The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Apr 18, 12:00z for portions of ILN840
WUUS01 KWNS 181202
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0700 AM CDT FRI APR 18 2025
VALID TIME 181300Z - 191200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 39728574 38598815 36339239 32389864 30470025 30520126
33590021 35369984 35779950 36469721 38219334 40289110
41759023 43128924 43568833 44198595 44228396 43708289
42948308 40488535 39728574
0.05 35379936 36239635 36429569 36219522 36029519 35569565
35109633 33629846 33789964 34979969 35379936
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 42248211 40628418 39238535 37018943 34999362 33769517
33289587 30899914 29980007 29970119 30410168 33600057
35300036 36749963 38829529 39889323 41479135 42569038
43629006 44858928 45498787 45578113
0.15 43588898 43678756 43578603 43128582 42468588 41898611
40768666 39748709 38948753 37419009 34999451 32389871
31499976 31630086 33480020 35359983 37059815 38209532
39399321 41539054 42778924 43588898
SIGN 35339983 35889931 36259841 36689721 37009599 36849491
36079491 35029590 33949716 31529979 31640084 33550016
35339983
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 42248211 40618419 39238534 37018944 34999363 33799513
30889913 29980006 29980120 30420168 33610056 35300037
35910005 37099672 38349459 39629287 42569037 43629005
44538771 45038502 45278297 45218142
0.15 40568548 39628584 37338988 34469541 32399869 31509975
31620087 33480020 35349983 35729948 36099823 37199525
39469235 41669024 42778923 43578898 43678754 43578603
43128582 42468588 41908611 41398607 40568548
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 43588899 43678756 43578603 43128582 42458588 41898612
41398607 40568548 39628584 37338989 34469541 32389871
31499976 31630086 33480020 35359983 37069815 38209532
39399321 41549053 42778924 43588899
MRGL 42258211 40618419 39238534 37008944 35009362 33779514
30889915 29980007 29970119 30410168 33600057 35300036
36749963 38829529 39889324 41469136 42559038 43639006
44858928 45488787 45578113
TSTM 45717112 44807112 43907173 42637306 41227707 39738042
39288146 36038998 33019495 31269776 29669996 28830102
99999999 28630312 30170277 31740232 33890156 35830084
37279999 39179712 40609414 41519248 42089206 42569221
43369331 44069375 44699354 45199301 45629197 46738841
47038567 47288340 99999999 32941069 32891116 33221270
33941356 35141383 37421381 38571333 39401205 39951054
40200719 39970644 39420579 39070490 38860409 38540330
38200286 37680273 37200309 36440395 35830476 34530708
33760850 33140950 32941069
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE
MSN 35 S MTW 30 NNE MKG 20 E MKG 25 NW AZO 15 NE SBN 25 SSE SBN 20 N
MIE 25 ESE IND 20 WNW CGI 35 SE MLC 35 WNW SEP 45 ENE SJT 30 NW SJT
65 S CDS 35 W CSM 30 SE P28 35 NNE CNU 35 SE CDJ MLI 15 NW JVL 35
NNE MSN.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE
MTC 40 SW FDY 50 W LUK 15 SSE CGI 35 WSW RUE 20 ENE PRX 45 NE JCT 40
SSW JCT 45 NNW DRT 40 NE 6R6 60 SSW CDS 60 N CDS 55 W AVK 25 SE TOP
20 ENE CDJ 35 SSE CID 20 ENE DBQ 25 SSE VOK 20 ESE AUW 25 SSE IMT
125 ENE APN.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 N BML 10 NNE BML
30 NNW LCI 20 NE PSF 10 WSW IPT 25 WNW MGW PKB 35 W DYR 45 NNW GGG
20 WNW TPL 50 WNW HDO 40 S DRT ...CONT... 110 SSW 6R6 35 WNW 6R6 15
SSW MAF 20 SSE PVW 35 ENE BGD 35 S DDC 25 W MHK 10 W LWD 30 N OTM 20
NW CID 10 E ALO 15 N MCW 15 SE MKT 20 SW MSP 25 NNE MSP 55 NNW EAU
30 S CMX 75 WNW ANJ 70 NE ANJ ...CONT... 60 NNE TUS 55 NNW TUS 20 N
GBN 70 ENE BLH 10 SE IGM 25 NNW SGU 20 WNW MLF 25 E U24 25 NNE PUC
25 SE CAG 35 NE EGE 55 WSW DEN 20 NNW COS 35 E COS 35 NNE LHX 15 NW
LAA 25 S LAA 25 WSW SPD 35 ESE RTN 25 ENE LVS 35 NNW ONM 80 WNW TCS
20 NNE SAD 60 NNE TUS.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Apr 18, 12:00z for portions of ILN---------------
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