[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 4, 5:58z for portions of PAH

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 4, 5:58z for portions of PAH

480 
WUUS01 KWNS 040600
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 AM CDT TUE JUN 04 2024

VALID TIME 041200Z - 051200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   38959740 42309468 42839317 42139225 41049241 38159474
       37579513 37229570 37099637 37189696 37489746 38339768
       38959740
0.02   33879946 34399965 35129918 35259831 35129749 34859646
       34059646 33679672 33549706 33379850 33669931 33879946
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   48589034 47129018 45818952 43878862 42488818 41238784
       40778751 39998699 38868628 36868558 35648555 35148567
       34278576 33348613 32008692 31178756 30398858 29998941
       29859080 29879278 30059435 30339564 31279731 33310024
       33770077 34240134 34850156 35310105 35720055 37619906
       39019791 39889767 41009724 41629700 42999651 44199605
       47269591 49409589 49709601
0.15   49539179 47699179 46599209 45779199 44349211 41509259
       41009271 40679280 39949323 39479364 38829452 38469511
       38409598 38609646 39109681 39929680 40829645 43889486
       45869461 47999445 49399436
0.15   34909906 35309855 35439801 35319702 34559672 33649716
       33399757 33219812 33419857 34149912 34909906
SIGN   34899908 35289857 35439800 35309701 34819690 34139724
       33749788 33739851 33759883 34159914 34899908
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   48629035 47199019 43938865 41258783 40538736 38878628
       36868560 35658554 35168567 34688572 34158581 33378612
       32048691 31188754 30358859 29978949 29859086 29869282
       30059436 30339566 31259729 33300023 34250134 34850156
       35690060 37239937 38989796 41959688 44199605 46059599
       47899590 49359590 49569601
0.15   49529177 49129182 47659183 46619206 45809199 43869217
       41379260 41069268 40709279 39939322 39509364 39129411
       38639480 38459517 38439596 38559640 39129682 39969681
       40799647 41149625 43869488 45889459 48759441 49399435
0.15   34909906 35329851 35439797 35049512 33449099 32648911
       32168892 31668901 31108990 30799174 31299420 33419859
       34159913 34909906
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   49539180 47679183 46609206 45759199 43779219 41349261
       40699279 39919324 39479364 38619483 38459516 38439595
       38559642 39129682 39949681 40809647 41129627 43899487
       45909459 49409437
SLGT   31108993 30799170 31289419 33409858 34159913 34919907
       35319851 35439801 35039509 33429095 32648912 32168892
       31668900 31108993
MRGL   48599034 47139018 43818861 42358813 41238783 38888629
       36868559 35648555 35138568 34718571 34178580 33328614
       32008694 31188755 30368860 29978948 29849083 29879279
       30059435 30339563 31269731 33320026 34230134 34840157
       35710059 36999955 39009795 40989727 41579703 44189607
       47679591 49429591
TSTM   32597915 32697972 32618018 32358057 31988086 30708151
       29158157 28328125 27768089 27478051 27498027 27627959
       99999999 28849255 29609365 30069465 30059606 29619703
       28519823 26099968 99999999 28990143 29840078 31239987
       32149964 32749983 32950013 33720172 34060231 34380238
       34720218 36880177 37630185 38240202 38630214 39400208
       40490157 41180060 41830019 42590025 43400043 44170153
       44550211 44970254 45340281 46500250 47490161 48330047
       49839952 99999999 46207314 45397276 43897334 43257385
       42757440 42477566 41637709 39577683 37297442

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 NE
INL 15 S ELO 15 SSE DLH 65 NNW EAU 20 ESE RST 20 NNW OTM 35 SSW OTM
20 ENE CDJ 25 S CDJ 15 SSW OJC 35 SW OJC 15 ENE EMP 20 NW EMP 10 W
MHK 25 S BIE 15 ESE LNK 25 WSW OMA 30 NW FRM 35 NW STC 55 NE RRT.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E
MCB 45 NNE LFT 35 E LFK 40 S SPS 35 SSE LTS 20 NNE LTS 35 WNW CHK 25
N CHK 25 W RKR GLH 30 NW MEI 15 SW MEI 25 NE PIB 30 E MCB.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 N
GNA 40 N IWD 10 SSW OSH 30 SSW RAC 45 ESE MMO 25 SE BMG 45 E BWG 35
SW CSV 30 WNW CHA 35 SW CHA 20 NE GAD 25 SW ANB 25 S SEM 35 WSW GZH
30 E GPT 35 SE ASD 20 NNW HUM 30 SE LCH 20 WNW BPT 30 SSW UTS 10 NE
TPL 70 NNW ABI 20 ENE PVW 30 SSE AMA 45 E BGD 50 WNW AVK 20 NW SLN
30 WNW LNK 20 ENE OLU 40 ESE BKX 30 SSE TVF 40 NNW ROX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ESE CHS 25 SE CHS
20 SSW CHS 40 ENE SAV 20 ESE SAV 15 NE JAX 30 W DAB 15 SSE ORL 30
ENE AGR 15 SSW VRB 15 SE VRB 50 E VRB ...CONT... 70 SSW 7R4 35 SE
BPT 40 WNW BPT 40 SSE CLL 55 N VCT 35 WNW NIR 90 W MFE ...CONT... 40
SW DRT 35 NNE DRT 40 ESE SJT 20 S ABI 25 NNW ABI 45 NW ABI LBB 35
WSW PVW 40 WNW PVW 45 SW AMA 10 SE EHA 45 N EHA 40 ENE LAA 45 S ITR
15 NE ITR IML LBF 40 NW BBW 15 W ANW 40 N VTN 10 NNE PHP 45 NW PHP
65 SE 2WX 40 ESE 2WX 25 SE DIK 15 SW N60 35 E MOT 120 NNW DVL
...CONT... 100 NNW EFK 45 NW EFK 30 NW RUT 15 WSW GFL 30 W ALB 25 NE
BGM 30 NNW IPT 30 NNW BWI 75 SE WAL.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 4, 5:58z for portions of PAH

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