART 70 NE MSS ...CONT... 75 NNE
GPI 35 N GPI 25 W GPI 35 WNW 3TH 35 ENE GEG 50 N GEG 95 NE OMK.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Apr 19, 16:30z for portions of BOX----------------
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